Venezuela enters a new phase as stability, oil, and diplomacy take center stage

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 05, 2026 at 12:44  |  7:50  |  CNBC
Speakers
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera — CEO of MCC Global Enterprises
Alejandro Velasco — Professor of Latin American History, NYU
Frank — Host

Summary

The segment examines Venezuela after Nicolás Maduro's removal, focusing on the U.S. shift toward stability, oil access, and pragmatism over immediate democratic transition. Delcy Rodriguez's consolidation of power and pragmatic reputation are discussed as factors that could make Venezuela workable for returning companies and oil investment. The guests highlight the potential profitability of Venezuelan oil and U.S. oil companies' opportunity, while noting infrastructure, military, and political risks.

  • The U.S. is prioritizing stability and oil access in Venezuela over rapid democratic transition.
  • Delcy Rodriguez is seen as a pragmatist who may stabilize the government and work with oil companies if investment protections exist.
  • Michelle Caruso-Cabrera argues Venezuelan oil extraction can be profitable due to low production costs and heavy crude compatible with U.S. refiners.
  • Alejandro Velasco says U.S. oil companies could benefit, while warning that Venezuela's economy remains deeply depressed.
  • Risks include dilapidated oil infrastructure, military/oligarch control of oil revenue, and the potential for political instability.
  • The discussion frames Venezuela as a developing reopening story rather than a clean near-term democratic transition.
Ideas
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera CEO of MCC Global Enterprises 1:38
Venezuela stability setup is improving.
Delcy Rodriguez appears to have consolidated power and is regarded as a pragmatist who can stabilize Venezuela and work with the government and oil companies if a framework protects investments, making Venezuela a developing stability/reopening setup even though military support and oil-money distribution remain risks.
Michelle Caruso-Cabrera CEO of MCC Global Enterprises 6:13
Venezuelan oil extraction can be profitable.
Venezuelan oil extraction is a profitability opportunity rather than just a volatility trade: production costs are $13-$16 per barrel versus $40-$60 in the U.S., U.S. refiners can process Venezuela's heavy crude, and while old infrastructure requires substantial replacement investment, once oil can be extracted it can be profitable.
Alejandro Velasco Professor of Latin American History, NYU 7:30
U.S. oil companies can win in Venezuela.
When asked whether this is a potential win for companies that want to invest in Venezuela, Velasco says 'absolutely' in terms of U.S. oil companies, supporting their involvement as a positive outcome though his explanation is cut off.
Up Next

This CNBC video, published January 05, 2026, features Michelle Caruso-Cabrera, Alejandro Velasco discussing Venezuela, Venezuelan oil production, XLE. 3 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Michelle Caruso-Cabrera, Alejandro Velasco  · Tickers: Venezuela, Venezuelan oil production, XLE