February 4 Pre-Market: Gold and Oil Surge on Iran Drone Shootdown, New York Stocks Fall; Will Korean Stocks Plunge Again Today?

[2월4일 #장시작전] 이란 드론 격추 소식에 금, 유가 급등, 뉴욕증시 하락 / 한국증시 오늘도 급락장 나올까?
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 04, 2026 at 00:22  |  2:49:21  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Park Hyun-sang — Deputy Head
Kim Tae-seong — Division Head, Xangle
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Min Jae-gi — Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club

Summary

The February 4 pre-market show reviewed a sharp Korean market rebound after Monday's plunge, while US technology shares fell on AI-driven software disruption fears. Guests favored Korean semiconductors, SK hynix and SK Square value-up catalysts, nuclear and power infrastructure, shipping, construction machinery, and select battery and biotech themes. Commodity volatility rose after an Iran drone shootdown lifted gold and oil, and software/SaaS was viewed cautiously because AI agents may pressure legacy revenue models.

  • Korean equities rebounded sharply, with speakers debating whether to buy dips, hold, or reduce before the Lunar New Year holiday.
  • US M7 and technology shares weakened as Anthropic's Claude Cowork raised fears that AI agents could disrupt legacy software and cloud demand.
  • Storage hardware, industrials, energy, and power infrastructure were highlighted as areas that held up better than large-cap tech.
  • SK hynix, SK Square, and SK Inc drew attention after Third Point disclosed stakes and pushed for ADR listing and shareholder returns.
  • Iran-related geopolitical risk lifted oil volatility and supported short-term interest in shipping and energy names.
  • Korean securities brokers were favored on record trading volume, while nuclear, power infrastructure, and construction machinery were also highlighted.
  • Battery and ESS names were watched for upcoming earnings and the InterBattery event, and obesity-drug reformulation was a biotech focus.
Ideas
Park Hyun-sang Deputy Head 2:53
Buy Korean equities; dips are opportunities.
Park argues the Korean market is in an unusually strong phase and sharp one-day drops should not be treated as exits unless caused by interest-rate shocks; with around KRW 111tn in waiting deposits and heavy retail buying, he advises holding stocks, keeping 20-30% cash, and adding on weakness rather than selling into panic.
Park Hyun-sang Deputy Head 14:04
Samsung and Korean semis remain leadership buys.
Morgan Stanley raised its Samsung Electronics target and called it the biggest money-making tech company, with 2026 operating-profit estimates around KRW 230tn; Park sees more upside even after a 10% jump and says semiconductor leadership remains intact, so investors should accumulate on weakness.
Park Hyun-sang Deputy Head 28:04
Watch autos for tariff relief upside.
Autos lagged the semiconductor-led rally, but Park says the sector remains a core leading industry; if Trump tariff risk is resolved, Korean automakers could jump another 10%, so he treats the tariff period as an accumulation window.
Park Hyun-sang Deputy Head 28:49
Korean securities and Mirae still have upside.
Park has repeatedly favored securities brokers as KOSPI rises, ETF products multiply, and exchanges extend trading hours toward 24-hour trading; Mirae Asset Securities has added momentum from SpaceX-related exposure, and he thinks the group can keep rising.
Park Hyun-sang Deputy Head 29:30
Buy holding companies with strong subsidiary earnings.
He favors holding companies whose subsidiaries are reporting strong earnings, naming SK, HD, Hanwha, CJ, and LS as examples; the value-up and self-share cancellation debate can keep them rotating.
Park Hyun-sang Deputy Head 30:55
KOSDAQ 150 inclusion may attract ETF flows.
He notes that KOSDAQ 150 inclusion can attract ETF flows, and traders may rotate into laggard constituents; investors should check whether their stock is in the index because that flow can drive short-term moves.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 42:05
Small-cap semi equipment offers relative strength.
He points out small and mid-cap semiconductor equipment names in the Russell 2000 held up better than megacap semis; with capex still high and front-end profitability visible, he wants to concentrate on equipment suppliers that can fund investment.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 42:18
Buy storage hardware on AI demand.
Kim says storage hardware was a rare strong area during the tech selloff: SanDisk, Seagate, and Western Digital held up because AI workloads create durable demand for memory and storage, and he prefers these names over weaker large-cap tech.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 47:18
Avoid legacy software until AI risk clears.
Anthropic's Claude Cowork and other AI agents are beginning to perform core legal, marketing, and data-analysis workflows, threatening SaaS subscription models; Kim says buying software dips is dangerous until revenue and operating-margin trends prove AI is not eroding the business.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 52:08
Prefer power infrastructure and nuclear over oil.
Kim says capital is moving into energy, but he prefers power infrastructure and nuclear over oil because data-center power bottlenecks persist and nuclear-fuel mineral prices are rising; he would increase interest in power infrastructure and nuclear names.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 54:17
Accumulate Samsung and SK hynix on dips.
