Fed Holds Rates; Saudi Arabia's Giga Spending | Horizons Middle East & Africa 1/29/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 29, 2026 at 07:23  |  45:51  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Parisha Saimbi — BNP Paribas, EM Asia FXLM Strategist
Min Min Low — China Correspondent, Bloomberg
Annabel Droulers — Anchor, Bloomberg TV
Martin Ritchie — Metals & Mining Reporter
Monica Malik — Chief Economist, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank
Joumanna Bercetche — Anchor, Bloomberg
Lael Brainard — Former Federal Reserve Vice Chair

Summary

The program covers the Fed holding rates with Powell signaling an improved US outlook, mixed big tech earnings, record highs in gold, copper, and silver, and Saudi Arabia's recalibration of ambitious projects. Guests discuss FX strategy, memory chips, commodities, Indonesian market stress, and African central bank rate decisions. The main market implications are a weaker dollar bias, long euro crosses, a memory-chip bull cycle, positive copper/aluminum supply-demand, and caution on overheated tech and Indonesian equities.

  • Fed held rates; Powell pointed to a steadier labor market and no clear case for near-term cuts.
  • Big tech earnings were mixed: Meta and Tesla rose, Microsoft fell on capex and Azure concerns.
  • Gold, silver, and copper hit record highs on a weaker dollar and geopolitical tensions.
  • Memory chips are in focus as AI demand for HBM tightens conventional DRAM supply.
  • BNP Paribas sees downside dollar risk and prefers long EUR/USD and EUR/JPY.
  • Saudi Arabia is recalibrating mega-projects, with reforms seen as positive for sustainable growth, equities, and real estate.
  • Indonesian stocks slumped on investability and transparency concerns; African central banks are expected to cut rates in some countries.
Ideas
Min Min Low China Correspondent, Bloomberg 5:47
Tech and AI sentiment overheated.
Despite strong earnings from Samsung and SK Hynix, tech stocks saw institutional selling and the market lacked a broad-based tech rally. She says this may signal overheated sentiment in the tech sector and later notes the broader Tokyo tech/AI sector looks overheated.
Min Min Low China Correspondent, Bloomberg 5:55
China property boosted by regulatory easing.
China property developers rallied after local media reports that some developers no longer need to submit monthly redline indicators, the regulatory metrics introduced in 2021 to rein in sector leverage. She views this as a big shot in the arm for the China property sector and a recovery in market sentiment, with Vanke up 8%.
Parisha Saimbi BNP Paribas, EM Asia FXLM Strategist 9:24
Dollar downside tail risk, weaker bias.
She sees downside tail risk for the US dollar versus upside. The dollar has weakened due to unpredictable US administration policy and real-money investors hedging US asset exposure; she says the stars have aligned for markets to trade a weaker dollar, though her overall dollar view is more balanced.
Parisha Saimbi BNP Paribas, EM Asia FXLM Strategist 11:53
Long EUR/JPY on Japanese fiscal stimulus.
She expects the yen to weaken because of Japan's fiscal position and likely further fiscal stimulus after the election. While Japanese intervention could cause sharp dollar-yen declines, she would buy those dips; she prefers to express the yen-short view through long EUR/JPY because of the weaker dollar environment.
Parisha Saimbi BNP Paribas, EM Asia FXLM Strategist 12:34
Long EUR/USD on improving euro data.
She expects EUR/USD to continue higher and has a long euro-dollar trade idea with a target of 1.22. Improving euro-area economic data should justify a higher term premium and better growth and inflation expectations. She says momentum, even without new data, can carry the euro stronger and does not see a stronger euro as a major headwind for the euro zone.
Annabel Droulers Anchor, Bloomberg TV 16:54
Memory chips in multiyear bull cycle.
She sees a looming memory-chip crunch as AI demand for HBM forces producers like SK Hynix and Samsung to repurpose production away from conventional DRAM used in PCs and smartphones, tightening supply. Elon Musk flagged memory access as a bigger near-term issue than AI chips. Samsung beat expectations with a more than fivefold profit gain and SK Hynix posted its strongest quarterly results ever. Many analysts and investors expect a multiyear bull cycle for memory chip prices.
Martin Ritchie Metals & Mining Reporter 19:45
Gold, silver rally on weak dollar.
Gold and silver are at fresh record highs, with the rally fueled by more bearish sentiment around a weaker dollar. He notes precious metals are entering a stage of lower liquidity as banks are less willing to make markets, leading to higher volatility and bigger price moves.
Martin Ritchie Metals & Mining Reporter 20:30
Copper, aluminum short supply from growth.
He says copper is a different story from precious metals, with massive trading in China and the Shanghai futures exchange heading for its busiest month on record. He thinks people are betting on copper, aluminum, and other metals being in short supply because of growth industries such as robotics, AI, and power grids.
Min Min Low China Correspondent, Bloomberg 26:46
Indonesian stocks face investability concerns.
Indonesia's index fell about 5-6% after resuming trading, the biggest two-day slide since 1998, following warnings about the fundamental investability of Indonesian stocks and concerns over transparency and the amount of stocks available from listed companies. UBS and Goldman Sachs also cut ratings on Indonesian stocks.
Monica Malik Chief Economist, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank 31:45
Saudi recalibration supports sustainable growth.
She believes Saudi Arabia's recalibration of projects is sensible, driven by lower oil prices and rising project costs, and that a more measured, solid pace of growth is positive for debt sustainability and fundamentals. She sees the project pipeline still large, with ongoing structural reforms and capital attraction positive for the longer term, resulting in slightly slower but more sustainable growth.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 29, 2026, features Min Min Low, Parisha Saimbi, Annabel Droulers, Martin Ritchie, Monica Malik discussing XLK, AI-SECTOR, China property sector, USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/USD, DRAM, 000660.KS, 005930.KS, GLD, SILVER, COPPER, Aluminum, EIDO, KSA. 10 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Min Min Low, Parisha Saimbi, Annabel Droulers, Martin Ritchie, Monica Malik  · Tickers: XLK, AI-SECTOR, China property sector, USD, EUR/JPY, EUR/USD, DRAM, 000660.KS, 005930.KS, GLD, SILVER, COPPER, Aluminum, EIDO, KSA