Watch CNBC’s full interview with White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 09, 2026 at 15:01  |  18:17  |  CNBC
Speakers
Kevin Hassett — Director, White House National Economic Council

Summary

Kevin Hassett, White House National Economic Council Director, discusses the latest jobs report, productivity, Fed rate policy, tariffs, AI, housing, defense spending, and Venezuela oil. He argues the US economy is in a high-growth, high-productivity, low-inflation regime supported by supply-side expansion and onshoring. He outlines policy tailwinds for US manufacturing, chip production, housing, defense, and refiners, while noting legal and implementation risks around tariffs and mortgage rates.

  • Jobs report was roughly as expected; unemployment fell and labor force participation is improving.
  • Hassett sees strong productivity and GDP growth without accelerating inflation.
  • Tariff-driven onshoring is visible in capital goods imports and factory groundbreakings.
  • AI is boosting productivity and corporate earnings, in his view.
  • The administration is preparing a housing plan and watching mortgage rates.
  • He expects increased defense spending to be demanded in the budget debate.
  • Venezuelan heavy sour crude could return to US refineries, affecting refiners and gasoline prices.
  • Tariffs legal authority remains a key policy risk if the Supreme Court rules against the administration.
Ideas
Kevin Hassett Director, White House National Economic Council 2:04
Tariffs drive US chip manufacturing onshoring.
Tariff-driven onshoring is visible in import data, which shows a surge in capital goods, especially equipment for chip manufacturing, coming from foreign countries. These imports are investment in US production capacity rather than a consumption binge, meaning more chips and other goods will be made in the US.
Kevin Hassett Director, White House National Economic Council 3:04
US manufacturing reshoring boom underway.
Reshoring is happening: 35 big factory groundbreakings since September, strong nondefense capital goods orders and shipments, and a capital spending boom. This supports US manufacturing activity and employment, with manufacturing job gains expected to accelerate in the first half of the year as factories are built and machines installed.
Kevin Hassett Director, White House National Economic Council 7:45
AI boosts productivity and earnings.
AI is already visible in productivity data, with estimates showing productivity up to 4.5% and earnings surprises above recent memory. AI is acting as a powerful coach for managers and workers, improving corporate operations and supporting higher earnings.
Kevin Hassett Director, White House National Economic Council 11:40
Housing plan targets high mortgage rates.
There is a hole in the US housing market, especially for 30-40 year-olds, as inflation and high mortgage rates have raised down payments. The administration is preparing a comprehensive housing plan and is watching mortgage rates closely, willing to take actions to make rates not too high and help people get back into homes.
Kevin Hassett Director, White House National Economic Council 14:43
More defense spending to be demanded.
The administration believes US defense must be strongest in the world and that defense spending fell too much under Biden. It will demand more defense spending in the budget debate, directing increases toward weapons systems rather than just profits.
Kevin Hassett Director, White House National Economic Council 17:27
Venezuelan crude boosts refiners, cuts gasoline.
Returning Venezuelan heavy sour crude to the US would benefit Southeastern US refineries that are configured to process it, allowing them to ramp production immediately. This should be positive for those refiners and implies downward pressure on US gasoline prices.
Kevin Hassett Director, White House National Economic Council 17:27
Venezuelan crude boosts refiners, cuts gasoline.
Returning Venezuelan heavy sour crude to the US would benefit Southeastern US refineries that are configured to process it, allowing them to ramp production immediately. This should be positive for those refiners and implies downward pressure on US gasoline prices.
Up Next

This CNBC video, published January 09, 2026, features Kevin Hassett discussing US chip manufacturing, SMH, US manufacturing, US capital goods, AI-SECTOR, US Housing, ITA, CRAK, UGA. 7 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Kevin Hassett  · Tickers: US chip manufacturing, SMH, US manufacturing, US capital goods, AI-SECTOR, US Housing, ITA, CRAK, UGA