Calls
86
#33
Alpha Score 96.8
Dmitry Solodin
Trader / Investor
Win Rate
52.3%
return
+6.7%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 08
$268.38
-11.5%
The Technology Services sector (SaaS/Cybersecurity) dropped 10-15% recently while hardware/semis held up. Solodin specifically highlights Salesforce (CRM) showing strong flows despite the price drop. This is a classic sector rotation. High-quality cash-flowing software companies are being sold off to fund hardware Capex. This divergence creates a "buy the dip" opportunity in best-in-breed names like Palo Alto (PANW) and Salesforce (CRM) which are becoming value plays relative to their growth. Long via sector rotation. Enterprise spending slowdown; persistent high rates hurting high-duration stocks.
The Technology Services sector (SaaS/Cybersecurity) dropped 10-15% recently while hardware/semis held up. Solodin specifically highlights Salesforce (CRM) showing strong flows despite the price drop. This is a classic sector rotation. High-quality cash-flowing software companies are being sold off to fund hardware Capex. This divergence creates a "buy the dip" opportunity in best-in-breed names like Palo Alto (PANW) and Salesforce (CRM) which are becoming value plays relative to their growth. Long via sector rotation. Enterprise spending slowdown; persistent high rates hurting high-duration stocks.
AI Software
Long
Feb 08
$191.35
-10.8%
The Technology Services sector (SaaS/Cybersecurity) dropped 10-15% recently while hardware/semis held up. Solodin specifically highlights Salesforce (CRM) showing strong flows despite the price drop. This is a classic sector rotation. High-quality cash-flowing software companies are being sold off to fund hardware Capex. This divergence creates a "buy the dip" opportunity in best-in-breed names like Palo Alto (PANW) and Salesforce (CRM) which are becoming value plays relative to their growth. Long via sector rotation. Enterprise spending slowdown; persistent high rates hurting high-duration stocks.
The Technology Services sector (SaaS/Cybersecurity) dropped 10-15% recently while hardware/semis held up. Solodin specifically highlights Salesforce (CRM) showing strong flows despite the price drop. This is a classic sector rotation. High-quality cash-flowing software companies are being sold off to fund hardware Capex. This divergence creates a "buy the dip" opportunity in best-in-breed names like Palo Alto (PANW) and Salesforce (CRM) which are becoming value plays relative to their growth. Long via sector rotation. Enterprise spending slowdown; persistent high rates hurting high-duration stocks.
AI Software
Long
Feb 08
$401.14
-1.8%
Both companies have pristine balance sheets and growing earnings, but Free Cash Flow (FCF) is dipping due to massive AI Capex ($160B forecast for Google). The market is punishing them for spending, but this spending is necessary to secure future dominance. The dip in price offers a favorable risk/reward (e.g., MSFT risk $50 vs reward $200) before the AI investments potentially pay off. Long (Dip Buy). "Depreciation bomb" – if AI Capex doesn't generate returns, amortization costs will crush future EPS.
Both companies have pristine balance sheets and growing earnings, but Free Cash Flow (FCF) is dipping due to massive AI Capex ($160B forecast for Google). The market is punishing them for spending, but this spending is necessary to secure future dominance. The dip in price offers a favorable risk/reward (e.g., MSFT risk $50 vs reward $200) before the AI investments potentially pay off. Long (Dip Buy). "Depreciation bomb" – if AI Capex doesn't generate returns, amortization costs will crush future EPS.
Hyperscalers
Long
Mar 21
$404.04
-8.8%
Speaker states he is starting to re-enter gold positions ("Я начинаю заново заходить в золото") and is improving his cost basis. He expects a strong mean reversion bounce back to the ~$5,000 level by April-May, based on technical patterns (triangle, wave count) and the large current deviation from the moving average. LONG because the setup offers a favorable risk/reward for a bounce, and he is actively rebuilding his position. The pattern could extend into a larger correction before the anticipated bounce.
Speaker states he is starting to re-enter gold positions ("Я начинаю заново заходить в золото") and is improving his cost basis. He expects a strong mean reversion bounce back to the ~$5,000 level by April-May, based on technical patterns (triangle, wave count) and the large current deviation from the moving average. LONG because the setup offers a favorable risk/reward for a bounce, and he is actively rebuilding his position. The pattern could extend into a larger correction before the anticipated bounce.
Commodities
Long
Feb 08
$100.74
+2.3%
The Technology Services sector (SaaS/Cybersecurity) dropped 10-15% recently while hardware/semis held up. Solodin specifically highlights Salesforce (CRM) showing strong flows despite the price drop. This is a classic sector rotation. High-quality cash-flowing software companies are being sold off to fund hardware Capex. This divergence creates a "buy the dip" opportunity in best-in-breed names like Palo Alto (PANW) and Salesforce (CRM) which are becoming value plays relative to their growth. Long via sector rotation. Enterprise spending slowdown; persistent high rates hurting high-duration stocks.
