January 2 Pre-Market: Will KOSPI Break 5,000 in 2026? / Will Foreign Investment in Samsung Electronics and SK hynix Accelerate?

[1월2일 #장시작전] 2026년 증시 코스피 5000 돌파할까? / 삼성전자, SK하이닉스에 외인 투자 본격화 되나?
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 02, 2026 at 00:21  |  2:44:36  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Hwang Yoo-hyun — Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities
Min Jae-gi — Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club

Summary

The January 2, 2026 pre-market show reviews a strong 2025 Korean market, with KOSPI up sharply and semiconductors leading. Panelists debate whether the rally continues in 2026, highlighting semiconductors, Hyundai governance reform, entertainment/China reopening, batteries, robots, and U.S. growth stocks. The tone is constructive but cautious, with emphasis on earnings revisions, policy beneficiaries, and event-driven risks.

  • KOSPI and KOSDAQ opened the new year after a strong 2025, with large-cap semiconductors dominating returns.
  • Lee Joo-hyun sees KOSPI potentially reaching 6,000 and favors Hyundai governance reform, CJ Logistics, entertainment, and battery rebound setups.
  • Hwang Yu-hyun remains constructive on U.S. equities, Tesla, Apple, and small caps, while warning that 2026 may require more risk management.
  • Lee Joo-yeon highlights China-visit beneficiaries such as entertainment, K-beauty, and tourism, plus policy themes in KOSDAQ, robots, defense, nuclear, shipbuilding, and regional infrastructure.
  • Min Jae-ki focuses on semiconductor valuation upside, SK Square/Wonik holding-company discounts, Samsung Electro-Mechanics, S-Oil, HYBE's BTS comeback, and tactical chart setups.
  • Across the show, the main market implication is continued optimism led by semiconductors, but with rotation into policy, China-reopening, and earnings-revision beneficiaries.
Ideas
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 16:14
Korean semiconductor trend remains strong
China demand for Nvidia's H200 is around 2 million chips versus Nvidia inventory of about 700,000, and Nvidia has asked TSMC to expand output. Approval is conditional and regulatory risk remains, but if exports proceed it benefits Nvidia and Korean memory suppliers such as Samsung Electronics and SK hynix.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 17:50
Hyundai governance restructuring unlocks group value
The biggest 2026 event for Hyundai Motor Group is the Boston Dynamics listing and the succession/governance restructuring of Chairman Chung Eui-sun. Because Hyundai Glovis holds about 10% of Hyundai Motor and may buy Hyundai Mobis and merge with it, Lee recommends buying Glovis now, then switching to Hyundai Mobis when a merger is announced, or buying Hyundai Motor as an alternative.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 17:50
Hyundai governance restructuring unlocks group value
The biggest 2026 event for Hyundai Motor Group is the Boston Dynamics listing and the succession/governance restructuring of Chairman Chung Eui-sun. Because Hyundai Glovis holds about 10% of Hyundai Motor and may buy Hyundai Mobis and merge with it, Lee recommends buying Glovis now, then switching to Hyundai Mobis when a merger is announced, or buying Hyundai Motor as an alternative.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 20:50
Samsung C&T benefits from governance
Samsung C&T can rise under governance completion and Commercial Act revision because Lee Jae-yong has little downside if Samsung C&T appreciates, unlike Hyundai Mobis or Hyundai Motor where ownership costs rise with the share price. The stock has already re-rated but the owner is unlikely to block further upside.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 22:12
Coupang faces political and regulatory risk
Coupang has become a target after angering National Assembly members, and the government is unlikely to leave it alone. Even if the immediate noise passes, political and regulatory pressure raises the risk of damage to its market position.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 23:13
CJ Logistics gains from Coupang crackdown
Coupang's political and regulatory targeting may cause some share dispersion to rivals. Most other e-commerce players rely on CJ Logistics for fulfillment, and CJ Logistics' stock has fallen a lot. With PBR around 0.5x, even a move to 1.0x could double the stock, and stable earnings plus possible dividend/shareholder-return support add optionality.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 25:19
HYBE leads China-opening entertainment rally
China-opening expectations are positive for Korean entertainment, and HYBE is the sector leader. He says investors can simply hold HYBE, while SM is for more aggressive investors.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 25:24
SM offers aggressive China reopening leverage
SM is the more aggressive entertainment pick because Tencent capital is already in the shareholder base and China-related opening should benefit it first. The stock reacted fastest to the China visit news.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 26:04
JYP is depressed and could rebound
JYP's share price is the weakest among major entertainment names, but Stray Kids have strong European popularity and the group's self-producing structure differentiates it. A depressed chart could surprisingly rebound.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 29:24
Battery stocks may rebound later
Secondary battery and EV-related stocks have fallen sharply on bad news, but much may already be priced in. LG Energy Solution and L&F should be kept on watchlists because if positives emerge, the group may respond slowly and then rally from around March-April.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 31:11
KOSPI can reach six thousand
The KOSPI rose sharply in 2025 on large-cap leadership and policy momentum, and Lee expects the uptrend to continue into 2026 with a target around 6,000 and at least 5,500. He acknowledges periodic corrections and rotation, but sees large-cap and foreign-flow support keeping the index biased higher.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 42:58
S&P 500 remains investable
Although the S&P 500 failed to hold 7,000 and ended 2025 weak, the long-term trend is not broken and the AI cycle is still ongoing. Hwang says the U.S. market is still investable, while warning that 2026 will require more risk management.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 49:29
Apple AI catalyst could spark breakout
Apple has been quiet in AI and has traded sideways, but a Google partnership and eventual AI product rollout could provide the catalyst for a breakout. If price confirms, trend followers could chase the move toward the prior high.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 51:12
Tesla is top M7 pick
Tesla is the most anticipated M7 name for 2026. Its self-driving and robotics progress are becoming visible, EV sales provide a cash cow, and the expected SpaceX IPO gives Tesla an event-driven stake value catalyst through the summer.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 57:14
Small caps may outperform large caps
Stifel sees U.S. small/mid-cap and value stocks outperforming large caps in 2026 as AI capex spending trickles down to the broader economy. Russell 2000-type names are the cleaner relative expression.
