u/Virtual_Seaweed7130 ·
Reddit — r/wallstreetbets
· March 25, 2026 at 00:47
· ⬆ 33 pts
· 💬 25 comments
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AI Summary
Summary
The author highlights that VCX, a closed-end fund holding private AI companies, is trading at a massive premium to its Net Asset Value (NAV).
With a $10.7B market cap against a $437M NAV, the implied valuations for its underlying holdings (like OpenAI and Anthropic) are mathematically absurd (e.g., OpenAI valued at $16.8 Trillion).
Quality assessment: This is well-researched DD grounded in fundamental math, NAV multiples, and outstanding share calculations, though it acknowledges the risk of irrational market momentum.
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[](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/?f=flair_name%3A%22DD%22)$VCX is going on an autistic bull run despite being a closed end fund of fixed assets. It's one of the most retarded things I've seen all year.
https://preview.redd.it/lbb309t093rg1.png?width=1051&format=png&auto=webp&s=5a78ce3e21ce690521fa09630e44336ea0f4b971
[](https://preview.redd.it/this-is-the-dumbest-shit-ive-seen-in-awhile-dd-v0-kx400fvc63rg1.png?width=1051&format=png&auto=webp&s=3922c9e6b74c81bcf6ccf3ce561ea86ba0b6143f)
The company is \~437M self-reported NAV of private companies.
https://preview.redd.it/63lzda7x83rg1.png?width=1041&format=png&auto=webp&s=193d008803e34b9c8b73b18b39c221d77e28a82f
[](https://preview.redd.it/this-is-the-dumbest-shit-ive-seen-in-awhile-dd-v0-y9t9jpsj63rg1.png?width=1041&format=png&auto=webp&s=7c8ac1d0171a32800fd5ed19b4072dc3b5523df0)
But with 28.3M shares outstanding
https://preview.redd.it/ntx1s92y83rg1.png?width=769&format=png&auto=webp&s=8b5280f296524fb09906e71d708903d148a36ab9
[](https://preview.redd.it/this-is-the-dumbest-shit-ive-seen-in-awhile-dd-v0-vi1og6om63rg1.png?width=769&format=png&auto=webp&s=acfb839855a55c677a54bc7324aba054bdb70eb7)
That 380/sh \* 28.3M = **10.7B market cap for 437M of NAV.**
You can see what they own, most of the speculative value comes from their holdings in these hard to find AI private companies:
https://preview.redd.it/2ktrqk1z83rg1.png?width=967&format=png&auto=webp&s=fde6c99eeff0df61a2e94b515749e09124af6a75
[](https://preview.redd.it/this-is-the-dumbest-shit-ive-seen-in-awhile-dd-v0-kl94jsxs63rg1.png?width=967&format=png&auto=webp&s=e8926e4d2dec3d01f9e2c312276c2934eb7453ee)
So I did some math on what the current MNAV multiple means.
Applying this premium to the underlying private company valuations provides the following "look-through" metrics:
|**Holding**|**Portfolio Weight**|**Implied Stake Value in VCX**|**Est. Private Co. Shares Outstanding**|**% Held by VCX**|**Assumed Market Cap**|
|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|:-|
||
|**Databricks**|21.9%|$2.36 Billion|\~705 Million|0.088%|**$2.68 Trillion**|
|**Anthropic**|11.5%|$1.24 Billion|\~1.47 Billion|0.016%|**$7.61 Trillion**|
|**OpenAI**|9.4%|$1.01 Billion|\~1.49 Billion|0.006%|**$16.82 Trillion**|
|**Total Top 3**|**42.8%**|**$4.61 Billion**|—|—|**$27.11 Trillion**|
So are you buying OpenAI at 16B for the valuation MSFT, NVDA, GOOG, AAPL combined?
This is an imminent -80%+ if you have pain tolerance.
Getting fucked on my short 50 shares position:
https://preview.redd.it/aldc01b093rg1.png?width=563&format=png&auto=webp&s=0970aa84eac951c51e0b29661703884756584013
[](https://preview.redd.it/this-is-the-dumbest-shit-ive-seen-in-awhile-dd-v0-r0b55sr073rg1.png?width=562&format=png&auto=webp&s=1669073932ed38ef0c148428401eedf29f0b175a)
But I'm sure we'll head back to reality.
Who are you up against?
https://preview.redd.it/4qte0bz293rg1.png?width=1013&format=png&auto=webp&s=13948ad3b29d056927c74e66a29adb4339528b91
[](https://preview.redd.it/this-is-the-dumbest-shit-ive-seen-in-awhile-dd-v0-3tr6mrbg73rg1.png?width=1012&format=png&auto=webp&s=77b0e8a21aff6b943e527a639c8e2eb4230ea95e)
Crayon sniffers thinking they're holding the next 100x, while buying at 20X nav.
TL;DR: short retail buying 400m nav for 10b
VCX has a $437M NAV but trades at a $10.7B market cap (roughly 24x NAV). The premium implies impossible valuations for its private AI holdings, meaning the current share price is entirely disconnected from reality. Short the stock, as the massive premium to NAV is unsustainable and will eventually collapse. Irrational retail momentum can keep the price elevated longer than a short seller can remain solvent (short squeeze risk).
This Reddit post, published March 25, 2026,
features u/Virtual_Seaweed7130
discussing VCX.
1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.