Author presents a bullish deep dive on Adyen, citing its 50%+ EBITDA margins, single-stack moat, low churn, and reasonable ~20x EV/EBITDA valuation after a 75% drawdown.
ADYEN.AS — LONG The author argues Adyen achieves 50%+ EBITDA margins (targeting 55% by 2028) through a 'Scale Economies Shared' model charging low Interchange++ rates, creating extreme stickiness with <1% churn. Its 'Single Stack' from-scratch architecture avoids the integration tax of patchwork competitors like Fiserv, PayPal/Braintree, Stripe, and Block, enabling unified data and one engineering team. After a 75% drawdown from 2021 peaks, Adyen trades at ~20x EV/EBITDA while growing 20%+, which the author frames as an efficiency machine in a hated sector. Main risk implied is the market's continued negative sentiment toward payments, though not explicitly stated.
After a 75% drawdown from 2021 peaks, Adyen is finally trading at a reasonable \~20x EV/EBITDA. For a company growing 20%+, this is an efficiency machine hiding in a "hated" sector.
This Reddit post, published February 08, 2026, features u/Relevant-Push-2901 discussing ADYEN.AS. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers: u/Relevant-Push-2901 · Tickers: ADYEN.AS