HOOD: Past 2 years, EVERY earnings had a run up of 10-20% before tanking shortly after
u/garristerr ·
Reddit — r/wallstreetbets
· July 21, 2026 at 02:09
· ⬆ 55 pts
· 💬 24 comments
| View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary
Summary
The author claims that for the past two years, HOOD has consistently run up 10-20% before every earnings release, then tanks shortly after.
Thesis: "Full port calls into earnings" – a high-risk directional bet that the pre-earnings run-up will repeat.
Quality assessment: Noise – pattern-based speculation with no supporting data, fundamentals, or options strategy detail; essentially a momentum gamble.
The author observes a recurring price pattern: HOOD rallies 10-20% in the days/weeks leading up to each earnings report over the last two years. If the pattern holds, buying calls just before the next earnings release could capture that expected run-up. Trade based on a short-term, historical repeat – buy calls ahead of earnings to sell before the post-earnings "tank." Pattern failure (e.g., early run-up already priced in, or negative earnings surprise), gamma/theta decay on options, or unforeseen market events.