Market agrees tariffs are bad for everybody, says Ariel Investments' Charles Bobrinskoy

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 21, 2026 at 18:56  |  4:50  |  CNBC
Speakers
Charles Bobrinskoy — Vice Chair and Head of Investment Group, Ariel Investments

Summary

Charles Bobrinskoy of Ariel Investments discusses the market reaction to tariff threats and argues tariffs are inflationary and bad for everybody. He sees a rotation from overvalued large-cap growth into cheaper small- and mid-cap value. He expects stubborn inflation from deficits, tariffs, less globalization, and less immigration to lift gold, oil, and quality real estate, and he favors specific cheap energy and mining names. He also comments positively on Sphere's capital-light expansion and Wizard of Oz attendance.

  • Tariff threats are weighing on markets; Bobrinskoy says tariffs are inflationary and bad for everybody.
  • He sees large-cap growth as overvalued and favors a rotation into small- and mid-cap value.
  • Inflation is seen as stubbornly high due to deficits, tariffs, less globalization, and less immigration.
  • Inflationary forces are expected to support gold, oil, and quality real estate.
  • Barrick Mining is favored as a cheap gold miner with underestimated earnings power.
  • Apache and Schlumberger are favored as cheap oil and gas exposure.
  • Sphere is discussed positively for capital-light expansion and strong Wizard of Oz attendance.
  • The Fed's 2% inflation target is viewed as difficult to achieve.
Ideas
Charles Bobrinskoy Vice Chair and Head of Investment Group, Ariel Investments 1:26
Rotate from large-cap growth to small-cap value
Large-cap growth stocks were clearly overvalued and are off to a terrible start, while small- and mid-cap value are doing well and small-cap value remains reasonably priced. The market is finally rotating out of large-cap growth into small-cap value.
Charles Bobrinskoy Vice Chair and Head of Investment Group, Ariel Investments 1:26
Rotate from large-cap growth to small-cap value
Large-cap growth stocks were clearly overvalued and are off to a terrible start, while small- and mid-cap value are doing well and small-cap value remains reasonably priced. The market is finally rotating out of large-cap growth into small-cap value.
Charles Bobrinskoy Vice Chair and Head of Investment Group, Ariel Investments 2:57
Inflation keeps driving gold higher
Inflation is stubbornly high, and trillion-dollar deficits, tariffs, less globalization, and less immigration are all inflationary forces that should keep inflation above the Fed's 2% target. That is driving gold prices higher.
Charles Bobrinskoy Vice Chair and Head of Investment Group, Ariel Investments 2:59
Inflation and demand lift oil
The same stubborn inflation and global demand for oil should drive oil prices higher; the world needs oil and natural gas.
Charles Bobrinskoy Vice Chair and Head of Investment Group, Ariel Investments 3:01
Inflation lifts quality real estate
Stubborn inflation and inflationary forces should drive quality real estate higher.
Charles Bobrinskoy Vice Chair and Head of Investment Group, Ariel Investments 3:42
Barrick cheap as gold earnings underestimated
Barrick Mining, one of the world's largest gold miners, trades at less than 14 times earnings, and the market is underestimating its earnings power with gold at $4,800 an ounce.
Charles Bobrinskoy Vice Chair and Head of Investment Group, Ariel Investments 3:56
Cheap oil names benefit from demand
Apache and Schlumberger are cheap because low prices show investors do not believe oil will have a good year, but the world needs oil and natural gas, so both should benefit.
Charles Bobrinskoy Vice Chair and Head of Investment Group, Ariel Investments 4:32
Sphere expansion capital-light, attendance strong
Sphere's expansion is capital-light for the company and the Dolans, with a third location likely and Dubai probably next, while Wizard of Oz is breaking attendance expectations; as an owner, he remains upbeat on the venue.
Up Next

This CNBC video, published January 21, 2026, features Charles Bobrinskoy discussing Small cap value, VOE, Large Cap Growth, GLD, WTI, Quality real estate, B, APA, SLB, Sphere. 8 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Charles Bobrinskoy  · Tickers: Small cap value, VOE, Large Cap Growth, GLD, WTI, Quality real estate, B, APA, SLB, Sphere