Market Midday: Stocks Down, Netflix Struggles, Gas Heads Toward $4.50 • 9/18/26

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 18, 2026 at 16:44  |  3:58  |  CNBC
Speakers
Julia Boorstin — Senior Media & Tech Correspondent
Tom Kloza — Chief Energy Advisor, Gulf Oil
Natasha Kaneva — Head of Global Commodities Strategy, JP Morgan
Jessica Ettinger — Anchor, CNBC
Mustafa Suleyman — CEO, AI, Microsoft

Summary

Stocks fell as the 10-year Treasury yield topped 5%, with IBM and Disney leading the Dow lower while the Nasdaq remained the only major index positive for the week. Netflix dropped on a Wells Fargo downgrade tied to weakening engagement and a weaker content slate. Gasoline prices were in focus amid refinery outages, and JPMorgan's oil team said it has stopped forecasting the Iran war endgame as economic red lines have been crossed without a clear exit strategy. Microsoft discussed AI liability, and Apple's iPhone 18 went on sale.

  • Major U.S. stock averages traded lower as Treasury yields climbed, with the 10-year yield above 5%.
  • Netflix shares fell after Wells Fargo downgraded the stock on declining engagement and a weaker original-content slate.
  • Refinery outages at ExxonMobil and Valero plants pushed Chicago gasoline prices sharply higher, with national average near $4.50.
  • JPMorgan's oil team stopped forecasting the Iran war endgame after oil, gasoline, and Treasury yield red lines were crossed.
  • Microsoft published an AI code of conduct emphasizing manufacturer responsibility for AI safety.
  • Apple's iPhone 18 went on sale, and S&P Dow Jones indexes prepared a quarterly rebalance after the close.
Ideas
Julia Boorstin Senior Media & Tech Correspondent 1:32
Engagement decline drives Netflix downgrade
Wells Fargo downgraded Netflix on concerns about weakening engagement: estimated hours watched per subscriber are down 4% year over year, including a more than 20% drop in viewership of Netflix originals, and the original content slate is weaker than prior periods. Netflix is investing in podcasts and bringing YouTubers over to catch up with YouTube, which surpassed it in US TV viewing time in 2023. The stock is down over 40% in the past year, supporting a bearish/avoid stance.
Tom Kloza Chief Energy Advisor, Gulf Oil 2:31
Refinery outages keep gasoline prices elevated
Refinery problems at ExxonMobil's Joliet, Illinois plant and Valero's Port Arthur, Texas refinery have caused Chicago gasoline prices to spike by 40 to 60 cents a gallon, demonstrating the market's zero tolerance for refinery outages. With such problems persisting, pump prices are likely to remain elevated and challenging going forward.
Natasha Kaneva Head of Global Commodities Strategy, JP Morgan 3:00
No clear exit keeps oil risk elevated
JPMorgan's oil team has stopped forecasting the Iran war endgame because economic red lines—oil above $100 per barrel, pump prices near $5 a gallon, and 10-year Treasury yields above 5%—have been crossed without forcing a deal to stop the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Six months later, with many red lines crossed and the exit strategy less clear, oil supply risk and elevated prices may persist, creating a key setup for crude oil.
Up Next

This CNBC video, published September 18, 2026, features Julia Boorstin, Tom Kloza, Natasha Kaneva discussing NFLX, UGA, USO. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Julia Boorstin, Tom Kloza, Natasha Kaneva  · Tickers: NFLX, UGA, USO