Next Is February Options Expiration: Warning of Record Volatility Before Lunar New Year Holiday / AI Investment: Has the Anxious Selloff Ended? | Choi Chang-gyu, Director, Mirae Asset Asset Management

[#찐시황] 다음은 2월 옵션 만기일, 설 연휴 전 '역대급 변동성' 주의보 / AI투자, 불안한 급락장은 끝난걸까? | 미래에셋자산운용 최창규 이사
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 08, 2026 at 11:01  |  38:32  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Choi Chang-gyu — Director, NH Investment & Securities

Summary

Choi Chang-gyu, Director at Mirae Asset Asset Management, reviews the sharp US rebound on February 6 and argues the AI capex race remains intact, with Nvidia and the semiconductor supply chain as key beneficiaries. He analyzes Alphabet's strong cloud results and the AI power bottleneck, separating strong grid, uranium, and data-center power names from weak SMR and nuclear utility names. He then covers Korean retail ETF flows, foreign futures and options positioning, upcoming options expiration and Lunar New Year holiday risk, and favors Korean semiconductor equipment and materials while expecting short-term Korean market volatility and possible foreign futures short covering.

  • US equities rebounded on February 6, led by semiconductors, Nvidia, and broad risk-on flows.
  • AI capex remains the dominant theme; Alphabet cloud growth and raised capex reinforce AI demand.
  • AI power theme is polarized: grid, uranium, and data-center power and cooling are strong, while SMR and nuclear utilities are weak.
  • Retail flows favored Alphabet, IonQ, Tesla, silver, and SCHD, while selling Nvidia, leveraged semis, and long bonds.
  • Google Genie hurt game-stock sentiment, but strong-IP game companies are expected to be more resilient.
  • ETF flows can mechanically move constituents; KOSDAQ 150 ETF and potential single-stock leveraged ETFs are key monitors.
  • Korean market may rebound if foreign futures shorts cover, but options expiry and pre-holiday events raise volatility.
  • Korean semiconductor equipment and materials are favored on memory capex expansion.
Ideas
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 2:08
AI capex supports semiconductor supply chain.
The AI capex race should keep semiconductor demand firm, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index's sharp rebound showed semiconductors remain the healthy center of the US market; the key check is whether earnings guidance upgrades confirm the move.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 2:45
AI capex race favors Nvidia.
Big Tech capex is expected to run at about $650bn annually because the AI race is winner-take-most, and Nvidia is the clearest beneficiary of that continued spending. Nvidia's sharp rebound also led the semiconductor rally that lifted risk sentiment.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 6:59
Quantum AI end-chain dip buy.
IonQ is a high-beta quantum-computing play at the far end of the AI value chain; it corrected sharply when AI profitability and capex concerns rose, which drew retail dip-buying, but it remains a volatile AI-adjacent monitor.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 7:40
Tesla offers multiple AI/robotics catalysts.
Retail investors bought Tesla because they no longer view it as only an EV maker; space, AI, autonomous driving, humanoid robots, and robotaxi give it multiple future catalysts.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 9:06
Silver is volatile inflation commodity bet.
Silver rallied with gold and copper and then sold off sharply after Kevin Warsh's nomination, making it a high-volatility commodity trade. In an inflation and commodity-demand regime, retail investors bought silver exposure, including leveraged and physical silver products, as a volatility bet.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 9:56
US market rotating to dividend cyclicals.
Retail investors returned to SCHD, the dividend-growth ETF, as US leadership broadened toward cyclicals and value; Walmart's strength and improvement in cyclicals like Caterpillar indicate sector rotation within the US market.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 12:29
Alphabet cloud AI growth reaccelerates.
Alphabet's cloud revenue accelerated toward 50%, showing AI workloads are converting into revenue and that growth is becoming structural rather than cyclical; cloud profit and scale economies also improved. Its raised 2026 capex guidance signals demand is pressing supply, but investors should watch free cash flow, cloud growth durability, and margin sustainability.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 15:21
AI power bottleneck favors grid infrastructure.
