Dmitry Solodin 4.0 86 ideas

Trader / Investor
After 1 day
46%winrate
-0.3% avg
31W / 36L · 67/67 ideas
After 1 week
55%winrate
+0.4% avg
37W / 30L · 67/67 ideas
After 1 month
49%winrate
-0.8% avg
22W / 23L · 45/67 ideas
22 winning  /  23 losing  ·  45 positions (30d)
Net: -0.8%
Recent positions
TickerDirEntryP&LDate
D LONG $62.77 Apr 03
ETN LONG $361.10 Apr 03
FCX LONG $61.38 Apr 03
CEG LONG $272.82 Apr 03
VST LONG $151.18 Apr 03
NEE LONG $93.15 Apr 03
SPY LONG $632.98 Mar 27
MSFT LONG $356.15 Mar 27
ADBE LONG $234.19 Mar 27
GOLD LONG $412.85 Mar 27
SLV LONG $61.62 Mar 21
GOLD LONG $412.74 Mar 21
By sector
Stock
69 ideas -0.1%
ETF
9 ideas -6.0%
Crypto
4 ideas -0.6%
Commodity
3 ideas -20.2%
index
1 ideas
Top tickers (by frequency)
ADBE 4 ideas
33% W -2.0%
BTC 4 ideas
50% W -0.6%
MSFT 4 ideas
50% W -2.3%
CRM 4 ideas
67% W +0.7%
NOW 3 ideas
100% W +11.5%
Best and worst calls
Speaker describes Eaton Corporation as controlling the supply chain for critical electrical equipment (transformers, switchgear, power management systems). It co-developed a 480-volt power architecture for AI racks with NVIDIA. The transformer shortage is acute, with lead times of 3-5 years. ETN's vertical integration and patented technology (e.g., Busway) allow it to pass on cost increases and benefit directly from the build-out of data center physical infrastructure. LONG due to its dominant position in a bottleneck market (electrical equipment) with a direct technological link to NVIDIA's AI hardware ecosystem. A slowdown in data center capex spending or supply chain normalization.
ETN Dmitry Solodin Apr 03, 19:11
Trader / Investor
Speaker highlights NextEra Energy's scale and dominance in *transmitting* energy via its subsidiary NextEra Energy Transmission. It has expertise in overcoming regulatory barriers for interstate power lines and a partnership with Google Cloud to use AI for grid optimization. The crisis is as much about grid capacity as generation. NEE controls critical transmission infrastructure, which is in severe shortage and has a multi-year development backlog, giving it pricing power. LONG due to its monopoly-like position in a scarce, essential service (power transmission) required for AI expansion. Execution delays in building new transmission lines or adverse regulatory decisions.
NEE Dmitry Solodin Apr 03, 19:11
Trader / Investor
Speaker identifies Vistra as the largest unregulated power producer in the US, operating in liberalized markets (PJM, ERCOT). It owns a large fleet of gas and nuclear assets and has long-term contracts with Amazon and Meta. As an unregulated producer, VST directly benefits from price spikes in electricity caused by AI-driven demand. It has flexibility to manage peak loads and can pass on cost increases. LONG because its business model allows it to fully capitalize on rising and volatile power prices driven by data center demand. Exposure to potential regulatory changes or a sharp economic downturn reducing energy demand.
VST Dmitry Solodin Apr 03, 19:11
Trader / Investor
Speaker explicitly mentions Freeport-McMoRan as a major copper play, highlighting an existing and growing copper deficit driven by electrification of grids and data centers. Massive investments in power infrastructure (wiring, transformers) are highly copper-intensive. Supply has not kept up with this projected demand, creating a favorable medium-term setup. LONG as a medium-term investment in the copper supercycle theme, which is directly related to the energy infrastructure build-out. The stock is cyclical and volatile; a global recession could crater demand for industrial metals.
FCX Dmitry Solodin Apr 03, 19:11
Trader / Investor
Speaker calls Constellation Energy the largest nuclear plant operator in the US with an insurmountable "protective moat" (permits, personnel, lack of competitors). It signed a historic 20-year, $16B contract with Microsoft and can bypass the 5-year grid connection queue. Nuclear power is the "gold standard" for providing 24/7, emission-free baseload power to energy-hungry data centers. CEG's exclusive assets and contracts position it to capture the structural growth in electricity demand. LONG due to its monopoly-like position in nuclear generation, direct contracts with hyperscalers, and ability to benefit from rising power prices. The entire sector could sell off in a broad market recession.
CEG Dmitry Solodin Apr 03, 19:11
Trader / Investor
Speaker notes Dominion Energy's "unique geography" as a monopoly servicing Northern Virginia's "data center alley," which handles ~70% of global internet traffic. It has signed agreements to supply 4.85 GW to data centers and owns critical, non-replicable rights-of-way. Physical location is a key moat. Dominion is the essential utility for the world's most concentrated data center region, guaranteeing demand for its power. LONG because it is a regulated monopoly in the epicenter of data center growth, with visible, contracted demand. Regulatory pushback on rate increases or operational issues.
