Ideas
Tech overvalued; tariff rollback could rally.
Technology is the euphoric, overvalued part of the market and could fall by half and still be expensive; however, if Trump backs off tariffs, tech could have another run and Bitcoin would likely follow.
Fully invested; bull market still intact.
Skousen says he is fully invested and the bull market remains in place, with no 1987-style crash likely because circuit breakers and the plunge protection team can intervene; however, tariffs and policy uncertainty have paused the bull market, and a bear market could begin if government policy turns negative.
Treasury market fragile; watch $9T rollover.
Skousen warns of cracks in the Treasury bond market, with rising yields alongside a falling dollar and a need to roll over about $9 trillion this year; attracting enough global investors may be difficult, creating a fragile, Lehman-like risk setup.
Dollar losing value on trade-war faith loss.
The dollar is losing value even as Treasury yields rise, breaking their normal relationship; Skousen sees this as a dangerous loss of faith in the dollar driven mainly by the trade war, making a bearish dollar stance attractive.
Gold is ultimate crisis hedge.
Gold is the ultimate crisis hedge and a safer, more traditional protection than Bitcoin when the dollar is losing value and stagflation risks are rising; Skousen recommends gold via GLD, though he now sees more near-term opportunity in miners than in bullion.
Bitcoin is tech-linked inflation hedge.
Bitcoin is in Skousen's portfolio and can serve as an inflation hedge, but not a crisis hedge; it trades like a technology asset, so if Trump backs off tariffs and tech rallies, Bitcoin could go with it and has better near-term potential than gold, though this is contingent on geopolitics.
Blockchain ETF recommended for tech exposure.
Skousen's newsletter recommends a blockchain ETF (Amplify Transformational Data Fund ETF, ticker BLOK) as a way to gain exposure to blockchain technology, which is tied to the technology sector and could benefit if tech stocks run.
Kinross is best major gold miner.
Kinross Gold is Skousen's preferred major gold company: it is a top-10 producer in the U.S. and Canada, has some of the highest profit margins, is expanding production while controlling costs, is well diversified away from high-risk countries, and its performance has been hard to beat.
Miners now better than gold.
Gold miners are finally acting as a leveraged play on gold after a long period of underperformance, and Skousen is stressing mining companies over gold itself because they can expand production, control costs, and improve margins while gold may struggle after its big move.
This The David Lin Report video, published June 08, 2025,
features Mark Skousen
discussing XLK, SPY, TLT, USD, GLD, BTC, BLOK, Kinross Gold, GDX.
9 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Mark Skousen
· Tickers:
XLK,
SPY,
TLT,
USD,
GLD,
BTC,
BLOK,
Kinross Gold,
GDX