Ideas
Overweight U.S. equities on strong earnings
U.S. equities remain overweight because the current pullback is a normal re-pricing after strong momentum, fundamentals are still driven by 30% tech earnings growth, and positive real yields on bonds do not yet derail the equity case. Credit spreads at all-time lows provide a funding source.
Avoid IG credit, spreads at lows
Investment grade credit spreads are at all-time lows with almost no upside, making credit unattractive. Overweight equities should be funded from credit markets.
Long Treasuries for positive real yields
Government bond yields are delivering positive real yields of 2.5%, creating a barbell opportunity to extend duration. Long-duration bonds act as a hedge and are a better funding partner for equities than credit.
FedEx spinoff and macro improve upside
FedEx has upside from the freight spinoff, a massive $6 billion free-cash-flow target that supports a market cap north of $100 billion, a more supportive macro environment, and strong pricing discipline. The stock is up 80% in a year but still has room to run.
Meta attractive at below-market multiple
Meta is trading at 18x earnings, a below-market multiple compared to the S&P 500's forward multiple of about 22x and an earnings yield of 4.5%. Despite capex spending on AI, it is an attractive name for long-term investors.
Avoid Cerebras, NVIDIA makes it unnecessary
Cerebras has a unique wafer-scale chip for fast inference and a big backlog with OpenAI, but NVIDIA is now addressing the same fast-inference need within its flexible data-center architecture, which makes Cerebras really unnecessary.
KB Home beats, strong margin outlook
KB Home reported results where the gross margin outlook and full-year view came in well above consensus, which will be viewed favorably. The company is executing well despite a tough rate environment.
Homebuilders cheap, 2026 better year
Homebuilder stocks trade at 11x 2027 earnings, intent-to-buy surveys are well above the long-term average, mortgage rates are down year-over-year, and input cost inflation is moderating. 2026 will be a better year for housing, and any reduction in incentives will boost margins.
This Bloomberg Markets video, published June 23, 2026,
features Alessio de Longis, Ariel Rosa, Michael Cuggino, Gil Luria, John Lovallo
discussing SPY, LQD, TLT, FDX, META, CBRS, KBH, XHB.
8 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Alessio de Longis,
Ariel Rosa,
Michael Cuggino,
Gil Luria,
John Lovallo
· Tickers:
SPY,
LQD,
TLT,
FDX,
META,
CBRS,
KBH,
XHB