Iraq more important near-term for oil than Venezuela, says Wharton's Siegel

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 09, 2026 at 20:57  |  4:23  |  CNBC
Speakers
Jeremy Siegel — Professor of Finance, Wharton School

Summary

Jeremy Siegel joins CNBC's Closing Bell to discuss oil, markets, and the broadening trade. He argues Iraq is more important than Venezuela for near-term oil, expects lower oil prices to help, and remains bullish on US equities due to strong GDP momentum and lower rates. He favors non-tech sectors with reasonable P/Es while cautioning that Mag-7 valuations are high and AI competition could disrupt profits.

  • Siegel says near-term oil is more about Iraq than Venezuela.
  • He says lower oil prices are good for the broader economy.
  • He sees strong economic momentum and blue skies ahead for markets.
  • He endorses market broadening beyond mega-cap tech.
  • Non-tech stocks have reasonable P/Es that can expand with AI, lower rates, and cloud adoption.
  • Mag-7 earnings growth is high, but valuations are high and AI competition is a risk.
Ideas
Jeremy Siegel Professor of Finance, Wharton School 1:06
Oil near-term hinges on Iraq, not Venezuela
Siegel says the near-term oil market is more about what happens in Iraq than Venezuela; Venezuela is a long-term issue. He does not give a clear directional oil call, but says lower oil prices would be good for everyone, so the key near-term setup to watch is Iraqi supply and political risk.
Jeremy Siegel Professor of Finance, Wharton School 1:26
Favor non-tech stocks over mega-cap tech
Siegel endorses the broadening of the market beyond mega-cap tech. He argues non-tech companies have reasonable P/Es that can stay flat or expand as they use AI, lower interest rates, and the cloud more fully to lift profits, potentially moving 13-15x P/Es up several notches.
Jeremy Siegel Professor of Finance, Wharton School 2:27
US equities have strong momentum ahead
Siegel sees strong economic momentum going into 2026, with fourth-quarter GDP estimates above 5% despite the government shutdown. He cites lower short-term rates and AI helping companies avoid higher tariffs and labor restrictions, and concludes there are blue skies ahead for the market once near-term bumps pass.
Jeremy Siegel Professor of Finance, Wharton School 3:26
Mag-7 faces high P/E, AI competition risk
Siegel cautions that Mag-7 and tech earnings growth is higher, but their P/Es are also much higher. He says competitive AI breakthroughs could thrash a competitor's profits, making the group riskier than non-tech stocks with reasonable valuations.
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This CNBC video, published January 09, 2026, features Jeremy Siegel discussing WTI, Non-tech sectors, SPY, MAGS. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jeremy Siegel  · Tickers: WTI, Non-tech sectors, SPY, MAGS