SP500: Минимальные Дивиденды с 2000 года | Инвест ГРОГ с Солодиным

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  May 22, 2026 at 12:41  |  2:21:51  |  Dmitry Solodin
Speakers
Dmitry Solodin — Trader / Investor

Summary

Dmitry Solodin discusses the S&P 500's low dividend yield, attributing it to overvaluation rather than dividend cuts. He presents a rotation strategy into high-dividend value stocks and gives detailed technical and fundamental analysis on several tech names like ServiceNow, Intuit, Microsoft, and Netflix, while warning against overbought or weak companies like Walmart and Hims. He advocates for a diversified portfolio with a risk-management focus.

  • S&P 500 dividend yield at historical lows; Solodin links to overvaluation, not dividend cuts.
  • Recommends dividend stocks near 10-year yield highs: FDS, AB, CMCSA, CI.
  • Bullish on ServiceNow with a fifth-wave target of $300.
  • Bullish on Intuit, bought recently; strong cash flows and value.
  • Bullish on Microsoft as a unique, undervalued AI infrastructure leader.
  • Bullish on Netflix as a cash flow machine with AI cost advantages.
  • Avoids Walmart (overbought), Hims (weak fundamentals), MP Materials (unprofitable).
  • Advises a basket of software moat stocks (NOW, CRM, PEGA, IOT) for balanced exposure.
Trade Ideas
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 17:54
FactSet dividend yield near peak.
FactSet is near its 10-year high dividend yield with a payout ratio of 30-40%, safe balance sheet, and growing dividends. It is a classic Geraldine Weiss dividend strategy pick.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 18:14
AllianceBernstein dividend value play.
AllianceBernstein is near its 10-year maximum dividend yield with a ~3% yield and good payout ratios. The company was historically premium but has become attractively valued.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 18:32
Comcast dividend yield high.
Comcast is a traditional telecom/infrastructure dividend stock. It is at a 10-year high dividend yield, pays stable dividends, and attracts income-oriented investors.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 19:34
Cigna stable dividend payer.
Cigna is a large insurance company with stable cash flows and strong free cash flow, making it a reliable dividend payer. Buffett's Berkshire also relies on insurance as a core business.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 22:22
Intuit value at dividend yield peak.
Intuit is at its 10-year maximum dividend yield, indicating value. Cash flows are strong, revenue growing 15%, and the company has a wide moat. He bought shares today expecting a recovery.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 62:01
ServiceNow fifth wave to 300.
ServiceNow has completed a fourth-wave correction at the 62% Fibonacci retracement level. Fundamentals are strong with accelerating cash flows. The stock is expected to start a fifth wave with a minimum target of $300, potentially reaching it by summer 2027.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 64:10
Salesforce fifth wave expected.
Salesforce is in a fourth wave, similar to ServiceNow, and expects a fifth wave to new highs. Fundamentals are strong with cash flows growing. The company is innovative like Sberbank but with better moats.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 77:43
Netflix dominant cash flow machine.
Netflix is a cash flow machine with accelerating revenue (18% CAGR) and free cash flow. AI is reducing content costs, improving margins. Competitors like Disney+ and HBO Max are losing money, while Netflix has a unique data-driven content model. Strong buyback program.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 93:42
Microsoft strong buy on fundamentals.
Microsoft is a unique company with no direct comparable. It has massive revenue, strong cash flows, is cheaper than the S&P 500 on earnings yield, and is in the third wave of a long-term uptrend. It will remain an AI infrastructure leader for decades.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 98:14
Zscaler watch for breakout.
Zscaler has strong growth (33% revenue growth) and improving cash flows, but is in a consolidation zone. He is waiting for a breakout from a cup-and-handle pattern. It is riskier than ServiceNow but has high potential upside.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 113:11
Adobe buybacks support upside.
Adobe is in a fourth-wave correction. It generates $10B in free cash flow, is aggressively buying back shares (20% of float already repurchased), and the stock is at a 10-year high dividend yield. He expects a rebound to $350.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 122:37
Walmart overbought, avoid.
Walmart is extremely overbought, in a fifth wave of a massive cycle. It has no growth (revenue growing inline with inflation), very low dividend yield, and no meaningful buybacks. It is likely to enter a long-term sideways or declining phase.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 128:03
Hims weak fundamentals avoid.
Hims & Hers has very volatile and weak fundamentals. Gross margin dropped from 80% to 57% due to regulatory issues and product mix. He advises staying away completely.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 131:34
MP Materials risky, avoid.
MP Materials is a small, cyclical, unprofitable rare-earth miner. It has no buybacks and highly volatile cash flows. He does not recommend investing, comparing it to his losing trade in Albemarle.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 132:34
Finvolution cup-handle watch.
Finvolution is a small Chinese fintech stock with a potential cup-and-handle pattern, but it is very risky. Cash flows are unstable and it should be a tiny position only for speculative investors.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 136:43
PEGA in software basket.
Pegasystems is part of a basket of software companies with strong moats (CRM, NOW, SAP, PEGA). It has similar characteristics and should benefit from the same secular trends. Position size should be small.
Dmitry Solodin Trader / Investor 136:52
Samsara moat and growth.
Samsara (IOT) is a newer company with a strong network effect in IoT. It has solid cash flow growth and is part of a recommended basket of software moat stocks. However, it is smaller and riskier than ServiceNow.
Up Next

This Dmitry Solodin video, published May 22, 2026, features Dmitry Solodin discussing FDS, AB, CMCSA, CI, INTU, NOW, CRM, NFLX, MSFT, ZS, ADBE, WMT, HIMS, MP, FINV, PEGA, IOT. 17 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Dmitry Solodin  · Tickers: FDS, AB, CMCSA, CI, INTU, NOW, CRM, NFLX, MSFT, ZS, ADBE, WMT, HIMS, MP, FINV, PEGA, IOT