The Technology Services sector (SaaS/Cybersecurity) dropped 10-15% recently while hardware/semis held up. Solodin specifically highlights Salesforce (CRM) showing strong flows despite the price drop. This is a classic sector rotation. High-quality cash-flowing software companies are being sold off to fund hardware Capex. This divergence creates a "buy the dip" opportunity in best-in-breed names like Palo Alto (PANW) and Salesforce (CRM) which are becoming value plays relative to their growth. Long via sector rotation. Enterprise spending slowdown; persistent high rates hurting high-duration stocks.
AI Software
Long
Feb 08
$60.67
-3.6%
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) is breaking out of a 20-year historic resistance level. This technical breakout coincides with a projected global copper deficit. When a commodity producer breaks a multi-decade level during a supply crunch, it signals a violent repricing upward. A high-conviction long based on the convergence of macro supply/demand and a massive technical breakout. Global recession crushing industrial demand.
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) is breaking out of a 20-year historic resistance level. This technical breakout coincides with a projected global copper deficit. When a commodity producer breaks a multi-decade level during a supply crunch, it signals a violent repricing upward. A high-conviction long based on the convergence of macro supply/demand and a massive technical breakout. Global recession crushing industrial demand.
Metals & Mining
Long
Feb 08
$443.77
-34.5%
The Technology Services sector (SaaS/Cybersecurity) dropped 10-15% recently while hardware/semis held up. Solodin specifically highlights Salesforce (CRM) showing strong flows despite the price drop. This is a classic sector rotation. High-quality cash-flowing software companies are being sold off to fund hardware Capex. This divergence creates a "buy the dip" opportunity in best-in-breed names like Palo Alto (PANW) and Salesforce (CRM) which are becoming value plays relative to their growth. Long via sector rotation. Enterprise spending slowdown; persistent high rates hurting high-duration stocks.
The Technology Services sector (SaaS/Cybersecurity) dropped 10-15% recently while hardware/semis held up. Solodin specifically highlights Salesforce (CRM) showing strong flows despite the price drop. This is a classic sector rotation. High-quality cash-flowing software companies are being sold off to fund hardware Capex. This divergence creates a "buy the dip" opportunity in best-in-breed names like Palo Alto (PANW) and Salesforce (CRM) which are becoming value plays relative to their growth. Long via sector rotation. Enterprise spending slowdown; persistent high rates hurting high-duration stocks.
AI Software
Long
Mar 21
$61.62
-17.9%
Speaker explicitly states he has started actively accumulating silver ("Я серебро начал активно отрабатывать уже в лонг") using the SLV ETF and options. He analyzes a triangle pattern and believes the current zone is a good area to start building a position, using options to limit risk instead of buying the spot asset outright. LONG because he is initiating positions in anticipation of the pattern eventually resolving to the upside. Price could make another leg down to the $62-60 area before reversing.
Speaker explicitly states he has started actively accumulating silver ("Я серебро начал активно отрабатывать уже в лонг") using the SLV ETF and options. He analyzes a triangle pattern and believes the current zone is a good area to start building a position, using options to limit risk instead of buying the spot asset outright. LONG because he is initiating positions in anticipation of the pattern eventually resolving to the upside. Price could make another leg down to the $62-60 area before reversing.
Commodities
Long
May 03
$111.25
+19.7%
Duolingo is benefiting from AI integration, dramatically speeding up product development and expanding margins; EPS grew over 300% in 1.5 years, making it a strong growth hold.
Internet Platforms
Long
Apr 03
$361.28
+10.7%
Speaker describes Eaton Corporation as controlling the supply chain for critical electrical equipment (transformers, switchgear, power management systems). It co-developed a 480-volt power architecture for AI racks with NVIDIA. The transformer shortage is acute, with lead times of 3-5 years. ETN's vertical integration and patented technology (e.g., Busway) allow it to pass on cost increases and benefit directly from the build-out of data center physical infrastructure. LONG due to its dominant position in a bottleneck market (electrical equipment) with a direct technological link to NVIDIA's AI hardware ecosystem. A slowdown in data center capex spending or supply chain normalization.
Speaker describes Eaton Corporation as controlling the supply chain for critical electrical equipment (transformers, switchgear, power management systems). It co-developed a 480-volt power architecture for AI racks with NVIDIA. The transformer shortage is acute, with lead times of 3-5 years. ETN's vertical integration and patented technology (e.g., Busway) allow it to pass on cost increases and benefit directly from the build-out of data center physical infrastructure. LONG due to its dominant position in a bottleneck market (electrical equipment) with a direct technological link to NVIDIA's AI hardware ecosystem. A slowdown in data center capex spending or supply chain normalization.