Hwang Yoo-hyun Private Banker Team Lead, NH Investment & Securities 58:57
KOSDAQ has seasonal first-day strength
The KOSDAQ has historically risen on the first trading day of the year. Hwang flags this seasonal pattern as a short-term reference point for early January trading.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 71:13
K-beauty benefits from China opening
President Lee Jae-myung's China visit may ease the Korean ban and benefit K-beauty. Amorepacific has already reduced China inventory exposure, while LG H&H remains depressed, so traditional cosmetics names could regain expectations if China relations improve.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 72:40
Tourism benefits from China opening
A large business delegation accompanying President Lee to China raises expectations for a lifting of the Korean ban, boosting tourism, casinos, duty-free, and leisure names. Lotte Tour Development, Seobu T&D, Paradise, Shinsegae, and Hotel Shilla are highlighted as related beneficiaries.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 80:31
Regional infrastructure plan boosts construction
The government's plan to move advanced industries and data centers from the capital region to five regional hubs should benefit construction, power infrastructure, cables, transformers, transmission grids, and regional asset holders. This is a policy-driven local development theme.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 82:47
KOSDAQ gets policy growth fund
The government's New Year policy emphasizes inclusive growth and a 150 trillion won national growth fund, which should support startups, venture capital, IPOs, and the KOSDAQ. This is seen as a rotation catalyst from concentrated large-cap and battery leadership into broader growth sectors.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 84:20
Industrial robots gain from safety rules
Tighter industrial safety and disaster penalties should force companies to invest in smart factories and industrial/collaborative robots. This creates a structural policy tailwind for robotics even though the sector may be volatile.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 86:53
Defense nuclear shipbuilding remain leading sectors
The New Year policy theme of peace and stable growth includes nuclear-powered submarines, reprocessing, defense exports, and shipbuilding. Defense, nuclear, and shipbuilding remain sectors to keep watching in 2026, especially given U.S.-Korea security cooperation.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 94:08
Jeju Semiconductor leads small-cap semiconductor trade
Jeju Semiconductor showed a strong price move and could have continuity as small-cap semiconductor names rotate into favor. It is highlighted as a trading target within the semiconductor small-cap flow.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 111:36
Nota has Samsung AI supply tie
Nota supplies AI technology to Samsung's next-generation Exynos processor. It is newly listed, consolidating with increasing trading volume, and having a working relationship with Samsung is a positive differentiator for an AI software name in Korea.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 113:06
Selvas Healthcare shows reversal setup
Selvas Healthcare showed a potential reversal signal after a box breakout and pullback. If it holds the prior low and opens higher, the stock could move toward resistance, making it a tactical trading setup.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 114:45
Olix momentum remains alive
Olix is consolidating in a box after a large rise. Institutional and foreign buying continues, so momentum remains alive; a clean breakout above the prior high could trigger another run.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 115:36
ABL Bio chart is improving
ABL Bio is converging and forming short-term bullish moving-average alignment. It is a watchlist name for a possible favorable chart setup.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 116:27
Proteina remains in uptrend
Proteina continues to trend upward and remains a chart-based attack target within the healthcare trading basket.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 118:17
Hyundai AutoEver rises on autonomy hopes
Hyundai AutoEver spiked late in the prior session and has turned upward. It is linked to Hyundai Motor's autonomous driving and robotics efforts, and the market expects Nvidia chips to help it produce tangible autonomous-driving results.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 119:25
SPG chart setup remains valid
SPG is a robot-related chart that rose, pulled back, and may set up again if it prints a positive candle. It is a tactical trading candidate within the robot theme.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 121:38
Micron remains cheap with breakout setup
Micron remains cheap relative to 2026 earnings even after the semiconductor rally. The stock is forming a base and a cup-with-handle-like setup, so dips can be accumulated ahead of a possible breakout to new highs.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 131:22
