26.02.12 Market Briefing: Micron Pulls Forward HBM Shipments; Memory Semiconductors Shine Amid Rate and Earnings Concerns

[26.02.12.시황] 마이크론, HBM 출하 앞당긴다…금리, 실적 우려 속 빛난 메모리 반도체 [월가 뉴스레터]
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 11, 2026 at 22:13  |  48:27  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Myung-seok — Curator
Yeo Doeun — Host

Summary

Park Myung-suk reviews a mixed US session where strong jobs data pushed back rate-cut expectations and weighed on broad indices, while semiconductors outperformed. Micron's HBM4 shipment pull-forward eased memory concerns, and data-center, cloud, and niche foundry names drew positive attention. AI substitution fears hit financial and tax-software stocks, while Bitcoin faced a rate-related headwind and gold, oil, and equal-weight breadth signaled selective opportunities.

  • Strong jobs data reduced near-term Fed rate-cut odds, pressuring rate-sensitive assets.
  • Micron's HBM4 timeline and HBM supply shortage supported memory semiconductor stocks.
  • AI capex beneficiaries included Nvidia, Lam Research, GlobalFoundries, Vertiv, and Cloudflare.
  • AI disruption worries spread from software to financials and tax services.
  • Bitcoin weakened as rate-cut expectations faded; crypto lender stress added concern.
  • Gold and silver resumed uptrends; oil was seen bottoming with a long-term $70 target.
  • Cap-weighted US index stalled while equal-weight breadth remained healthy.
  • US nuclear stocks fell after Centrus earnings; Unity and Lyft guidance disappointed.
Ideas
Gold and silver resume uptrend
After speculative capital exited, gold and silver resumed their uptrend; both prices rose and precious metals look supported again.
Oil bottoming with long-term seventy target
Oil is concerning short term, but after precious metals the energy complex is next; long-term forecasts favor $70 and an economic recovery should support gradually higher oil prices, suggesting the long-term bottom is in.
Bitcoin faces rate-cut headwind
Bitcoin is a rate-sensitive asset, and with strong jobs data pushing out Fed rate-cut expectations, it is hard for Bitcoin to rise; crypto lender withdrawal suspensions and Strategy's concentration of BTC add stress risks. Park is uncertain on long-term targets but sees a clear near-term rate headwind.
AI threatens financial and tax software
AI substitution fears are spreading from software to financials and tax services: Charles Schwab and Morgan Stanley sold off on concerns that AI can replace wealth-management and tax-planning work, Intuit and H&R Block fell after AI tax tools emerged, and Barclays warns wealth-management selling may continue. This is a risk to avoid or monitor in those names.
Equal-weight index shows healthy market breadth
The cap-weighted S&P 500 looks flat and Big Tech is weak, but the equal-weight index keeps rising as other sectors perform well; this shows healthy market breadth and argues for broadening exposure beyond mega-cap tech.
Semiconductors positive on AI and memory demand
Semiconductors remain a positive area because strong jobs data alleviates fears that consumers and big tech may cut AI capex, while Micron's accelerated HBM4 shipments, persistent HBM supply shortage through 2026, GlobalFoundries' niche AI foundry results, and resilient memory demand support the group. Park says semiconductors continue to look positive.
Nvidia and Lam benefit from AI capex
Strong employment data suggests consumers still have money and AI investment need not shrink; Nvidia benefits as big tech continues capex and Lam Research benefits as stronger semiconductor makers invest in equipment. Both rose and support the AI semiconductor capex chain.
Buy memory dips on HBM shortage
Micron clarified that HBM4 shipment timing is pulled forward by one quarter rather than delayed, HBM demand exceeds supply, and supply shortage should persist beyond 2026; Micron and SanDisk surged, SK hynix has been relatively resilient, and Park views memory semiconductors as a buy-on-dips area.
GlobalFoundries fills niche AI foundry demand
GlobalFoundries reported strong results by targeting niche segments in the broad AI chip market, showing that even non-TSMC or non-Samsung foundries can benefit from diverse AI chip demand and adding to positive semiconductor momentum.
Samsung gains from ByteDance AI chip talks
Samsung Electronics may not be hurt by Micron's HBM4 acceleration; Park notes ByteDance discussed making a custom AI chip with Samsung, and Samsung has held up better than Micron and SanDisk amid a strong Korean market. This supports Samsung as a resilient memory and AI chip player.
Meta has accounting risk, but Ackman bullish
Meta faces a red flag as its $27B data-center deal was moved off balance sheet into a joint venture with Blue Owl, raising accounting-risk concerns, but Bill Ackman bought Meta and argues it is a top AI beneficiary in ads, wearables, and agentic AI products, so the setup is worth watching with both risk and upside.
Robinhood long-term growth via prediction markets
Robinhood is pressured near term by Bitcoin weakness, but revenue is growing, its prediction-market partnership with Kalshi is driving strong growth, and Piper Sandler calls it an attractive long-term entry after lowering its target.
Cloudflare is key AI software beneficiary
Cloudflare is one of the few software beneficiaries because all traffic must pass through its gatekeeper layer; AI growth should still drive it, RPO and backlog are increasing, 2026 guidance is for growth, and it can gain share if weaker software companies fail.
Vertiv benefits from data center cooling demand
Vertiv's order backlog doubled year over year and guidance was positive as data centers continue to be built; demand for cooling and air-conditioning systems for data centers keeps growing, making Vertiv a direct beneficiary of AI data-center construction.
US nuclear stocks face earnings headwind
Centrus Energy's operating profit halved and dragged related US nuclear stocks lower; Park says earnings season was a negative for US nuclear names, making the group unattractive in the near term.
Unity faces Google game engine competition
Unity's guidance was weak and Google's entry with a competing game engine keeps pressure on its business, so the stock faces competitive and earnings risk.
Lyft faces strong Uber and Tesla competition
Lyft's guidance was weak and competitors Tesla and Uber are too strong, highlighting the importance of a moat and making Lyft unattractive.
SharkNinja products are must-have in US
SharkNinja is positive because its styling products have become almost must-have items in the US and the stock has been resilient.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published February 11, 2026, features Park Myung-seok discussing GLD, SILVER, WTI, BTC, SCHW, MS, INTU, HRB, RSP, SMH, NVDA, LRCX, MU, SNDK, 000660.KS, GFS, 005930.KS, META, HOOD, NET, VRT, LEU, URA, U, LYFT, SN. 18 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Myung-seok  · Tickers: GLD, SILVER, WTI, BTC, SCHW, MS, INTU, HRB, RSP, SMH, NVDA, LRCX, MU, SNDK, 000660.KS, GFS, 005930.KS, META, HOOD, NET, VRT, LEU, URA, U, LYFT, SN