딥시크의 기시감이 느껴지는 요즘, 우려가 해소되려면? | 김장열 유니스토리자산운용 본부장 [김장열의 반도체•테크 세션]

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 05, 2026 at 09:50  |  45:30  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Kim Jang-yeol — Reporter, The Bell

Summary

Kim Jang-yeol, Division Head at Unistory Asset Management, discusses the market's DeepSeek-like anxiety over AI agents disrupting software and its spillover into semiconductors. He argues Samsung Electronics and memory names can be bought on weakness only if valuation and AI hardware demand hold, while watching Alphabet, Nvidia, and Broadcom rebounds as confirmation. He also flags policy-driven KOSDAQ opportunities, Korean semiconductor equipment value plays, optical interconnect and cooling bottlenecks, copper correction risk, and ETF-flow-sensitive Korean small caps.

  • Software and SaaS sentiment was hit by fear that AI agents can disrupt incumbents.
  • Alphabet's large capex and strong cloud growth are key AI hardware demand signals.
  • Memory stocks remain central, with Samsung, SK hynix, Micron, and SanDisk discussed through valuation.
  • KOSPI has a practical upside target near 6,000, while KOSDAQ needs policy support.
  • TES and Soulbrain were highlighted as relatively attractive Korean semiconductor equipment names.
  • Optical interconnect and cooling were framed as AI infrastructure bottlenecks.
  • Copper faces short-term inventory and speculation-related correction risk.
  • Korean small caps with high ETF-flow sensitivity may reverse sharply on outflows.
Ideas
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 1:17
AI agents threaten software incumbents.
AI agent products such as Anthropic's Claude Code and Open Claw are creating fear that startups can disrupt incumbent software and consulting business models, including Salesforce. The speed of disruption is uncertain, but software stocks are under pressure and AI-related funding valuations could tighten.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 3:49
Buy Samsung below 160,000 won.
Samsung Electronics is the key Korean memory and foundry name. If it breaks below KRW 160,000, non-holders can start buying, while existing holders should wait for confirmation because the AI-agent software scare is creating uncertainty. Fundamentals are supported by foundry price-hike talks, tight memory, and a valuation that can move from around 10x toward 13x; using a 0.85 margin of error implies roughly KRW 170,000-180,000, with KRW 200,000 possible only if memory multiples expand.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 4:04
Alphabet capex and cloud strength.
Alphabet announced a $180B capex plan, about $60B above its prior plan, and cloud revenue grew 48% with 30% margins, showing strong ability to fund AI investment. The stock must be accepted by the market, with a 4-5% rise as confirmation, though valuation is less clear after the run.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 4:57
Nvidia rebound to reassure tech.
The OpenAI-Nvidia dispute appears to have been resolved, and Alphabet's large AI capex supports AI hardware demand. Nvidia needs to rebound to reassure the tech market; the speaker wants it to rise but treats it mainly as a confirmation signal.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 4:58
Broadcom benefits from Google AI capex.
Broadcom receives real demand from Alphabet's AI capex and TPU/ASIC activity. Its rebound is a key confirmation that AI hardware fears are easing, and the speaker wants it to rise around 6%.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 5:52
Buy SanDisk dips; higher torque than Micron
SanDisk and Micron trade at similar roughly 10x P/E multiples. SanDisk is much higher beta, so if investors want torque it can outperform when memory names rise, and the speaker would likely buy more on further declines. A 15x multiple could imply around $950, and a recent $1,000 target is plausible if memory demand does not break.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 5:52
Micron cheap but capped multiple.
Micron is the steadier memory play, trading around 10-11x forward earnings. A 5-6% rebound would help clear market worries, but memory rarely sustains a 14-15x multiple, so further upside needs earnings improvement rather than multiple expansion alone.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 9:30
Oracle weak link tied to OpenAI.
Oracle is a weak link. A report says it has not seen expected returns quickly enough after heavy cash investment, and about 30% of its backlog is tied to OpenAI. It needs OpenAI and Nvidia to resolve well to avoid becoming a bigger issue.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 10:04
AMD remains weak, expensive versus peers.
AMD is not cheap even after a 17% drop, with a P/E in the 30s. Q1 is seasonally weak, China exposure is not a major momentum driver, and it remains one of the weaker AI chip points that needs leaders to move first.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 13:39
Ibiden capex signals substrate demand.
Ibiden announced a substantially higher-than-expected capex plan for FC-BGA substrates, signaling confidence and strong future demand for advanced substrates. This is a positive read-through for substrate inspection equipment.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 14:14