D Dmitry Solodin Apr 03, 19:11
Trader / Investor
Stated "золото я начал покупать, я уже говорил, уже купил" (I started buying gold, I already said, I already bought). Shows a chart with a collar strategy (long call + short put) to define risk. The price is seen as correcting within a larger impulsive uptrend, currently testing support from a previous "cup and handle" breakout zone. Momentum oscillators show periods of being oversold. Entering a long position on the expectation the bullish trend will resume, targeting a move to close the gap near 4800-5000. The correction could extend into a deeper zigzag pattern, testing lower levels before reversing.
GOLD Dmitry Solodin Mar 27, 21:43
Trader / Investor
Opened a long options position on the index, expecting a bounce to 6600-6700 by April. Identifies two primary Elliott Wave counts, both of which project an upward move from current levels. The decline from the highs is assessed as corrective (not a new impulse wave), characterized by overlapping waves and currently low volume, suggesting selling pressure is exhausting. Expects a significant counter-trend rally (minimum target ~6700) as part of either a larger wave 4 correction or a wave 2 within wave 3. The trade is structured with options to limit risk. A break below 6480 would invalidate the preferred diagonal count, suggesting a deeper correction toward 6000-6100 support.
SPY Dmitry Solodin Mar 27, 21:43
Trader / Investor
Holds a position in Adobe, averaging down. States the company has growing revenue/profits, a cheap valuation (P/E ~13), and an active buyback (~11%). Interprets the prolonged price decline as a wide, volatile consolidation range ("боковик") rather than a fundamental breakdown. The business metrics remain strong. Believes the stock is undervalued and expects a mean-reversion bounce within its large trading range, with a first target near 400. The stock remains in a weak momentum phase and could continue to languish at the bottom of its range for an extended period.
ADBE Dmitry Solodin Mar 27, 21:43
Trader / Investor
Stated "Microsoft я покупаю" (I am buying Microsoft). Considers it a good company that has reached a reasonable valuation, acting as a key infrastructure provider for AI. The stock is resting on support at the moving average within a larger uptrend. Its business is viewed as defensive (cloud services) whether AI succeeds or not. Buying on the current dip as part of a long-term position, with an expectation it will bounce toward 420 initially. Willing to average down if price falls further to ~290. The current correction could be a deep wave 2 within a diagonal pattern, potentially extending the drawdown.
MSFT Dmitry Solodin Mar 27, 21:43
Trader / Investor
Speaker states he is starting to re-enter gold positions ("Я начинаю заново заходить в золото") and is improving his cost basis. He expects a strong mean reversion bounce back to the ~$5,000 level by April-May, based on technical patterns (triangle, wave count) and the large current deviation from the moving average. LONG because the setup offers a favorable risk/reward for a bounce, and he is actively rebuilding his position. The pattern could extend into a larger correction before the anticipated bounce.
GOLD Dmitry Solodin Mar 21, 17:13
Trader / Investor
Speaker explicitly says Bitcoin will likely reach its low by the end of 2026/early 2027, in a range of $25,000 to $50,000, and advises against buying now ("не торопитесь сейчас покупать"). Price remains below key moving averages and is in a clear downtrend. A proper buy setup requires a breakout above the MA and a subsequent successful retest, which is not present. AVOID because the trend is down, a significant lower low is expected, and no constructive buy trigger is in sight. A sudden surge in global liquidity could cause an earlier rally.
BTC Dmitry Solodin Mar 21, 17:13
Trader / Investor
Speaker identifies a target zone of 6,750-6,800 for a bounce in the Nasdaq (NDX) and notes the market is at local support with oversold indicators. The recent decline is not impulsive but rather a diagonal or complex correction, which typically implies a sharp retracement (second wave). Market sentiment is also at extreme fear. WATCH for a significant technical rebound to the cited target zone from current oversold conditions. The decline could become impulsive, invalidating the corrective pattern and leading to further downside.
NDX Dmitry Solodin Mar 21, 17:13
Trader / Investor
Speaker explicitly states he has started actively accumulating silver ("Я серебро начал активно отрабатывать уже в лонг") using the SLV ETF and options. He analyzes a triangle pattern and believes the current zone is a good area to start building a position, using options to limit risk instead of buying the spot asset outright. LONG because he is initiating positions in anticipation of the pattern eventually resolving to the upside. Price could make another leg down to the $62-60 area before reversing.
SLV Dmitry Solodin Mar 21, 17:13
Trader / Investor
Speaker expects a bounce in the S&P 500 following the March OPEX expiration, likely by the end of the next week ("Я ожидаю в следующую неделю... какой-то отскок"). The massive negative gamma from the March options series (which exacerbated selling) has now expired. This removes a technical selling pressure and allows for a rebalancing bounce. WATCH for a short-term bullish reversal setup as the technical selling pressure from options market makers abates. A new series of large put options could be written in the next quarter, recreating negative gamma and selling pressure.
SPY Dmitry Solodin Mar 21, 17:13
Trader / Investor
Dmitry Solodin (Trader / Investor) | 86 trade ideas tracked | ADBE, BTC, MSFT, CRM, NOW | YouTube | Buzzberg