Glencore Jumps on Rio Merger Talks, Trump to Meet Venezuela's Machado | The Pulse 1/9/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 13, 2026 at 10:38  |  48:32  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Dwayne Lysaght — Co-Head of EMEA M&A, JPMorgan
Charles — Technology Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence
Ludovic Subran — Allianz CIO & Chief Economist
Irene Mia — Latin America Senior Fellow, International Institute for Strategic Studies
Peter Navarro — Senior Counsel on Trade and Manufacturing (Trump Adviser)
Roland Rudd — Global Chair, FGS Global
Will.i.am — Artist

Summary

The Pulse covered Glencore's surge on confirmed Rio Tinto takeover talks, a potential $200 billion mining merger driven by copper demand and energy transition. The program also previewed the US jobs report and tariff ruling, with Allianz's Ludovic Subran discussing Fed cuts, US economic bifurcation, AI, and China deflation. Other segments focused on Venezuela oil politics, record M&A trends with JPMorgan's Dwayne Lysaght, TSMC's strong AI-driven sales, and FGS Global's Roland Rudd on geopolitics, tax, and AI regulation.

  • Glencore and Rio Tinto confirmed preliminary merger talks, creating a potential $200 billion mining giant.
  • Copper demand from the energy transition and scarce industrial reserves were cited as strategic drivers.
  • Allianz's Ludovic Subran discussed a bifurcated US economy, expected Fed cuts, AI productivity, and China deflation.
  • Irene Mia said Venezuela's transition is difficult and fundamentally about oil amid political uncertainty.
  • JPMorgan's Dwayne Lysaght said record M&A momentum should continue, favoring tech, industrials, Europe, and defense consolidation.
  • TSMC's strong December sales were driven by AI chip demand and Apple iPhone 17 strength, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.
  • Other topics included xAI losses, AI music licensing, rare earth competition, and FGS Global's survey on populism, tax, and renewables.
Ideas
Copper outlook universally bullish on scarcity.
Copper demand is underpinned by the energy transition and geopolitical focus on scarce industrial reserves, with universal bullishness on the outlook helping drive mining M&A like the Rio Tinto-Glencore talks.
Dwayne Lysaght Co-Head of EMEA M&A, JPMorgan 26:54
Defense consolidation likely on geopolitical overlay.
Defense sector consolidation is likely on a country-by-country or regional basis due to the geopolitical overlay and governments' local security priorities, though timing and structure are hard to predict.
Dwayne Lysaght Co-Head of EMEA M&A, JPMorgan 27:38
Tech and industrials lead M&A.
Technological and industrial sectors are his top M&A choices for 2026; tech led 2025 M&A and industrials followed, and together they represent over 42% of global M&A volume, with bigger scale deals and AI-driven consolidation expected to continue.
Dwayne Lysaght Co-Head of EMEA M&A, JPMorgan 29:34
Europe offers real value for privates.
He sees real value in Europe as take-private activity continues, with Europe having a good run of private deals and opportunity expected as growth rates start to rise.
Charles Technology Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 31:56
TSMC growth to continue on AI.
TSMC's December sales rose about 20% on strong AI chip demand, new AI server ramps, bigger AI chips, pricing, and strong Apple iPhone 17 sales; the growth trend is likely to continue given TSMC's dominant foundry position.
Charles Technology Analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence 32:11
Apple iPhone 17 sales are strong.
Apple iPhone sales, especially iPhone 17, are quite strong, with more than 35% growth in the first two months and market share gains from local competitors, making Apple an unsung hero behind TSMC's sales strength.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 13, 2026, features Mark, Dwayne Lysaght, Charles discussing COPPER, European Defense, XLK, XLI, VGK, TSM, AAPL. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Mark, Dwayne Lysaght, Charles  · Tickers: COPPER, European Defense, XLK, XLI, VGK, TSM, AAPL