AI power demand is creating a bottleneck, and grid infrastructure is where earnings are already visible; GE Vernova and Eaton are representative beneficiaries of grid capex tied to data-center and electrification demand.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 15:36
AI power demand lifts uranium fuel.
Nuclear fuel and uranium are current-cycle beneficiaries of AI power demand, with Energy Fuels, Uranium Energy, and Cameco showing strong earnings-linked momentum.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 15:45
AI data centers need power cooling.
AI data-center expansion requires power equipment, efficiency, cooling, and construction, and companies such as Bloom Energy, Quanta Services, and Vertiv are seeing capex-driven earnings follow-through.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 16:14
SMR names lack near-term earnings.
Small modular reactor developers are the weak part of the AI power theme because commercialization and regulation are slow and near-term earnings are absent; NuScale, Oklo, and Nano Nuclear are representative names in position-adjustment mode.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 16:28
Nuclear utilities face rate/policy volatility.
Nuclear generation and power utilities are weak because rate, power-price, policy, and expectation changes are driving large swings; Constellation, Vistra, and Talen are representative underperformers.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 20:59
Strong-IP games weather AI shock.
Google Genie's ability to generate interactive 3D game worlds hit game-stock sentiment, but the short-term reaction looks overdone; over the medium term the impact should be differentiated, with strong-IP game companies resilient and weak-IP companies more exposed.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 20:59
Strong-IP games weather AI shock.
Google Genie's ability to generate interactive 3D game worlds hit game-stock sentiment, but the short-term reaction looks overdone; over the medium term the impact should be differentiated, with strong-IP game companies resilient and weak-IP companies more exposed.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 22:06
KOSDAQ 150 ETF flows move constituents.
ETF creation and redemption, plus LP hedging, create mechanical buying and selling in constituent stocks; the KOSDAQ 150 ETF was the top individual net-buy ETF in January and its inflows helped KOSDAQ 150 constituents, so renewed individual buying is the key monitor.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 22:52
Single-stock ETF demand may lift memory.
Large single-stock leveraged ETFs are likely to launch around Samsung Electronics and/or SK hynix; if demand concentrates in them, ETF-related secondary demand could lift those underlying large-cap semiconductor stocks.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 24:47
Options expiry may bring high volatility.
Ahead of February options expiration, the Lunar New Year holidays, key US data, and already elevated volatility, the speaker expects renewed high-volatility trading in Korea; how much foreigners reduce futures selling early in the week is the key signal.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 30:35
Foreign futures covering may lift KOSPI.
Foreigners have accumulated about 35,000 contracts of KOSPI futures net short, but passive emerging-market inflows are strong and further active selling capacity looks limited; if Monday rises, foreign futures buying or short covering could produce a fast Korean market rebound.
Choi Chang-gyu Director, NH Investment & Securities 31:28
Memory capex favors Korean equipment suppliers.
Memory prices have risen enough to drive capacity expansion, so front-end semiconductor equipment and materials suppliers should benefit; Wonik IPS and ISC were already showing relative strength and Wonik IPS could retry its prior high.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published February 08, 2026, features Choi Chang-gyu discussing ^SOX, NVDA, IONQ, TSLA, SILVER, AGQ, PSLV, SCHD, GOOGL, GEV, ETN, UUUU, UEC, CCJ, BE, PWR, VRT, SMR, OKLO, NNE, CEG, VST, TLN, Strong-IP game companies, Weak-IP game companies, KOSDAQ 150 ETF, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, KOSPI 200 options, EWY, WONIK IPS, ISC. 19 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Choi Chang-gyu  · Tickers: ^SOX, NVDA, IONQ, TSLA, SILVER, AGQ, PSLV, SCHD, GOOGL, GEV, ETN, UUUU, UEC, CCJ, BE, PWR, VRT, SMR, OKLO, NNE, CEG, VST, TLN, Strong-IP game companies, Weak-IP game companies, KOSDAQ 150 ETF, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, KOSPI 200 options, EWY, WONIK IPS, ISC