21st Century 'Arms Race' Begins; China Chokes Critical Supply | Scott Eldridge

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 29, 2025 at 21:06  |  23:39  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Scott Eldridge — CEO, Military Metals Corp.
David Lin — Founder & Host, The David Lin Report / ex-Anchor, Kitco News

Summary

Scott Eldridge, CEO of Military Metals Corp., discusses how NATO's planned increase in defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035 and China's antimony export restrictions are creating a critical minerals supply squeeze. He argues antimony prices have risen sharply because China, Russia, and Tajikistan control most supply and the West has limited substitutes or stockpiles. Governments are increasingly deploying capital and fast-track permitting into domestic critical mineral and rare earth projects, which benefits developers like Military Metals, MP Materials, and other early-stage assets. Scott outlines Military Metals' antimony projects in Nova Scotia, Slovakia, and Nevada and upcoming drilling/permitting milestones.

  • NATO members are targeting 5% of GDP for defense spending by 2035, driving rearmament and critical mineral demand.
  • China has restricted and then banned antimony exports to the US, creating a bifurcated global market and higher prices.
  • Antimony is defense-critical with no substitutes in many munitions, and US stockpiles are reportedly about 30 days.
  • Governments are using equity stakes, DPA grants, EXIM financing, and fast-track permitting to support critical mineral projects.
  • MP Materials and other projects are cited as examples of government capital entering rare earths and critical minerals.
  • Military Metals owns antimony projects in Nova Scotia, Slovakia, and Nevada, with drilling and permitting milestones ahead.
  • Scott says construction on Military Metals' projects could begin in 12–24 months under fast-track, fully funded conditions.
  • The interview also discusses Western military stockpile depletion and the broader global arms race.
Ideas
Scott Eldridge CEO, Military Metals Corp. 6:40
Antimony shortage drives prices higher.
China’s antimony export restrictions and its December 2024 ban on US exports, combined with NATO rearmament and depleted Western military stockpiles, have created a severe supply shortage in a defense-critical metal with no substitutes in many munitions. Scott says China, Russia, and Tajikistan control about 85% of reserves/production, splitting the market into China and rest-of-world prices; the global antimony price rose from $15,000/ton to $38,000/ton and then $60,000/ton, while US inventories may be only about 30 days. Because antimony is not exchange-traded and has no ETFs or futures, exposure must come through equities.
Scott Eldridge CEO, Military Metals Corp. 9:53
Government capital floods critical minerals/rare earths.
NATO’s commitment to raise defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2035, plus rearmament and restocking of depleted stockpiles, is pushing governments to deploy a tsunami of capital into domestic critical minerals and rare earths. Scott points to the Pentagon’s $400M equity stake in MP Materials, DPA Title 3 grants, US EXIM financing, and fast-track permitting in Canada and the EU as evidence that government capital is moving into development- and even exploration-stage assets, much of it non-dilutive and highly encouraging for the sector.
Scott Eldridge CEO, Military Metals Corp. 10:00
MP Materials gains government backing.
MP Materials is a key example of government capital and strategic demand in rare earths: the Pentagon took a $400M equity stake in what the host calls America’s only operational rare earth mine, and Apple is reportedly buying rare earths from the Pentagon-backed company. This illustrates the tsunami of government support for domestic critical-mineral champions and validates the strategic value of rare earth assets.
Scott Eldridge CEO, Military Metals Corp. 16:16
Military Metals advances NATO antimony projects.
Military Metals is a pure-play antimony vehicle at a time when antimony has no direct ETF or futures exposure. It holds three antimony projects in NATO countries: Westcore in Nova Scotia, where historical stockpiles returned up to 40% antimony plus over 100 g/t gold and remains open at depth and along strike; Slovakia, with Europe’s only documented antimony resource of 60,000 contained tonnes worth over $3B at current prices and awaiting 10 infill holes to convert Soviet-era estimates to NI 43-101; and Nevada, where surface sampling returned up to 10% antimony. Scott expects drill programs and permits to advance these projects, potentially with government capital, and says construction could start within 12–24 months under fast-track, fully funded conditions.
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This The David Lin Report video, published July 29, 2025, features Scott Eldridge discussing ANTIMONY, REMX, Defense metals, MP, MILI. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Scott Eldridge  · Tickers: ANTIMONY, REMX, Defense metals, MP, MILI