LG Electronics new AI business watch
LG Electronics received target-price upgrades on new AI data center cooling and energy storage businesses, but its core appliances face rising raw material costs and weak consumer demand. The new businesses need to cover the main business before the stock can sustainably re-rate.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 134:34
Construction may be contrarian rebound
Construction sector earnings revisions remain negative, but the stock group has started to move and could become a contrarian rebound candidate. It is not the main focus yet, but worth monitoring as market interest rotates.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 140:57
Wonik is undervalued versus stake
Wonik is a holding company that owns about 30% of Wonik Holdings. Since Wonik Holdings surged on robot-hand assets, Wonik's stake value alone appears too cheap relative to its market cap, and the shares have risen in sympathy.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 141:26
SK Square is cheap versus SK hynix
SK Square is an intermediate holding company owning roughly 30% of SK hynix. It trades at a discount while offering more elasticity than SK hynix itself, and it is moving to historical highs with foreign buying.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 143:15
Samsung has PBR re-rating room
Samsung Electronics can re-rate under a PBR framework. With 2026 book value around 72,420 won and a 2x PBR target, the implied price is about 145,000 won, leaving meaningful room from around 120,000 won.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 144:50
SK hynix has thirty percent upside
SK hynix has about 30% upside based on the historical PBR band top of 3.5x and rising 2026 book value. Analysts are raising targets toward 800,000-860,000 won, and the stock remains a core semiconductor beneficiary.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 148:42
Samsung Electro-Mechanics benefits from physical AI
Samsung Electro-Mechanics is a hidden physical-AI beneficiary through AI data center MLCCs, substrates, and camera/optical modules for humanoid robots. Analysts have raised targets above 300,000 won while the stock consolidates.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 149:42
S-Oil gains from refining margins
S-Oil is a representative energy beneficiary as refining margins improve, driving positive earnings estimate revisions. It is part of the energy sector that stands out in the positive EPS revision screen.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 153:30
HYBE benefits from BTS comeback
HYBE is the entertainment leader and the strongest chart in the group. BTS announced a March 20 comeback, and once concert schedules are released, HYBE's earnings estimates could be revised up and create a new rally. Entertainment basket inflows have already appeared, but HYBE has not yet fully participated.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 156:11
Robot sector faces CES sell-the-news
The robot sector has already produced tenbaggers and CES 2026 could become a sell-the-news event. Current holders should consider trimming, while those not invested should wait for a pullback rather than chase after the huge run.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 158:41
LivsMed is new surgical robot candidate
LivsMed is a newly listed surgical robot company that is being compared with Intuitive Surgical. It is improving existing surgical-robot pain points, but it has no meaningful earnings yet and is presented as a study candidate rather than a guaranteed tenbagger.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published January 02, 2026, features Lee Ju-hyeon, Hwang Yoo-hyun, Min Jae-gi discussing 005930.KS, 000660.KS, NVDA, 086280.KS, 012330.KS, 005380.KS, 028260.KS, CPNG, 000120.KS, 352820.KS, 041510.KQ, 035900.KQ, 373220.KS, 066970.KS, EWY, SPY, AAPL, TSLA, IWM, KOSDAQ, 090430.KS, 051900.KS, Lotte Tour Development, Seobu T&D, 034230.KS, 008770.KS, 004170.KS, Korean construction sector, Korean Power Infrastructure Sector, Korean industrial robot sector, Korean defense sector, Korean nuclear sector, Korean shipbuilding sector, 080220.KQ, NOTA, 208370.KQ, 226950.KQ, 298380.KQ, Proteina, 307950.KS, 058610.KQ, MU, 066570.KS, 032940.KQ, 402340.KS, 009150.KS, 010950.KS, BOTZ, LivsMed. 42 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Ju-hyeon, Hwang Yoo-hyun, Min Jae-gi  · Tickers: 005930.KS, 000660.KS, NVDA, 086280.KS, 012330.KS, 005380.KS, 028260.KS, CPNG, 000120.KS, 352820.KS, 041510.KQ, 035900.KQ, 373220.KS, 066970.KS, EWY, SPY, AAPL, TSLA, IWM, KOSDAQ, 090430.KS, 051900.KS, Lotte Tour Development, Seobu T&D, 034230.KS, 008770.KS, 004170.KS, Korean construction sector, Korean Power Infrastructure Sector, Korean industrial robot sector, Korean defense sector, Korean nuclear sector, Korean shipbuilding sector, 080220.KQ, NOTA, 208370.KQ, 226950.KQ, 298380.KQ, Proteina, 307950.KS, 058610.KQ, MU, 066570.KS, 032940.KQ, 402340.KS, 009150.KS, 010950.KS, BOTZ, LivsMed