Buzzberg Cup Live

China's Oil Imports Drop to Lowest in Nearly a Decade | The China Show | 7/14/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 14, 2026 at 06:21  |  1:33:00  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Chris Weston — Head of Research, Pepperstone
Adam Posen — President, Peterson Institute for International Economics
Fabiana Fedeli — CIO of Equities, Multi-Asset and Sustainability, M&G Investment Management
Mukesh Sahdev — Founder/CEO, X Analysts (Energy Market Consultancy)

Summary

Markets react sharply to the US reinstating the Strait of Hormuz blockade and threatening a 20% toll on passing ships, sending Brent crude toward $85 and reviving inflation fears that cast doubt on the Fed's next move. Equity indices fall as AI and chip stocks lose momentum, with SK Hynix and Korean leveraged ETFs under severe stress. Strong China trade data, TSMC's 36% sales jump, and a challenging Shein IPO backdrop add to the cross-currents.

  • Oil prices spike on US Hormuz blockade and 20% toll threat, Brent at $85.
  • Inflation fears return, lifting rate-hike expectations for the Fed's July meeting.
  • Equity markets drop across Asia, led by chip stocks and Korean leveraged ETFs.
  • TSMC sales jump 36% driven by AI demand, but shares flat on in-line numbers.
  • China June trade beats estimates, with exports up 27% led by AI hardware and EVs.
  • China crude oil imports plunge 41% YoY, hinting at strategic stockpile drawdown.
  • Shein delays IPO to raise $2-3bn amid slowing sales, valuation cut to $30bn.
  • China's EV overcapacity and export surge create ongoing trade tensions.
Ideas
Chris Weston Head of Research, Pepperstone 17:30
Micron is a cleaner memory play
To express a view on memory, Micron is preferred over SK Hynix because Micron faces fewer flow-based distortions from leveraged ETF unwinds, offering a cleaner way to play the memory cycle.
Adam Posen President, Peterson Institute for International Economics 36:53
Inflation and rates will surprise higher
Inflation and interest rates will keep surprising to the upside through the year, with CPI reaching 4.5–4.75% by year-end, forcing the Fed to hike 25bps in December and January, possibly starting a tightening bias after Jackson Hole.
Fabiana Fedeli CIO of Equities, Multi-Asset and Sustainability, M&G Investment Management 77:28
Electrification and power infrastructure are attractive
Beyond short-cycle AI demand, there are attractive longer-cycle demand opportunities in electrification, power infrastructure, and industrial technology enablers, which are underappreciated due to current market concentration.
Fabiana Fedeli CIO of Equities, Multi-Asset and Sustainability, M&G Investment Management 80:54
EM local bonds offer high real yields
Emerging-market local-currency bonds offer high real yields, stability, orthodox central banks, lower debt than developed markets, and higher growth expectations, making them a long-term holding.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published July 14, 2026, features Chris Weston, Adam Posen, Fabiana Fedeli discussing MU, TLT, Electrification and power infrastructure, EMLC. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Chris Weston, Adam Posen, Fabiana Fedeli  · Tickers: MU, TLT, Electrification and power infrastructure, EMLC