Trump’s Iran Deal Faces a Fragile 60-Day Test | Insight with Haslinda Amin 06/18/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  June 18, 2026 at 08:02  |  46:55  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Vicki Chi — Chief Asian Equities Portfolio Manager, Robeco
Ankita Pathak — Head of Global Investments, Iconic Asset
K. Balasubramanian — Managing Director
Sushant Dash — CEO, Tata Starbucks
Samir Puri — Visiting Lecturer in War Studies, King's College London

Summary

The episode covers the US-Iran interim peace deal and the fragile 60-day test for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish debut and the implications for rate expectations, and a potential US-India trade deal. Portfolio managers discuss AI semiconductor opportunities in Asia, India’s equity bottom and ASEAN valuations, while Citi’s India CEO outlines a bullish inflow outlook.

  • US and Iran sign an interim peace deal, with a 60-day negotiation window and uncertain Strait of Hormuz reopening.
  • Fed Chair Warsh holds rates but strikes a hawkish tone, spurring rate hike bets for October.
  • Oil prices retreat on hopes of resumed energy flows, but uncertainty remains.
  • Robeco’s Vicki Chi sees AI-driven semiconductor shortages benefiting Korean and Japanese chip stocks.
  • Iconic Asset’s Ankita Pathak favors profitable AI infrastructure names and sees India equities bottoming.
  • Tata Starbucks CEO outlines aggressive store expansion in India, targeting 50-100 new stores annually.
  • Citi India CEO K Balasubramanian expects $60-80 billion inflows from RBI measures and a US-India trade deal lifting Indian equities.
Ideas
Ankita Pathak Head of Global Investments, Iconic Asset 28:35
Profitable AI semis resist rate hikes.
AI infrastructure semiconductor names with established profitability have earnings growth so strong that they can easily offset higher interest rates, unlike low-margin sectors. These profitable AI plays have multiple catalysts from earnings momentum.
Vicki Chi Chief Asian Equities Portfolio Manager, Robeco 29:18
AI shortages benefit Korea and Japan semis.
The AI-driven semiconductor supply chain is experiencing increasing shortages across memory and CPU, rewarding patient positioning in Asian semiconductor stocks (Korea, Japan). Fundamental improvements from AI create rotation opportunities and significant alpha.
Ankita Pathak Head of Global Investments, Iconic Asset 31:33
India equities bottom on valuation comfort.
India equities are bottoming out on valuation comfort (Nifty 50 at 19x PE, EM premium turned discount), solid earnings, new AI partnerships (Nvidia, Ismail), and favorable fiscal and monetary measures. The end of the Iran war removes an overhang, and the rupee is stabilizing.
Vicki Chi Chief Asian Equities Portfolio Manager, Robeco 32:45
ASEAN equities cheap with improving margins.
ASEAN equities are trading at very attractive valuations and, once inflation expectations stabilize from cooling oil prices, margin outlooks will improve from very low expectations, boosting investor sentiment across regional equity markets.
K. Balasubramanian Managing Director 35:15
India inflows surge from trade deal.
Indian equities are set for a broad-based recovery in H2 2026 as $60-80 billion in capital inflows arrive from RBI measures, the imminent US-India trade deal opens defence, high-tech, data centres, energy and renewables, and the rupee stabilizes. All three market segments (large, mid, small caps) will see flows return.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published June 18, 2026, features Ankita Pathak, Vicki Chi, K. Balasubramanian discussing AIQ, Korean semiconductor stocks, Japanese semiconductor stocks, NIFTY 50, ASEAN equities, Indian equities. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Ankita Pathak, Vicki Chi, K. Balasubramanian  · Tickers: AIQ, Korean semiconductor stocks, Japanese semiconductor stocks, NIFTY 50, ASEAN equities, Indian equities