Kim remains positive on Samsung Electronics and SK hynix: they have far larger memory and storage market share than Western peers, downside should be limited, sharp rebounds are common, and he recommends a 4:4:2 mix of Samsung, SK hynix, and cash or substrate while accumulating on negative candles.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 56:32
Buy small KOSDAQ chip suppliers with growth.
His second priority within Korean semiconductor materials and equipment is small-cap KOSDAQ suppliers that grew 2025 earnings versus 2024 but have not yet rallied; KOSDAQ activation policy and index fund flows could favor them.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 57:37
Accumulate Hyundai and Kia with robot optionality.
Kim says autos and robots should be accumulated below the 500,000-won level; Hyundai Motor and Kia may need a period of consolidation, but robot valuation optionality and holding through volatility are favored.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 58:23
Prefer robot reducer suppliers over robot platforms.
He prefers robot reducer specialists over expensive robot platform names because they are a narrower component play with clearer industrial value as robot production scales.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 58:23
Rainbow Robotics valuation is hard to justify.
Rainbow Robotics has risen far beyond what its operating profit supports, and Kim finds it difficult to justify holding if it falls; he would only trade it tactically rather than invest.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 59:01
Battery sector can rise on ESS catalysts.
Kim sees potential for additional upside in secondary batteries if upcoming ESS and storage earnings and Ecopro group results are not bad, and if higher oil prices improve the renewable-energy narrative.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 59:40
Buy solid-state battery material suppliers.
In solid-state batteries, Kim highlights ISU Specialty Chemical and Lake Materials as the compressed way to play the theme.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 59:54
Buy Ecopro and POSCO Future M materials.
For battery materials, Kim compresses the idea to Ecopro, Ecopro BM, and POSCO Future M.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 60:01
Hanjung NCS is a clean ESS play.
Kim singles out Hanjung NCS because about 90% of its revenue comes from ESS, far above the under-20% ESS exposure of LG Energy Solution and other battery makers, giving it cleaner leverage to ESS growth.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 60:25
Shipping may rally on Iran risk.
If Iran-related geopolitical risk flares, Kim expects short-term strength in shipping names; he notes Daehan Shipping's position and accumulated supply and demand and also mentions Heung-A Shipping.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 62:25
SK hynix, SK Square value-up catalyst.
Third Point's Daniel Loeb disclosed stakes in SK hynix and SK Square and is pressing for US ADR listing, buybacks, and value enhancement; Lee argues SK Square is the strongest direct beneficiary because 90% of its assets are SK hynix shares, SK hynix itself should gain from ADR access and multiple expansion toward Micron, and SK Inc should benefit from self-share cancellation expectations under the commercial law amendment.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 81:32
Energy and S-Oil may rebound.
Lee says the Iran drone shootdown revived geopolitical risk and oil volatility; energy-related stocks such as S-Oil that sold off sharply can rebound again as traders rotate back into energy.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 85:09
Korean construction machinery gains from US housing.
The Trump Homes proposal for one million starter homes may create a huge US construction and equipment market; Korean machinery names with high US exposure, including Doosan Bobcat, HD Construction Equipment, and Jinsung T.E.C., could benefit, though he advises waiting for a pullback after the sharp jump.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 90:03
Novo Nordisk faces patent and competition pressure.
Novo Nordisk warned of falling 2026 sales and operating profit because of GLP-1 patent expirations, US drug-price pressure, and Eli Lilly's share gains; Lee notes the stock fell 14%, and the risk profile remains challenged despite oral obesity-drug launches.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 90:24
Eli Lilly took US obesity share.
Lee notes Eli Lilly's tirzepatide, Zepbound, and Mounjaro have overtaken Novo Nordisk in US obesity-market share, a competitive win that supports Lilly's position.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 92:49
Buy obesity reformulation pipelines in Korea.
With GLP-1 patents expiring, obesity-drug value shifts to reformulation, long-acting injections, and oral pills; Lee highlights Korean players with such pipelines, including D&D Pharmatech, G2G Bio, and Peptron.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 135:48
Gold and copper strength lifts Korean beneficiaries.
Min says gold has rebounded toward $5,000 and copper and other commodities are strong after the margin-hike shock; Korean beneficiaries such as Korea Zinc, Poongsan, and LS could see positive read-through.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 136:09
Industrial and energy rotation may reach Korea.
Min observes money rotating from technology into industrial cyclicals and energy in the US; he expects a similar rotation could support industrial and energy sectors in Korea.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 136:41
Generac gains from data-center power demand.
Generac hit a new high because its data-center engine and generator sales are improving, driving upward earnings revisions; Min treats it as a data-center power infrastructure winner.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 143:17
Buy Korean nuclear; BHI is preferred.
