UBER is a Once in a Lifetime Opportunity Ahead of Q4 Earnings.

u/Long-Access-2143 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · February 02, 2026 at 06:39 · 💬 31 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Author argues Uber is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity ahead of Q4 earnings, trading at 15x FCF with strong Uber One growth and overblown AV risk.

UBER — LONG The author argues Uber trades at 15x free cash flow with no debt and no heavy capex, making it a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity ahead of Q4 earnings. Uber One subscribers are already 20% of users, up 60% YoY, and spend 3x more than average users. The author believes autonomous vehicle and Tesla risk narratives are overblown because Uber has over 25 AV partnerships and the fragmented AV market requires an aggregator to maximize vehicle usage and minimize consumer prices. Under conservative assumptions of 20% annual FCF per share growth and a 20x FCF multiple, the author projects a $204 share price in 5 years, a 21% annual return.

Uber trades at 15x time Free Cash Flow.

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u/Long-Access-2143 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Uber long; 15x FCF, AV risk overblown
The author argues Uber trades at 15x free cash flow with no debt and no heavy capex, making it a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity ahead of Q4 earnings. Uber One subscribers are already 20% of users, up 60% YoY, and spend 3x more than average users. The author believes autonomous vehicle and Tesla risk narratives are overblown because Uber has over 25 AV partnerships and the fragmented AV market requires an aggregator to maximize vehicle usage and minimize consumer prices. Under conservative assumptions of 20% annual FCF per share growth and a 20x FCF multiple, the author projects a $204 share price in 5 years, a 21% annual return.
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This Reddit post, published February 02, 2026, features u/Long-Access-2143 discussing UBER. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/Long-Access-2143  · Tickers: UBER