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17 Investment write-ups to look at

u/Away_Definition5829 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · April 30, 2026 at 04:46 · ⬆ 16 pts · 💬 3 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Summary

  • The post is a curated list of 17 investment write-ups from various Substack authors, covering value and special-situation ideas across the Americas, EMEA, and Asia-Pacific.
  • It provides a mix of deep-dive analyses on large caps (Oracle, Mastercard), turnaround plays (Intel, Pandora), microcaps (Biorem, Meridian), and net-nets (Passat, Art Vivant).
  • Quality is high: the compilation sources well-researched, data-backed DD from independent analysts, with clear theses and risk disclosures—neither pure speculation nor noise.
Score 16
Comments 3
Upvote % 88%
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Ideas
u/Away_Definition5829 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Strip $7.7B cash and $4B Anthropic stake from $26B market cap, core video business trades at ~7x free cash flow. This mirrors the old Yahoo-Alibaba setup where hidden asset values were ignored; now Zoom's Anthropic stake is a similar catalyst. Deeply undervalued core business with a free call option on AI through Anthropic; asymmetric upside. Anthropic stake value may be illiquid; core video growth could stagnate; competition from Teams/Webex. 7974 - LONG | confidence: 0.80 | sentiment: +0.80 Speaker: u/Away_Definition5829 Thesis: Stock down 40% in six months; net cash of ¥2.29tn covers half of market cap; core business trades at 9-10x EV/EBITDA. Switch 2 sold 17.4M units in six months, Mario movie biggest 2026 release; panic over production cuts and AI narrative creates temporary buying opportunity. A top pick with strong IP, massive cash pile, and cyclical hardware cycle just beginning—valuation is undemanding. Switch 2 demand fades faster than expected; yen appreciation hurts repatriated earnings; new console cycle peaking.
u/Away_Definition5829 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
HatedMoats' DCF base case values Mastercard at $568 vs. current $504, implying a 13% margin of safety. The author explicitly sells $480 puts and waits for weakness, indicating a buy-the-dip opportunity at attractive entry. A wonderful business at a fair price; long-term compounding machine with structural payment tailwinds. Regulatory pressure on interchange fees, deceleration in cross-border volumes, or broad market sell-off.
u/Away_Definition5829 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Net cash equals 82% of €17M market cap; P/B 0.42x; EV/EBITDA 0.7x; founder and CEO buying shares in March 2026. A classic Graham net-net with zero analyst coverage and insider buying signal deep value rarely found in public markets. Extremely low risk liquidation play with significant upside if the business stabilizes or gets acquired. Business is shrinking; illiquid microcap; founder age (81) raises succession risk; possible delisting or write-downs.
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