September 2 Before Market Open: US-Iran Conflict Escalates, Nasdaq Down 1%, Oil Prices and US Treasury Yields Soar / Dell Surges After-Hours Following Earnings Release

[September 2 #BeforeMarketOpen] US-Iran Conflict Escalates, Nasdaq Down 1% "Oil Prices, US Treasury Yields Soar" / Dell Surges After-Hours Following Earnings Release
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 01, 2026 at 21:37  |  3:02:08  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Yoo Chang-hee — CEO
Lee Ju-hyeon — Director, Xangle
Kim Tae-seong — Division Head, Xangle
Lee Kwon-hee — CEO, Economist
Oh Hyun-jin — Team Lead

Summary

The September 2 pre-market broadcast covers the escalating US-Iran conflict, rising oil and global Treasury yields, and the overnight Nasdaq decline. Guests debate whether the war news is already known and how much policy support can stabilize markets. They also highlight AI server demand from Dell, Korean semiconductor and battery supply chains, defense and insurance positioning, and several individual Korean stock ideas.

  • US-Iran conflict escalated with new strikes, pushing WTI above $90 and US Treasury yields higher.
  • Nasdaq fell over 1% and Korean markets opened weak on US overnight pressure.
  • Korean semiconductor exports and memory pricing remained strong, supporting Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.
  • Dell's blowout AI server backlog and order numbers reinforced AI infrastructure demand.
  • Speakers recommended cautious dip-buying rather than fleeing September volatility.
  • Sector views included energy, refining, shipping, defense, insurance, battery cells, and Korean semiconductor equipment.
  • Key individual names discussed included SK Innovation, RFHIC, Kukdo Chemical, Lotte Tourism, Hotel Shilla, Ottogi, SK Telecom, and Naver.
Ideas
Oil breaks $90, upside skewed.
WTI crude broke above $90 after the US struck Iran, and the supply-risk backdrop from Hormuz remains unresolved. The chart is showing a pattern that can test prior highs, and the US having secured Venezuelan oil development rights may reduce its urgency to de-escalate, leaving oil prices skewed upward near term.
Korean memory exports confirm not peak.
August exports hit a record high and semiconductor exports again reached an all-time high, confirming the semiconductor earnings cycle is not peaking. This supports Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, with SK Hynix's 1,600,000 won area and Samsung Electronics' 250,000 won area as key downside references.
Dell server backlog confirms AI demand.
Dell reported very strong earnings, with AI server revenue especially strong, server orders at a record $61 billion, and backlog at $95 billion with an expanding pipeline. This confirms AI demand remains very strong and fundamentals are not deteriorating.
Refining stocks leveraged to oil strength.
Rising oil prices are supporting refining names. S-Oil is near a key 160,000 won breakout level that would open further upside, and GS can also see additional strength if oil remains firm. Chemical stocks are still not preferred.
Refining stocks leveraged to oil strength.
Most early gainers are oil-linked sectors such as LPG, shipping, and lubricants. Hormuz tension increases shipping rate expectations and energy-related names are getting a bid in a risk-off tape, though full-scale war would disrupt shipping itself.
Biotech vulnerable to rising yields.
Biotech has been the weakest area over the past three trading days as yields and oil rise. Alteogen is slipping, ABL Bio is near lows, and LigaChem has given back its August bounce. If these names fall more than the market today, risk management is needed.
Prefer battery cell makers over materials.
Data center growth and the US energy-related emergency stance are increasing demand for large energy storage, UPS, and BBU batteries. Samsung SDI and LG Energy Solution order wins confirm this, and related battery component and materials names are also seeing volume-supported strength.
Prefer battery cell makers over materials.
Secondary battery mood is turning, but the preferred exposure is cell makers over materials. Samsung SDI is holding relatively well, SK Innovation is recovering on ESS orders, and cell companies should get more attention as physical AI and humanoid robots develop.
Apple foldable suppliers get next catalyst.
Apple is rising into its foldable phone launch, and related Korean suppliers are moving. BH is the preferred name among foldable suppliers, while LG Innotek is not yet showing the same strength. Apple's defensive AI-light positioning adds support.
Buy Korean dips on volatility spike.
The US administration still has policy cards, including Treasury buyback specifics after September 9 and the stablecoin bill vote around September 15. The market is not collapsing, so investors should build positions and endure September volatility rather than exit.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 51:31
Buy energy, shipping, food defensives.
With the US-Iran conflict continuing to pressure markets, defensive and war-related sectors such as energy, shipping, food, and domestic consumer names are the relatively strong alternatives. Energy and commodity-linked sectors are getting a bid from the current macro and US policy setup.
Lee Ju-hyeon Director, Xangle 66:44
Micron strike tightens memory supply.
Micron's Taiwan union has begun a strike preliminary vote and could disrupt global memory supply if a strike proceeds. That would tighten memory supply and support higher memory prices, benefiting Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron itself.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 74:14
US earnings support further upside.
US indices are still within box ranges and their trends have not broken. S&P 500 earnings are broadly strong, with a large share of companies growing revenue and operating profit and many surprising to the upside, so it is not time to abandon US large-cap tech and chip exposure.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 80:33
Own US domestic production infrastructure.
Trump may use infrastructure stimulus as a powerful market-friendly card before the midterms. If so, companies with US domestic production capacity in power equipment, wires, semiconductors, or medical sectors should be structurally advantaged versus importers.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 89:07
