#35 Alpha Score 97.4

Gil Luria

Technology Strategist at D.A. Davidson
@gilluria · tracked since Feb 2026
35
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Alpha Score 97.4
Calls
18
Win Rate
83.3%
return
+21.7%
Calls 18 2 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 7
Best Calls
SNOW Long +112.3%
DDOG Long +81.5%
CRM Long +37.7%
Worst Calls
000660.KS Long -15.2%
GOOGL Long -8.6%
AVGO Long -4.8%
Most Mentioned
NVDA ×10
MU ×9
MSFT ×8
Recent Calls
AVGO Long 1 month ago
000660.KS Long 1 month ago
PLTR Long 1 month ago
Win Rate 83% Long 16 Short 2
Win Rate
7d 50%
30d 61%
90d 40%
Average Return +21.7% Long Return +24.0% Short Return +3.2%
Average Return
7d +0.3%
30d +4.7%
90d +12.3%
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Result
Result
Sort
Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 21
$219.33
+2.6%
NVIDIA is core AI trade
NVIDIA crushed earnings, has no competition in certain segments (dunking on AMD, Broadcom, Intel, Cerebras), and will continue to be the core of the AI trade with strong growth and dominant market position.
AI Compute
Long
Jun 05
$942.24
+1.1%
Micron at low valuation is safe.
Micron at 10x earnings looks safer than higher-priced peers; memory supply constraints keep margins high, and the cycle may extend to 2030.
AI Memory
Long
Feb 18
$399.60
+24.7%
Software stocks have underperformed the broader market by the widest margin since 2000. Luria notes MSFT, NOW, SNOW, and DDOG are trading at attractive valuations relative to growth. Newman highlights CRM and NOW are proving AI is an accelerator, not a displacer. The market is pricing in "obsolescence risk" (AI replacing software), but the counter-narrative is that AI is a "labor enhancer." These companies provide the essential infrastructure for AI (MSFT/SNOW) or the "rules and rails" of business (CRM/NOW) that cannot be easily replaced by LLMs. LONG. The sell-off is a tactical opportunity to buy high-quality compounders at depressed multiples. If "Agentic AI" actually begins replacing seat-based SaaS licenses faster than anticipated.
Software stocks have underperformed the broader market by the widest margin since 2000. Luria notes MSFT, NOW, SNOW, and DDOG are trading at attractive valuations relative to growth. Newman highlights CRM and NOW are proving AI is an accelerator, not a displacer. The market is pricing in "obsolescence risk" (AI replacing software), but the counter-narrative is that AI is a "labor enhancer." These companies provide the essential infrastructure for AI (MSFT/SNOW) or the "rules and rails" of business (CRM/NOW) that cannot be easily replaced by LLMs. LONG. The sell-off is a tactical opportunity to buy high-quality compounders at depressed multiples. If "Agentic AI" actually begins replacing seat-based SaaS licenses faster than anticipated.
Hyperscalers
Long
Apr 29
$253.34
+1.0%
Cloud accelerating, AI demand strong, buy.
The three major hyperscalers—Amazon, Microsoft, and Google—all reported cloud business acceleration above expectations, driven by strong AI demand. This is a very positive sign for their earnings and stock performance.
Hyperscalers
Long
Apr 21
$271.25
+19.7%
Apple bullish under new hardware-focused CEO.
The transition from Tim Cook to John Ternus as CEO is good news for Apple because Tim Cook is retiring at a time of record iPhone sales and growth, and the new CEO is a hardware expert, which means the company will focus on hardware innovation such as glasses, pins, folding phones, and more affordable VR devices. Apple can avoid the heavy capex race in AI models since AI models will flow through Apple's market-leading premium hardware, providing relief to investors and supporting stock performance.
AI Hardware
Long
Feb 18
$176.08
+112.3%
Software stocks have underperformed the broader market by the widest margin since 2000. Luria notes MSFT, NOW, SNOW, and DDOG are trading at attractive valuations relative to growth. Newman highlights CRM and NOW are proving AI is an accelerator, not a displacer. The market is pricing in "obsolescence risk" (AI replacing software), but the counter-narrative is that AI is a "labor enhancer." These companies provide the essential infrastructure for AI (MSFT/SNOW) or the "rules and rails" of business (CRM/NOW) that cannot be easily replaced by LLMs. LONG. The sell-off is a tactical opportunity to buy high-quality compounders at depressed multiples. If "Agentic AI" actually begins replacing seat-based SaaS licenses faster than anticipated.
Software stocks have underperformed the broader market by the widest margin since 2000. Luria notes MSFT, NOW, SNOW, and DDOG are trading at attractive valuations relative to growth. Newman highlights CRM and NOW are proving AI is an accelerator, not a displacer. The market is pricing in "obsolescence risk" (AI replacing software), but the counter-narrative is that AI is a "labor enhancer." These companies provide the essential infrastructure for AI (MSFT/SNOW) or the "rules and rails" of business (CRM/NOW) that cannot be easily replaced by LLMs. LONG. The sell-off is a tactical opportunity to buy high-quality compounders at depressed multiples. If "Agentic AI" actually begins replacing seat-based SaaS licenses faster than anticipated.
