China’s Metals Mania Sends Copper Soaring as Gold Falls From Record High

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 29, 2026 at 19:02  |  3:46  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Mike McGlone — Senior Commodity Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence

Summary

Mike McGlone discusses the surge in copper and broader metals, attributing much of the move to Chinese buying, speculation, tariffs, and supply constraints. He is cautious on copper and silver, sees dollar weakness as a leading driver of commodities, and warns industrial commodities need a firm stock market. On oil, he views geopolitical spikes as selling opportunities and expects crude to be lower by year-end.

  • Copper surged above $14,500 a ton on Chinese buying and supply/tariff concerns.
  • McGlone says copper's move is speculative and short-covering driven, and he remains concerned it tilts lower.
  • He warns silver leadership in a metals rally is a signal to back off due to poor liquidity and volatility.
  • Dollar weakness is discussed as a leading driver of commodity strength.
  • He says most industrial commodities need the stock market to stay up; gold is the least industrial.
  • Crude oil geopolitical spikes are seen as selling opportunities, with $65 a first test for shorts.
  • Lower energy, rates, and yields are framed as important for the midterms.
Ideas
Mike McGlone Senior Commodity Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence 0:00
Chinese metal buying looks crypto-like speculative.
Chinese investors have become significant buyers of all metals after starting with gold last year; when gold got expensive, they rotated into everything, creating a broad and increasingly crypto-like speculative metals environment where rallies can be self-defeating.
Mike McGlone Senior Commodity Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence 1:23
Copper surge looks speculative, risk tilts lower.
Copper's record surge is largely speculation and short covering; he thought it was worth shorting around $6 and still might be, though it remains a bull market. He is very concerned it tilts lower because iron ore is weak and Chinese bond yields are falling, and metals rallies tend to self-destruct.
Mike McGlone Senior Commodity Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence 1:40
Silver leadership warns to back off.
When silver leads a broad metals rally, investors should back off. Silver lacks the volume and liquidity of gold or copper and is overdue for violent 10% daily swings, making it prone to causing maximum pain.
Mike McGlone Senior Commodity Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence 2:08
Weak dollar leads commodity rally.
Dollar weakness is leading the commodity rally; a weaker dollar is needed to fix the US trade balance, and that is what is happening, which supports the metals and commodity bid.
Mike McGlone Senior Commodity Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence 2:31
Industrial commodities need stock market support.
For most industrial commodities to move higher, the stock market has to stay up; almost all commodities are industrial except gold, so equity strength is a key dependency for the group.
Mike McGlone Senior Commodity Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence 3:11
Sell crude supply-disruption spikes.
Geopolitical supply-disruption headlines, such as a US carrier group near Iranian waters, are opportunities for crude traders to sell. Crude near $65 is the first place to test a short, and he expects the year to be lower than that; lower energy is also needed for midterms.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 29, 2026, features Mike McGlone discussing XME, COPPER, SILVER, UUP, Industrial commodities, WTI. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Mike McGlone  · Tickers: XME, COPPER, SILVER, UUP, Industrial commodities, WTI