Gold Heads for Worst 2-Day Drop Since 1980, Silver Erases 2026 Gains | The Pulse 2/2/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 02, 2026 at 13:56  |  48:38  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Ven Ram — Markets Live Reporter/Strategist, Bloomberg
Christian Mueller-Glissmann — Head of Asset Allocation Research, Goldman Sachs
Alicia García-Herrero — Asia Pacific Economist, Natixis CIB
Michael Haigh — Head of Commodities Research, Societe Generale
Neil — Senior Strategist, Bloomberg
Alexander Pearson — Bloomberg Breaking News Editor
Dennis Lockhart — Former Atlanta Fed President
Jasmine El-Gamal — Founder and CEO, Mindwork Strategies; Former Pentagon Advisor

Summary

Gold and silver suffered historic two-day selloffs, with the metals unwind spilling into equities and Bitcoin as the dollar strengthened after Kevin Warsh was nominated to lead the Fed. Guests debated whether the move was a speculative positioning unwind or a fundamental shift, with Goldman Sachs favoring equities over credit and emerging markets over Europe. Later segments covered India's budget and China trade, SocGen's bullish gold and copper and bearish oil views, Oracle's AI infrastructure financing, and US-Iran tensions.

  • Gold and silver plunged, erasing silver's 2026 gains and pressuring broader risk assets.
  • Kevin Warsh's Fed nomination lifted the dollar and raised questions about Fed independence and balance-sheet policy.
  • Goldman Sachs remains overweight equities and EM, underweight Europe, and sees credit as the weakest link.
  • SocGen expects gold to recover after the volatility, sees copper as a solid buy, and is short oil.
  • India's budget supported exporters and strategic sectors, but higher equity taxes and borrowing weighed on markets.
  • China's weak consumption and import demand remain a drag on global trade gains.
  • Oracle plans to raise up to $50B for AI cloud infrastructure, highlighting leverage and capex risks.
  • US-Iran tensions and diplomatic efforts kept oil and Middle East risk in focus.
Ideas
Ven Ram Markets Live Reporter/Strategist, Bloomberg 2:19
Metals speculative unwind has further downside
Gold and silver have morphed from a fundamental supply-squeeze trade into a momentum and then speculative herd trade, with investors piling in and leaving too much money on the table. The violent unwind is classic herd behavior, and if the 1978-79 analogue plays out, drawdowns could be much deeper; the historical silver drawdown was around 78% versus roughly 30% in the recent move.
Ven Ram Markets Live Reporter/Strategist, Bloomberg 3:48
Bitcoin is losing store-of-value support
Bitcoin's decline predates the silver slide and it is struggling to find support around $75,000. The selloff tests the digital-gold, store-of-wealth and inflation-hedge narratives, and speculative positions are being unwound with no clear support emerging.
Christian Mueller-Glissmann Head of Asset Allocation Research, Goldman Sachs 6:36
Gold positioning overshot; less bullish now
Gold positioning has become extremely crowded and speculative, overshooting fundamentals; with the dollar concern eased by a traditional Fed nominee like Warsh, investors can be less bullish on gold.
Christian Mueller-Glissmann Head of Asset Allocation Research, Goldman Sachs 11:21
Overweight equities, avoid tight-spread credit
Goldman is overweight equities on a relative basis because earnings, restructuring, leverage and structural growth can still deliver returns, while credit is the weakest link due to tight spreads, carry-unwind risk and dollar/yen sensitivity; carry across assets is a theme to avoid.
Christian Mueller-Glissmann Head of Asset Allocation Research, Goldman Sachs 13:37
Underweight Europe on low expected returns
They are underweight Europe because European strategists expect only 5% returns, the lowest among regions, and although defense, infrastructure and banks have expanded, Europe is not a preferred allocation despite possible medium-term AI efficiency benefits.
Christian Mueller-Glissmann Head of Asset Allocation Research, Goldman Sachs 13:37
Overweight emerging markets on better fundamentals
They are overweight emerging markets even though consensus is uncomfortable in the short term, because the fundamentals for EM are still much better.
Alicia García-Herrero Asia Pacific Economist, Natixis CIB 21:54
AstraZeneca China R&D dependency risk
AstraZeneca's large China investment, including $2.5B in R&D, makes sense for accessing China as a platform, but transferring too much innovation and R&D to China risks making the company captured by and dependent on China, so investors need to monitor that dependency.
Michael Haigh Head of Commodities Research, Societe Generale 27:09
Gold volatility is buying opportunity
Gold's selloff is mostly positioning and removal of Fed-independence uncertainty rather than a fundamental change. Central-bank buying paused at higher prices but should resume as prices become more attractive, and once the volatility passes gold should move back up.
Michael Haigh Head of Commodities Research, Societe Generale 28:00
Silver amplifies gold's eventual rebound
Silver is a much smaller and more volatile market than gold, with ETF and hedge fund positioning having an outsized effect; it should do what gold does on a more extreme basis when gold stabilizes and moves back up.
Michael Haigh Head of Commodities Research, Societe Generale 28:41
Copper is solid buy on fundamentals
Copper is a solid buy because AI data centers, renewables, EVs and stockpiling support fundamentals. It was dragged down with gold and silver due to coproduction, but it has more positive fundamental features than precious metals.
Michael Haigh Head of Commodities Research, Societe Generale 31:20
Oil is bearish; stay short
He is staying away from oil and is shorting it, with a quite bearish outlook going forward.
Neil Senior Strategist, Bloomberg 35:06
Oracle equity raise heightens AI capex risk
Oracle plans to raise up to $50B through equity and debt to fund cloud and AI infrastructure. Bringing equity means immediate price discovery and highlights a leveraged balance sheet, while the AI capex race has few historical winners and requires ongoing investment to keep a seat at the table, so the financing is a risk and setup to monitor.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published February 02, 2026, features Ven Ram, Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alicia García-Herrero, Michael Haigh, Neil discussing GLD, SILVER, BTC, Equities, VGK, EEM, AZN, COPPER, WTI, ORCL. 12 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Ven Ram, Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alicia García-Herrero, Michael Haigh, Neil  · Tickers: GLD, SILVER, BTC, Equities, VGK, EEM, AZN, COPPER, WTI, ORCL