Calls
2
Mukesh Sahdev
Founder/CEO, X Analysts (Energy Market Consultancy)
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+21.8%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 02
$87.19
+42.2%
Oil opened ~$82 (up from ~$73 close) following US/Israel strikes and the death of Khamenei. Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has halted ("effective closure") due to safety concerns. While Sahdev argues against $100 oil due to seasonal weakness, the immediate "war premium" is being repriced. The physical disruption of LNG and Oil tankers (down 80% per Kepler data) creates an immediate supply shock fear. Even if the Strait isn't officially closed, the *insurance* blockade creates the same effect as a physical one. LONG. Momentum trade on the "fear premium" of $8-$20 per barrel. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire (Iran has signaled willingness to talk); seasonal demand weakness caps upside.
Oil opened ~$82 (up from ~$73 close) following US/Israel strikes and the death of Khamenei. Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has halted ("effective closure") due to safety concerns. While Sahdev argues against $100 oil due to seasonal weakness, the immediate "war premium" is being repriced. The physical disruption of LNG and Oil tankers (down 80% per Kepler data) creates an immediate supply shock fear. Even if the Strait isn't officially closed, the *insurance* blockade creates the same effect as a physical one. LONG. Momentum trade on the "fear premium" of $8-$20 per barrel. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire (Iran has signaled willingness to talk); seasonal demand weakness caps upside.
Commodities
Long
Mar 02
$57.04
+1.4%
Oil opened ~$82 (up from ~$73 close) following US/Israel strikes and the death of Khamenei. Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has halted ("effective closure") due to safety concerns. While Sahdev argues against $100 oil due to seasonal weakness, the immediate "war premium" is being repriced. The physical disruption of LNG and Oil tankers (down 80% per Kepler data) creates an immediate supply shock fear. Even if the Strait isn't officially closed, the *insurance* blockade creates the same effect as a physical one. LONG. Momentum trade on the "fear premium" of $8-$20 per barrel. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire (Iran has signaled willingness to talk); seasonal demand weakness caps upside.
Oil opened ~$82 (up from ~$73 close) following US/Israel strikes and the death of Khamenei. Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has halted ("effective closure") due to safety concerns. While Sahdev argues against $100 oil due to seasonal weakness, the immediate "war premium" is being repriced. The physical disruption of LNG and Oil tankers (down 80% per Kepler data) creates an immediate supply shock fear. Even if the Strait isn't officially closed, the *insurance* blockade creates the same effect as a physical one. LONG. Momentum trade on the "fear premium" of $8-$20 per barrel. Rapid de-escalation or a ceasefire (Iran has signaled willingness to talk); seasonal demand weakness caps upside.
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Mukesh Sahdev has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since March 2026. Most covered: XLE, BNO.