Use defense stocks as hedge.
For investors needing portfolio balance against tech-heavy holdings amid geopolitical risk, defense stocks such as Korea Aerospace Industries, LIG Nex1, and Hanwha Aerospace are preferred over bank and securities names.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 90:10
Insurance stocks best rate beneficiary.
Among rate-hike beneficiaries, insurance stocks have less valuation burden and stronger upside elasticity than banks or securities. Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance and DB Insurance are representative names.
Kim Tae-seong Division Head, Xangle 91:20
ESS battery demand from data centers.
Data center growth and the US energy-related emergency stance are increasing demand for large energy storage, UPS, and BBU batteries. Samsung SDI and LG Energy Solution order wins confirm this, and related battery component and materials names are also seeing volume-supported strength.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 119:43
RFHIC leveraged to AI/5G.
RFHIC is positioned for 5G infrastructure expansion tied to physical AI. The stock currently trades around 45,000 won but a new analyst target of 150,000 won has been issued, implying significant upside if 5G deployment accelerates in the US.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 121:03
Kukdo Chemical re-rating on specialty epoxy.
Kukdo Chemical is the world's number one epoxy company, and its Indian subsidiary has entered a profit-harvesting phase after heavy investment. Special epoxy for electronics, semiconductor materials, and CCL could drive a re-rating, with PBR near 0.4 and earnings doubling.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 123:12
Tourism recovery lifts Lotte Tourism.
Lotte Tourism Development is seeing Chinese and other foreign tourist bookings arrive, with drop and visitor numbers improving. Although the target price was lowered, tourism demand supports a recovery view.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 123:45
Avoid chasing extended consumer/hot stocks.
In a rangebound market, chasing stocks that have already doubled or hit new highs is dangerous because profit-taking is likely. Korea Kolmar has already moved massively and APR is showing immediate supply after new highs, so avoid chasing these extended names.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 125:09
Hotel Shilla bottom turnaround candidate.
Rather than chasing high-flying stocks, investors should look for bottom turnarounds. Hotel Shilla is a candidate that could pop at least once on travel and retail recovery.
Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 135:54
Broadcom earnings can spark rebound.
Broadcom earnings are the next major catalyst for semiconductors. If Broadcom's conservative CEO presents an even stronger picture than expected, it can support a rebound in AI-related semiconductor names.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 143:05
AI marriage with biotech accelerates drugs.
AI is enabling personalized drug development by analyzing genetic data and shortening candidate discovery timelines. This accelerates the AI-biotech convergence and supports pharma and biotech names tied to AI drug discovery, with Moderna among visible examples.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 146:40
Ottogi won-strength food play.
Food and beverage stocks are defensive in a weak tape. Ottogi has the cleanest won-strength benefit because its export share is still relatively low compared with Samyang Foods and Nongshim, and its technical setup is less extended.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 149:21
Maska project catalyst for shipbuilders.
The US Navy's inspection of domestic Korean shipbuilders suggests the Maska project is becoming more real. Korean shipbuilders are lagging now, but the possibility of concrete Maska-related news is increasing and should be monitored.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 159:30
SK Telecom/Naver sovereign AI bets.
SK Telecom is the most active Korean large-cap on AI alliances with OpenAI and Anthropic, making it a proxy for Anthropic value. Naver's sovereign AI project with Mistral, called Soin AI, is a long-term domestic AI infrastructure story.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 163:06
Conference catalysts for Korean pharma.
Upcoming medical conferences can provide event-driven catalysts for Korean pharma and biotech names. The World Lung Cancer Conference, EASD, and especially ESMO in October may draw attention to Yuhan, Hanmi Pharm, LigaChem, and ABL Bio.
Oh Hyun-jin Team Lead 168:10
Korean semi equipment resilient long.
Korean semiconductor equipment and materials names are gaining momentum even in a weak market because AI demand is intact. MLCC, substrates, sockets, B2B, test parts, and annealing equipment names such as Daedeok Electronics, Simmtech, Samsung Electro-Mechanics, HPSP, EO Technics, and ISC are showing relative strength.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published September 01, 2026, features Yoo Chang-hee, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Tae-seong, Lee Kwon-hee, Oh Hyun-jin discussing WTI, 000660.KS, 005930.KS, DELL, 078930.KS, 010950.KS, 196170.KQ, ABL Bio, 141080.KQ, 006400.KS, 096770.KS, AAPL, 090460.KS, KOSPI 200 Index, SEA, XLE, Food & Agriculture Sector, MU, SPY, NDX, PAVE, 047810.KS, 064350.KQ, 012450.KS, Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance, DB Insurance, Sebang Battery, RFHIC, Kukdo Chemical, Lotte Tourism Development, APR, 161890.KS, HOTL.SN, AVGO, MRNA, Ottogi, Korean shipbuilding sector, 035420.KS, SK Telecom, 000100.KS, 128940.KQ, Daedeok Electronics, 222800.KQ, 009150.KS, 403870.KQ, ISC, 030200.KQ. 29 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Yoo Chang-hee, Lee Ju-hyeon, Kim Tae-seong, Lee Kwon-hee, Oh Hyun-jin  · Tickers: WTI, 000660.KS, 005930.KS, DELL, 078930.KS, 010950.KS, 196170.KQ, ABL Bio, 141080.KQ, 006400.KS, 096770.KS, AAPL, 090460.KS, KOSPI 200 Index, SEA, XLE, Food & Agriculture Sector, MU, SPY, NDX, PAVE, 047810.KS, 064350.KQ, 012450.KS, Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance, DB Insurance, Sebang Battery, RFHIC, Kukdo Chemical, Lotte Tourism Development, APR, 161890.KS, HOTL.SN, AVGO, MRNA, Ottogi, Korean shipbuilding sector, 035420.KS, SK Telecom, 000100.KS, 128940.KQ, Daedeok Electronics, 222800.KQ, 009150.KS, 403870.KQ, ISC, 030200.KQ