u/Mammoth-Water-4711

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since May 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+22.0%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 1
Best Calls
NOW Long +22.0%
Worst Calls
No live losers yet
Most Mentioned
NOW ×1
Recent Calls
NOW Long 2 months ago
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 100%
30d 0%
90d
Average Return +22.0% Long Return +22.0% Short Return -
Average Return
7d +33.0%
30d -8.2%
90d
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 25
$102.13
+22.0%
AI agents require control layers (permissions, approvals, routing, audit logs) – ServiceNow’s products plug directly into these workflows. Market is pricing a "saaspocalypse" collapse for enterprise SaaS, but if incumbents absorb AI instead of being replaced, valuations could rebound sharply – similar to the cyber sector reversal. The author is considering a long position in ServiceNow before Q2, betting the narrative is wrong and Q2 results will show resilience or growth from AI integration. Q2 earnings could confirm seat loss or weakening pricing; faster-than-expected displacement by pure AI-native competitors; macroeconomic slowdown crushing enterprise IT spending.
AI agents require control layers (permissions, approvals, routing, audit logs) – ServiceNow’s products plug directly into these workflows. Market is pricing a "saaspocalypse" collapse for enterprise SaaS, but if incumbents absorb AI instead of being replaced, valuations could rebound sharply – similar to the cyber sector reversal. The author is considering a long position in ServiceNow before Q2, betting the narrative is wrong and Q2 results will show resilience or growth from AI integration. Q2 earnings could confirm seat loss or weakening pricing; faster-than-expected displacement by pure AI-native competitors; macroeconomic slowdown crushing enterprise IT spending.
AI Software
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u/Mammoth-Water-4711 has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since May 2026. Most covered: NOW.