Markets Brace for US CPI; AI Firms Crush Earnings | The Asia Trade 8/12/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 12, 2026 at 04:17  |  1:35:14  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Mark Cranfield — Cross Asset Strategist, Bloomberg
Xi Qiao — Financial Advisor and Managing Director, UBS
Matt — Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Neil Shah — Vice President of Research, Counterpoint
Lynn Doan — Managing Editor, U.S. Tech and Cybersecurity
Unidentified Bloomberg — Reporter
Jeanny — Stocks Reporter

Summary

The show gears up for the critical US CPI print while digesting strong AI infrastructure earnings from CoreWeave and Super Micro, NVIDIA's $500B financing coalition, and heightened Strait of Hormuz tensions. Guests discuss bullish equity and bond strategies, yen weakness, and specific stock calls on China tech, India, and Australia's CBA.

  • US CPI data is the dominant near-term catalyst for Fed rate expectations and risk assets.
  • Elevated oil prices and Hormuz blockage add geopolitical supply risk, though diplomacy offers some hope.
  • AI infrastructure demand stays robust as CoreWeave and Super Micro beat estimates, and NVIDIA eases credit fears.
  • UBS's Xi Qiao targets S&P 500 at 8200, favors Chinese large-cap tech, India, and US investment-grade corporate bonds.
  • Mark Cranfield sees yen weakness persisting unless the BOJ delivers back-to-back rate hikes.
  • Counterpoint's Neil Shah expects multiple semiconductor waves as AI demand accelerates.
  • Commonwealth Bank of Australia attracts analyst bullishness on loan growth and resilient housing demand.
Ideas
Xi Qiao Financial Advisor and Managing Director, UBS 52:08
S&P 500 to 8200, stay invested
The economy is intact and the Fed on hold; AI and market strength will continue to push equities higher; the S&P 500 has a price target of 8200, so investors should stay invested.
Xi Qiao Financial Advisor and Managing Director, UBS 54:04
Long Chinese larger tech stocks
Chinese equities have room for growth in tech; it is worthwhile to stay with Chinese larger tech names, which also benefit from AI investments and attractive valuations.
Xi Qiao Financial Advisor and Managing Director, UBS 54:59
India equities attractive vs Korea
India is more attractive than South Korea right now; good valuations and AI-related growth make India a favored market alongside other surrounding countries.
Matt Analyst 69:47
CBA bullish on loan growth, housing
Commonwealth Bank of Australia is bullish: margins look good, loan growth is strong, longer-term housing demand will be very robust, and credit cost concerns are overdone.
Neil Shah Vice President of Research, Counterpoint 78:46
Semiconductors ride multi-wave AI buildout
AI demand is only scratching the surface, with a snowball effect across compute, memory, networking, optics and power semiconductors; the entire semiconductor supply chain benefits from the AI infrastructure buildout.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 12, 2026, features Xi Qiao, Matt, Neil Shah discussing SPY, China Large-Cap Tech, India Equities, CBA.AX, SMH. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Xi Qiao, Matt, Neil Shah  · Tickers: SPY, China Large-Cap Tech, India Equities, CBA.AX, SMH