AI Software
Long
Jul 13
$1902000.00
-15.2%
Memory stocks cheap, less cyclical.
Memory stocks like Micron and SK Hynix are undervalued because they have locked in five-year supply contracts that reduce cyclical downside, yet trade at 8x earnings versus SOX at 40x, while AI demand continues.
AI Memory
Long
Apr 29
$370.10
-8.6%
Cloud accelerating, AI demand strong, buy.
The three major hyperscalers—Amazon, Microsoft, and Google—all reported cloud business acceleration above expectations, driven by strong AI demand. This is a very positive sign for their earnings and stock performance.
Hyperscalers
Long
Apr 24
$348.46
+30.9%
Buy AMD on CPU demand surge.
AMD is a buy because of surging CPU demand from AI agents, which creates a bottleneck that benefits both AMD and Intel, but AMD has better execution with higher gross margins (55% vs Intel's 39%) and superior manufacturing economics (TSMC-level profitability vs Intel's losses). AMD also has exposure to GPUs and a key customer in OpenAI, guiding for 35% growth through 2030. The CPU demand increase is happening faster than expected, as evidenced by Intel's strong quarter including selling previously written-down chips.
AI Compute
Long
Feb 18
$187.79
+37.7%
Software stocks have underperformed the broader market by the widest margin since 2000. Luria notes MSFT, NOW, SNOW, and DDOG are trading at attractive valuations relative to growth. Newman highlights CRM and NOW are proving AI is an accelerator, not a displacer. The market is pricing in "obsolescence risk" (AI replacing software), but the counter-narrative is that AI is a "labor enhancer." These companies provide the essential infrastructure for AI (MSFT/SNOW) or the "rules and rails" of business (CRM/NOW) that cannot be easily replaced by LLMs. LONG. The sell-off is a tactical opportunity to buy high-quality compounders at depressed multiples. If "Agentic AI" actually begins replacing seat-based SaaS licenses faster than anticipated.
Software stocks have underperformed the broader market by the widest margin since 2000. Luria notes MSFT, NOW, SNOW, and DDOG are trading at attractive valuations relative to growth. Newman highlights CRM and NOW are proving AI is an accelerator, not a displacer. The market is pricing in "obsolescence risk" (AI replacing software), but the counter-narrative is that AI is a "labor enhancer." These companies provide the essential infrastructure for AI (MSFT/SNOW) or the "rules and rails" of business (CRM/NOW) that cannot be easily replaced by LLMs. LONG. The sell-off is a tactical opportunity to buy high-quality compounders at depressed multiples. If "Agentic AI" actually begins replacing seat-based SaaS licenses faster than anticipated.
AI Software
Long
Jul 29
$379.33
-4.8%
Semiconductor gross margins stay high, safe
Competition from Chinese chips is not a meaningful leverage point against NVIDIA, Broadcom, Micron, etc. As long as the data center build-out continues to ramp, those semiconductor companies will continue to enjoy 75% gross margins.
AI ASIC
Long
Jul 08
$128.47
+32.2%
PLTR and MSFT win as AI orchestrators.
Palantir and Microsoft provide the AI orchestration layer that lets companies switch between models and avoid lock-in, positioning them as prime beneficiaries of enterprise AI adoption.
AI Software
Short
Jul 02
$82.87
+2.4%
Meta threat destroys Nebius/CoreWeave value.
Meta’s entry into the cloud compute supply business is directly threatening Nebius and CoreWeave. Meta accounts for over half of Nebius’s backlog and more than a third of CoreWeave’s, and Meta may renegotiate or not renew these contracts, making those backlogs worth much less.
NeoCloud
Long
Jul 02
$587.99
+1.3%
Meta cloud pivot unlocks profitable compute sales.
Meta's strategic pivot to sell its excess AI computing capacity to third parties transforms unused data centers into a high-margin revenue opportunity, mirroring SpaceX’s successful model. This move turns underutilized assets into a potential $30B+ annual business and is a no-brainer for the stock.
Hyperscalers
Short
Jul 02
$211.53
+4.0%
Meta threat destroys Nebius/CoreWeave value.
Meta’s entry into the cloud compute supply business is directly threatening Nebius and CoreWeave. Meta accounts for over half of Nebius’s backlog and more than a third of CoreWeave’s, and Meta may renegotiate or not renew these contracts, making those backlogs worth much less.
NeoCloud
Showing 15 of 18 calls · sorted by mentions

Gil Luria has 18 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 18 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 83% across 18 evaluated calls, average return +21.7%. Ranked #35 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: NVDA, MU, MSFT.