UAE's OPEC Exit Blindsides Cartel Amid Iran War | The China Show 4/29/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  April 29, 2026 at 08:42  |  1:32:22  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Joanna Chan — Head of Content, Blockworks
Winnie Wu — Head of A-PAC Equity Strategy, BofA Global Research
Tina Chen — Reporter, The Block
David Savage — Editor, The Block
David Ingles — Anchor, Bloomberg

Summary

The episode covers UAE's departure from OPEC amid the Iran war, tightening oil supply and lifting prices. It also examines Chinese earnings season with BYD showing a trough and RemeGen posting strong results, while BofA strategists explain China's equity underperformance and recommend defensive sectors. The US considers extending the naval blockade on Iran, keeping oil markets in focus.

  • UAE quits OPEC, citing need for agility during unprecedented supply disruption from the Iran war.
  • US prepares for an extended naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, tightening oil supply.
  • Brent crude remains above $110 as supply losses of 10 million barrels per day continue.
  • BYD reports Q1 profit decline but analysts see a trough and strong order book for new models.
  • RemeGen posts 25% revenue growth, turns cash flow positive, and expects sustained improvement.
  • BofA says China equity underperformance stems from weak earnings in internet and consumption sectors.
  • BofA recommends Chinese banks, energy, coal, and materials as defensive plays for Q2.
  • XPeng is highlighted as a leading OEM in the robotaxi race with multiple models launching this year.
Trade Ideas
Stephen Torchinsky Bloomberg Analyst 14:02
Oil prices likely to stay elevated
The prolonged US naval blockade of Iran will continue to choke off oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz, tightening the market and pushing oil prices higher. Iran's storage capacity will fill in 12-22 days, forcing shut-ins, and the lack of ships willing to transit will keep 10 million barrels per day offline.
Joanna Chan Head of Content, Blockworks 19:31
BYD at turning point, recovery ahead
BYD's Q1 results were solid, with gross profit margin a key highlight (higher than Q1 last year due to mix). Q1 is the trough and the order book is very strong: over 60,000 orders in the first month and 30,000 for the new Denza model in 24 hours. New model ramp-up and continuous product cycle will support margin and volume improvement in coming quarters.
RemeGen strong growth, cash positive
RemeGen had a strong Q1 with 25% revenue growth, maintained gross margins despite price cuts, achieved operational cash flow positive for the first time, and closed a $650 million upfront payment from an out-licensing deal. The company expects strong domestic growth and pipeline delivery over the next 2-3 years, with improving margins and no need for additional financing.
Winnie Wu Head of A-PAC Equity Strategy, BofA Global Research 66:44
Favor Chinese banks, energy, coal
For the MSCI China market, earnings revisions are the key driver. We prefer defensive sectors with steady earnings growth. In our second-quarter portfolio we highlight banks (high dividend yield with RMB appreciation tailwind), energy, coal, and materials (where earnings revisions are stronger and share prices are outperforming).
Tina Chen Reporter, The Block 75:32
XPeng well positioned in robotaxi
XPeng is an OEM well positioned in the robotaxi race. They will launch three robotaxi models this year, already running a pilot project in Guangzhou, and could be a technology provider or operator. The commercialization of autonomous driving is accelerating in China, and XPeng is a key beneficiary.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published April 29, 2026, features Stephen Torchinsky, Joanna Chan, Shaojing Tong, Winnie Wu, Tina Chen discussing BNO, BYD, RemeGen, KBA, CHIE, KOL, FXI, XPEV. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Stephen Torchinsky, Joanna Chan, Shaojing Tong, Winnie Wu, Tina Chen  · Tickers: BNO, BYD, RemeGen, KBA, CHIE, KOL, FXI, XPEV