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If this AI bet fails, do these stocks become toxic or are they the ultimate value play?

u/Think_Welder_199 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · April 30, 2026 at 17:06 · ⬆ 15 pts · 💬 42 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Summary

  • The post questions the outcome if massive AI capex (~$750B) fails to generate revenue, contrasting the dot-com bust (companies died) with today’s Big Tech that still has profitable core businesses (Office, Search, Instagram).
  • The author is torn: either these stocks become toxic due to burned investors or become “screaming buys” when the “AI tax” lifts and core earnings reassert themselves.
  • Quality assessment: Speculation – lacks hard data, relies on hypothetical scenario; more a philosophical debate than a rigorous DD.
Score 15
Comments 42
Upvote % 83%
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