Grid Equipment
Long
Mar 27
$633.45
+17.2%
Opened a long options position on the index, expecting a bounce to 6600-6700 by April. Identifies two primary Elliott Wave counts, both of which project an upward move from current levels. The decline from the highs is assessed as corrective (not a new impulse wave), characterized by overlapping waves and currently low volume, suggesting selling pressure is exhausting. Expects a significant counter-trend rally (minimum target ~6700) as part of either a larger wave 4 correction or a wave 2 within wave 3. The trade is structured with options to limit risk. A break below 6480 would invalidate the preferred diagonal count, suggesting a deeper correction toward 6000-6100 support.
Opened a long options position on the index, expecting a bounce to 6600-6700 by April. Identifies two primary Elliott Wave counts, both of which project an upward move from current levels. The decline from the highs is assessed as corrective (not a new impulse wave), characterized by overlapping waves and currently low volume, suggesting selling pressure is exhausting. Expects a significant counter-trend rally (minimum target ~6700) as part of either a larger wave 4 correction or a wave 2 within wave 3. The trade is structured with options to limit risk. A break below 6480 would invalidate the preferred diagonal count, suggesting a deeper correction toward 6000-6100 support.
Equity Indexes
Long
Feb 13
$43.85
-26.7%
CRM (Salesforce) is down ~50% and PEGA (Pegasystems) is trading at attractive valuations despite 300% EPS growth (for PEGA). Solodin notes these are top-tier "System of Record" companies. The market fears AI will replace these tools, but large enterprises (e.g., GM, AIG) cannot easily switch away from Salesforce due to decades of data integration, staff training, and embedded workflows. These companies possess the proprietary data required to train effective enterprise AI models, giving them a "Data Moat" startups cannot match. LONG. These are "sticky" businesses with growing cash flows trading at discount valuations. Continued compression of valuation multiples if AI fears persist longer than expected.
CRM (Salesforce) is down ~50% and PEGA (Pegasystems) is trading at attractive valuations despite 300% EPS growth (for PEGA). Solodin notes these are top-tier "System of Record" companies. The market fears AI will replace these tools, but large enterprises (e.g., GM, AIG) cannot easily switch away from Salesforce due to decades of data integration, staff training, and embedded workflows. These companies possess the proprietary data required to train effective enterprise AI models, giving them a "Data Moat" startups cannot match. LONG. These are "sticky" businesses with growing cash flows trading at discount valuations. Continued compression of valuation multiples if AI fears persist longer than expected.
AI Software
Long
Feb 08
$208.44
+136.1%
AMD has formed a "Regular Flat" correction pattern where the recent low matched the previous low (Double Bottom), and the price is reacting positively. Unlike Nvidia, which is showing exhaustion, AMD's technical structure suggests the correction is complete. The "Regular Flat" is a continuation pattern that typically precedes a run to new all-time highs (target ~$280). Long on technical mean reversion and trend continuation. Semiconductor sector weakness; failure to hold the double bottom support.
AMD has formed a "Regular Flat" correction pattern where the recent low matched the previous low (Double Bottom), and the price is reacting positively. Unlike Nvidia, which is showing exhaustion, AMD's technical structure suggests the correction is complete. The "Regular Flat" is a continuation pattern that typically precedes a run to new all-time highs (target ~$280). Long on technical mean reversion and trend continuation. Semiconductor sector weakness; failure to hold the double bottom support.
AI Compute
Short
Feb 08
$70330.38
+8.0%
Bitcoin is following a precise 4-year cycle that aligns with previous tops. Based on "Top-to-Bottom" and "Bottom-to-Bottom" time cycles, a significant correction is due, targeting a bottom in late 2026. The current price action mimics the distribution patterns of previous cycle peaks. Short / Avoid (Expect correction to 40k-50k range). Institutional adoption (ETFs) breaks the historical retail-driven cycle.
Bitcoin is following a precise 4-year cycle that aligns with previous tops. Based on "Top-to-Bottom" and "Bottom-to-Bottom" time cycles, a significant correction is due, targeting a bottom in late 2026. The current price action mimics the distribution patterns of previous cycle peaks. Short / Avoid (Expect correction to 40k-50k range). Institutional adoption (ETFs) breaks the historical retail-driven cycle.
Crypto Assets
Long
Feb 08
$40.42
+39.3%
PayPal has dropped significantly (80% from highs) and is now trading at deep value multiples, yet revenue and earnings continue to grow. The market is pricing it for bankruptcy, but the cash flows tell a story of a mature "value" company. Solodin removed his hedges, signaling a shift from "cautious holding" to "conviction holding." Long (Deep Value). Competition from Apple Pay/fintech; margin compression.
PayPal has dropped significantly (80% from highs) and is now trading at deep value multiples, yet revenue and earnings continue to grow. The market is pricing it for bankruptcy, but the cash flows tell a story of a mature "value" company. Solodin removed his hedges, signaling a shift from "cautious holding" to "conviction holding." Long (Deep Value). Competition from Apple Pay/fintech; margin compression.
Payments & Fintech
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Dmitry Solodin has 86 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 83 tickers since February 2026. Win rate 52% across 86 evaluated calls, average return +6.7%. Ranked #33 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: ADBE, CRM, MSFT.