GigaVis 2027 momentum validates target.
Japanese FC-BGA substrate maker Ibiden's aggressive capex signals good substrate demand, which should benefit substrate inspection equipment. GigaVis is not cheap now because earnings grow mainly from late 2026 into 2027, but on next-year numbers the KRW 70,000-80,000 target has validity and the stock has momentum.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 15:53
KOSPI practical target near 6,000.
The NH report's KOSPI 7,300 target rests on continued confidence in AI hardware demand, better Korean corporate governance, trust in US assets, and domestic liquidity. Applying a 0.8-0.85 margin of error implies a practical 6,000 area; if the 5,000 level is threatened by noise rather than fundamentals, it is still approachable. A US Nasdaq rise of 1.5% and major tech gains of 5% would confirm relief for Korea.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 18:43
Memory shortage hits Qualcomm guidance.
Qualcomm cut guidance because memory shortages and high memory prices are making smartphone makers unable to procure memory, build phones, and buy Qualcomm chips. This shows memory tightness can eventually hurt other semiconductor demand.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 24:54
TES, Soulbrain still have valuation room.
After the January rally, many Korean semiconductor equipment and materials target-price upgrades were rushed and already priced in. Among the names in the late-January report, TES and Soulbrain still look relatively attractive on valuation, while Park Systems is not cheap.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 26:43
ETF-flow sensitive Korean stocks risk reversal.
As of late January, Ecopro BM, Rainbow Robotics, Leeno Industrial, SPG, and Wonik IPS were highly sensitive to ETF inflows. They rose when ETF money came in, but the same flow sensitivity can work in reverse and create sharp declines if outflows occur.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 28:00
KOSDAQ policy push benefits growth sectors.
KOSDAQ needs policy support to reach 1,300; without it, the market may be overheated and take longer to rise. A Shinhan report argues that shifting about 10 percentage points of household loans toward corporate and venture capital could lift potential growth by 0.3 percentage points, and the KRW 150T National Growth Fund should be implemented quickly. The policy beneficiaries are Korean robotics, AI, bio, aerospace, and defense.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 28:00
KOSDAQ policy push benefits growth sectors.
KOSDAQ needs policy support to reach 1,300; without it, the market may be overheated and take longer to rise. A Shinhan report argues that shifting about 10 percentage points of household loans toward corporate and venture capital could lift potential growth by 0.3 percentage points, and the KRW 150T National Growth Fund should be implemented quickly. The policy beneficiaries are Korean robotics, AI, bio, aerospace, and defense.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 32:50
SK hynix discount can narrow.
SK hynix has an HBM4 yield lead over Samsung, with yields moving toward 80-90% while Samsung is still around 50-60%. It also trades at a discount to Samsung and Micron; if that discount narrows, the stock can move toward KRW 1.2-1.3 million, though an immediate move to KRW 1.5 million on a 10x multiple is unlikely.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 34:44
Copper short-term correction risk.
JP Morgan warns that global copper inventories have built up and demand has slowed, with speculative long positions reduced. Copper may stay range-bound or correct in the short term, with recovery signals only after March/April.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 38:10
Coherent for optical interconnect shift.
Copper interconnect is hitting physical limits in AI data centers, pushing chip-to-chip and server connections toward optical interconnect. There are few Korean optical plays, so US-listed Coherent is worth studying; it may correct after a big run but is a key way to track the optical interconnect bottleneck.
Kim Jang-yeol Reporter, The Bell 38:39
Watch cooling on AI thermal limits.
Rising AI power density makes heat removal a physical constraint. Cooling technology names should be watched on pullbacks as a key AI infrastructure bottleneck.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published February 05, 2026, features Kim Jang-yeol discussing Software/SaaS, 005930.KS, GOOGL, NVDA, AVGO, SNDK, MU, ORCL, AMD, 4062.T, Gigavis, ^KS11, QCOM, 095610.KQ, 357780.KQ, 247540.KQ, 277810.KQ, Leeno Industrial, 058610.KQ, WONIK IPS, ^KQ11, Korean Robotics, AI-SECTOR, Korean bio, Korean aerospace & defense, 000660.KS, COPPER, COHR, Data center cooling. 21 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Kim Jang-yeol  · Tickers: Software/SaaS, 005930.KS, GOOGL, NVDA, AVGO, SNDK, MU, ORCL, AMD, 4062.T, Gigavis, ^KS11, QCOM, 095610.KQ, 357780.KQ, 247540.KQ, 277810.KQ, Leeno Industrial, 058610.KQ, WONIK IPS, ^KQ11, Korean Robotics, AI-SECTOR, Korean bio, Korean aerospace & defense, 000660.KS, COPPER, COHR, Data center cooling