Sentiment model points to 10.8% S&P gain.
RBC's main sentiment model projects a 10.8% gain for the S&P 500 over the next 12 months. The base case is higher but not linear, with one or more 5-10% drawdowns expected. Without a recession, worst-case drawdowns are likely capped around 20%, so investors should be prepared but not overreact.
Apple selloff is supply-driven, demand strong.
Apple's 11% stock decline is driven by supply shortages for components amid strong demand, not weakening consumer appetite. MacBook sales smashed expectations, consumers kept buying across the board, and the weak forecast is entirely supply-driven. The sell-off appears overdone and temporary.