Buzzberg Cup Coming soon

does Q2 kill the saaspocalypse?

u/Mammoth-Water-4711 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · May 25, 2026 at 06:35 · ⬆ 17 pts · 💬 15 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Summary

  • The post analyzes the "saaspocalypse" narrative (AI agents replacing enterprise SaaS) and argues it's overblown because AI agents still need workflow control layers (permissions, approvals, audit logs).
  • The author believes incumbents like ServiceNow may absorb the new AI layer rather than get replaced, similar to the cyber-security reversal pattern.
  • The author has no position yet but is considering opening one before Q2 earnings, feeling the market narrative is ahead of actual data.
  • Quality assessment: Speculative but reasoned discussion; lacks hard data or financial analysis, more of a contrarian thesis.
Score 17
Comments 15
Upvote % 79%
Full Post Text
Ideas
u/Mammoth-Water-4711 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
AI agents require control layers (permissions, approvals, routing, audit logs) – ServiceNow’s products plug directly into these workflows. Market is pricing a "saaspocalypse" collapse for enterprise SaaS, but if incumbents absorb AI instead of being replaced, valuations could rebound sharply – similar to the cyber sector reversal. The author is considering a long position in ServiceNow before Q2, betting the narrative is wrong and Q2 results will show resilience or growth from AI integration. Q2 earnings could confirm seat loss or weakening pricing; faster-than-expected displacement by pure AI-native competitors; macroeconomic slowdown crushing enterprise IT spending.
More from Reddit — r/ValueInvesting

This Reddit post, published May 25, 2026, features u/Mammoth-Water-4711 discussing NOW. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/Mammoth-Water-4711  · Tickers: NOW