Trader Reveals 'Bubble' Assets; How Does Market Mania End? | Jason Shapiro

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  October 16, 2025 at 23:44  |  36:35  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Jason Shapiro — Founder, Crowded Market Report
David Lin — Founder & Host, The David Lin Report / ex-Anchor, Kitco News

Summary

David Lin interviews veteran trader Jason Shapiro about whether AI and other assets are in a bubble and where markets are crowded. Jason argues bubbles are hard to define, sees gold as the most crowded trade and most of crypto/meme coins as speculative, but says AI investment is unlikely to stop because it is a national-security priority. He has gone flat U.S. equities due to worsened risk/reward and favors diversified AI power-generation exposure.

  • Jason Shapiro says bubbles are hard to identify and valuation alone is not actionable.
  • He sees gold as the most crowded long trade and would short only after a failed bullish-news rally.
  • He calls most of crypto and meme coins a bubble or zero-value, while owning some Bitcoin.
  • He says AI is a national-security race, so investment in AI and related infrastructure will continue.
  • He is flat U.S. stocks after risk/reward changed and good news stopped lifting the market.
  • He favors diversified AI power-generation exposure as the most buyable area.
  • He notes retail FOMO in silver and resources as a late-cycle warning but not necessarily a top yet.
  • He emphasizes discipline and not over-leveraging into hot AI or power names like Oklo.
Ideas
Jason Shapiro Founder, Crowded Market Report 7:26
Oklo no revenue, up 800%, bubbly.
Jason cites Oklo as an example of bubbly behavior: the company has no revenues yet the stock is up around 800% in a year; later he cautions against putting all of one's money into such a high-flying name.
Jason Shapiro Founder, Crowded Market Report 9:43
AI spending is national-security non-discretionary.
Jason argues AI is not just a productivity theme but a national-security race between the U.S. and China, so governments and companies will not stop investing in AI technology, chips, and related infrastructure even if valuations are stretched; this creates a durable capital-flow tailwind for the AI infrastructure supply chain.
Jason Shapiro Founder, Crowded Market Report 16:47
U.S. stocks risk/reward no longer favorable.
Jason says the stock market's risk/reward changed in mid-October: bad news now pushes stocks down and good news, such as TSMC's strong earnings, no longer sustains a rally. With positioning no longer crowded short and no clear edge, he has gotten out of stock positions and is flat everything.
Jason Shapiro Founder, Crowded Market Report 19:40
Gold crowded; wait for failed bullish news.
Jason says gold is the most crowded trade he sees and is a bubble candidate; futures positioning is crowded long, but he warns that crowded can get more crowded and shorting solely for crowding has been a mistake. He will wait for the market to agree—specifically for gold to fail to rally on very bullish news—before shorting.
Jason Shapiro Founder, Crowded Market Report 22:11
Meme coins ultimately worthless; avoid despite liquidity.
Jason calls most of the crypto space a bubble and says meme coins and similar tokens have zero value and no prospect of ever having use, so they ultimately go to zero. He acknowledges liquidity can make them rise 300x first, so he avoids rather than shorts them.
Jason Shapiro Founder, Crowded Market Report 22:43
Owns Bitcoin; blue-chip crypto store of wealth.
Jason says he owns some Bitcoin and distinguishes Bitcoin and Ethereum as blue-chip crypto that could plausibly serve as a medium of exchange or store of wealth, even though he remains skeptical of the broader crypto space until most tokens go to zero.
Jason Shapiro Founder, Crowded Market Report 30:17
Silver retail FOMO warns, top not yet.
Jason says retail friends suddenly asking about silver and Costco selling out of silver bullion is a classic late-cycle FOMO warning, but he cautions that such markets often do not top until retail actually gets all their money in, so he treats it as a setup to monitor rather than an immediate short.
Jason Shapiro Founder, Crowded Market Report 33:58
AI power demand is real and coming.
Jason says the power supply is the place to be invested because AI is coming as a national-security priority and the buildout will require solving power generation; he prefers a diversified portfolio or ETF focused on AI power generation rather than concentrating in a single high-flying name like Oklo.
Up Next

This The David Lin Report video, published October 16, 2025, features Jason Shapiro discussing OKLO, AIQ, SPY, GLD, Meme coins, BTC, SILVER, AI power generation. 8 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Jason Shapiro  · Tickers: OKLO, AIQ, SPY, GLD, Meme coins, BTC, SILVER, AI power generation