Nuclear was Korea's strongest premarket theme; Min prefers BHI because it already broke its prior high while Doosan Enerbility has not, and he cites Korea-US nuclear cooperation and the broader nuclear value chain including KEPCO and Woojin.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 144:26
Prefer Mirae Securities over Mirae Venture.
Min prefers Mirae Asset Securities over Mirae Asset Venture Investment: trading volume has surged to around KRW 60tn, which flows into brokerage earnings, while Mirae Asset Venture Investment's SpaceX exposure is smaller than expected and its stock is volatile.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 144:26
Prefer Mirae Securities over Mirae Venture.
Min prefers Mirae Asset Securities over Mirae Asset Venture Investment: trading volume has surged to around KRW 60tn, which flows into brokerage earnings, while Mirae Asset Venture Investment's SpaceX exposure is smaller than expected and its stock is volatile.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 145:11
Kiwoom Securities benefits from retail volume.
Korean trading value has surged, and Kiwoom Securities has the highest retail brokerage exposure, so Min expects its earnings to benefit as long as the market does not break.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 147:15
Medipost rises on cartilage clinical progress.
Medipost is making new highs as US and Japanese cartilage-regeneration clinical trials progress; Min says holders can continue but must manage risk if the upper-limit breakout price fails.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 149:06
Rare-earth magnet supply risk creates opportunity.
Trump's focus on securing rare-earth supply and China supply risk increase the strategic value of rare-earth magnets; Min highlights JS Link, which has shifted into neodymium magnets and has a JV with POSCO International, plus SenoTeX and NovaTech.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 154:14
Hyundai E&C benefits from nuclear construction.
Hyundai E&C received positive broker comment as nuclear construction starts accelerate; Min sees it as a nuclear-construction beneficiary.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 162:19
Solid-state battery ETF supported into event.
Min says the solid-state battery ETF is near a new high and the InterBattery event on March 11-13 should keep the sector's atmosphere positive until the event.
Min Jae-gi Team Leader, KB Securities Prime Club 164:26
Fadu rebounds on SSD expectations.
Fadu resumed trading and rallied on expectations that SSD demand remains strong; Min treats it as a trading rebound rather than a fundamentals-based long.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published February 04, 2026, features Park Hyun-sang, Kim Tae-seong, Lee Ju-hyeon, Min Jae-gi discussing EWY, KOSDAQ, 005930.KS, Korean semiconductor sector, Korean automakers, 006800.KS, Korean securities sector, 034730.KS, 267250.KS, 000880.KS, 001040.KS, 006260.KS, KOSDAQ 150, US semiconductor equipment small/mid caps, SNDK, STX, WDC, Software/SaaS sector, ADBE, NOW, GRID, URA, 000660.KS, 005380.KS, 000270.KS, Robot reducer suppliers, 108490.KQ, Korean secondary battery sector, 457190.KS, 281740.KQ, 086520.KQ, 247540.KQ, 003670.KS, 107640.KQ, 005880.KS, 003280.KS, 402340.KS, 010950.KS, XLE, 241560.KS, 267270.KS, 036890.KQ, NVO, LLY, 347850.KQ, 456160.KQ, 087010.KQ, GLD, COPPER, 010130.KS, 103140.KS, XLI, GNRC, 083650.KQ, 034020.KS, 015760.KS, Woojin, 100790.KQ, 039490.KS, 078160.KQ, 127120.KQ, SenoTeX, NovaTech, 000720.KS, Solid-state battery ETF, 440110.KQ. 38 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Hyun-sang, Kim Tae-seong, Lee Ju-hyeon, Min Jae-gi  · Tickers: EWY, KOSDAQ, 005930.KS, Korean semiconductor sector, Korean automakers, 006800.KS, Korean securities sector, 034730.KS, 267250.KS, 000880.KS, 001040.KS, 006260.KS, KOSDAQ 150, US semiconductor equipment small/mid caps, SNDK, STX, WDC, Software/SaaS sector, ADBE, NOW, GRID, URA, 000660.KS, 005380.KS, 000270.KS, Robot reducer suppliers, 108490.KQ, Korean secondary battery sector, 457190.KS, 281740.KQ, 086520.KQ, 247540.KQ, 003670.KS, 107640.KQ, 005880.KS, 003280.KS, 402340.KS, 010950.KS, XLE, 241560.KS, 267270.KS, 036890.KQ, NVO, LLY, 347850.KQ, 456160.KQ, 087010.KQ, GLD, COPPER, 010130.KS, 103140.KS, XLI, GNRC, 083650.KQ, 034020.KS, 015760.KS, Woojin, 100790.KQ, 039490.KS, 078160.KQ, 127120.KQ, SenoTeX, NovaTech, 000720.KS, Solid-state battery ETF, 440110.KQ