Foreigners Bet Upward on Futures Options, We Formulate Domestic Investment Strategies Seen Through Charts

Foreigners Bet Upward on Futures Options, We Formulate Domestic Investment Strategies Seen Through Charts | Chesley Investment Advisory Executive Director Park Se-ik
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 31, 2026 at 21:00  |  29:23  |  Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문)
Speakers
Park Se-ik — CEO, ex-Chief Strategist

Summary

Park Se-ik dissects the KOSPI's historic 34% monthly crash by comparing it to 2008 and analyzes foreign positioning in futures/options, concluding that a sharp near-term rebound is highly probable. He identifies leading sectors and individual stocks showing relative strength or smart-money accumulation, expecting them to drive the recovery.

  • KOSPI fell 34% in one month, a rare event comparable only to October 2008 and the IMF crisis.
  • Foreigners are aggressively betting on an upside move via KOSPI 200 options and futures ahead of the August 13 expiry.
  • A quick 38% retracement of losses to 6,570 is plausible, with 50% to 7,000 possible, potentially within days.
  • Cosmetics (LG H&H, Amorepacific) is the strongest sector with heavy institutional and foreign buying, signaling leadership.
  • SK Innovation benefits from improving refining margins and supply shortages caused by drone strikes on Russian refineries.
  • Hanwha Aerospace shows a post-crash bounce with simultaneous institutional and foreign buying.
  • Samsung Electronics and Hyundai Motor are at technical support levels where a bounce is expected as the market stabilizes.
Ideas
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 0:00
KOSPI 200 poised for sharp bounce
Foreign institutions are heavily positioned for an upward move in KOSPI 200 options and futures. With the options expiry on August 13 only two weeks away, their payoff structure shows a clear upside bias. If the index breaks above the 200-minute moving average, that triggers a long signal. Historical V-shaped recoveries after such extreme monthly drops (like October 2008 or Black Monday) suggest the market can recover 38% of the losses to 6,570, or even 50% to 7,000, within days. Tomorrow should start with a gap up and close as a strong bullish candle, confirming the rebound.
KOSPI 200 HIGH
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 17:46
Samsung Electronics expected to rebound sharply
Samsung Electronics has nearly halved from its peak but must turn around for the market to recover. The weekly chart's dead cross is actually a bounce zone; if it rallies, it can reach the 50% retracement level around 250,000–260,000 won. The technical setup and leadership position make it a key bounce candidate.
005930.KS MED
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 19:33
Cosmetics stocks leading market recovery
The cosmetics sector is the strongest in this brutal market. LG Household & Health Care is up 28% this month with institutions and foreigners actively buying, showing classic leadership—the strongest stocks rise first before a market turn. Amorepacific is up nearly 25% this month, its chart becoming very attractive. Both are showing relative strength and institutional accumulation, positioning them to lead the recovery.
051900.KS 090430.KS HIGH
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 20:41
Hanwha Aerospace sees dual smart-money buying
Hanwha Aerospace has fallen 50% from its high but today showed a bounce with simultaneous buying by both institutions and foreigners. This synchronized smart-money accumulation amid the heavy drawdown signals a potential bottom and a high-probability rebound trade.
012450.KS MED
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 21:01
Refining shortage drives SK Innovation higher
SK Innovation's fundamentals are improving due to rising refining margins. Drone strikes on Russia's largest refinery by Ukraine are creating a shortage of petroleum products. The speaker emphasizes that whenever there is a shortage, stock prices rise. Institutions have been continuously accumulating the stock, confirming the positive fundamental shift.
096770.KS HIGH
Park Se-ik CEO, ex-Chief Strategist 26:33
Hyundai Motor stabilizing at long-term support
Hyundai Motor has fallen to its 20-month moving average, a support level where it typically stabilizes. Foreigners are buying at this support, and even though the dividend yield of 2.83% is not highly attractive in a high-rate environment, technical support and foreign accumulation suggest the stock will find a footing here and eventually bounce.
005380.KS LOW
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This Chesley Investment Advisory (체슬리투자자문) video, published July 31, 2026, features Park Se-ik discussing KOSPI 200, 005930.KS, 051900.KS, 090430.KS, 012450.KS, 096770.KS, 005380.KS. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Park Se-ik  · Tickers: KOSPI 200, 005930.KS, 051900.KS, 090430.KS, 012450.KS, 096770.KS, 005380.KS