Now is the time to focus on defense, don't spend cash recklessly! | Chesley Investment Advisory Executive Director Park Se-ik [Chesley AI / 22.08.26.Sat]

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 23, 2026 at 05:00  |  30:55  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist

Summary

Park Se-ik updates his market view for August 22, saying the KOSPI and semiconductor indices are in a seasonal correction. He has cut equity exposure and wants to stay defensive into mid-September before buying weakness. He highlights Samsung Electronics' foundry-driven support and SK Hynix's overhead supply risk, while rising 10-year Treasury yields call for patience with cash.

  • SOX semiconductor index has broken its 5-day line and faces weak September seasonality.
  • KOSPI recovered only about 50% of its drop and is unlikely to reclaim its 5-month moving average this month.
  • Park reduced equity risk from last Friday to this week to wait for mid-September opportunities.
  • Samsung Electronics has foundry-driven support near 230,000 won.
  • SK Hynix has heavy retail overhead supply and may test or break its July low.
  • The US 10-year Treasury yield rising to 4.74% means more patience before deploying cash.
  • Overall stance is defense over offense until mid-September.
Ideas
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 2:20
Wait until mid-September before buying semis
The Philadelphia semiconductor index has broken its 5-day moving average and is entering weak September seasonality. Park wants to wait until early-to-mid September before buying semiconductors because the index historically adjusts for about 10 months and then ultimately rises, while earnings remain alive.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 7:54
Cut KOSPI risk until mid-September
Park expects KOSPI to struggle into mid-September because September is seasonally weak, the monthly 5-month moving average has broken, and foreign investors are not returning aggressively. He has been cutting equity exposure since last Friday and wants to hold cash to buy weakness later in September.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 19:16
Wait before deploying cash as yields rise
The US 10-year Treasury yield has risen again to 4.74% and the chart pattern is poor. Park notes August-October historically pressured yields higher in 2022 and 2023, so he wants more patience before deploying cash because yields could rise further.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 23:14
Samsung foundry news supports 230k floor
Samsung Electronics has relative support because its foundry business keeps producing positive news. Even if the stock is pushed down again, Park sees the 230,000 won area as a strong support level.
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 23:42
SK Hynix overhead supply, may break low
SK Hynix is lagging because retail investors are heavily trapped and overhead supply is dense roughly between 173,000 and 180,000 won. The monthly chart is weak and Park thinks the July low of 1,246,000 won may be broken before any rebound; buyback activity may only provide some defense.
Up Next

This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published August 23, 2026, features Park Se-ik discussing SOXX, EWY, US10Y, 005930.KS, 000660.KS. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Se-ik  · Tickers: SOXX, EWY, US10Y, 005930.KS, 000660.KS