Spain's Ceuta Migrant Crisis Sparks Debate; Tech Stocks Rise as Kospi Sees 18% Jump | The Pulse 7/31

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 31, 2026 at 12:15  |  48:24  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Neil Campling — Tech/TMT Analyst
Jari Stehn — Goldman Sachs, Chief European Economist
Conrad Keijzer — Clariant CEO
Francine Lacqua — Anchor, Bloomberg
Bloomberg Hedge Fund — Bloomberg Hedge Fund Reporter

Summary

The episode covers tech earnings with Amazon beating on AWS growth and Apple falling on supply shortages, a leveraged AI hedge fund implosion, central bank decisions (BOJ, Fed, BOE, ECB) with a Goldman economist providing dovish assessments and a bullish call on UK gilts, Clariant CEO discussing a favorable court ruling removing a legal overhang, and geopolitical updates on Gaza and migration. Markets saw a broad tech rally, especially in Korea, while oil prices remain resilient below $100.

  • Amazon's AWS revenue growth accelerated to 37%, driving shares higher; Apple faced supply shortages and cautious AI outlook.
  • A large AI-focused hedge fund suffered a 67% loss due to excessive leverage, but Citadel bought its portfolio at a discount, signaling the AI trade may not be broken.
  • Goldman's chief European economist Jari Stehn expects BOE and Fed on hold, BOJ gradual hikes, ECB one more hike then pause, and sees UK gilts as attractive.
  • Clariant's CEO highlighted a €1bn ethylene claim dismissal by a Dutch court, removing a share price overhang and boosting the stock 16%.
  • Bank of England Governor Bailey said market pricing of no rate change is sensible, and a conflict de-escalation could lower energy risks.
  • Geopolitical tensions: Trump announced Hamas disarmament deal, while Spain deployed troops to Ceuta amid a migrant surge.
  • European banks NatWest and Credit Agricole posted strong results, with revenue strength and low credit risk.
  • Climate-driven wildfires and low river levels in Europe threatened commodity transit and nuclear plant cooling.
Ideas
Neil Campling Tech/TMT Analyst 1:09
Amazon capex efficient, AWS growth strong.
Amazon's AWS revenue growth accelerated to 37% YoY, fastest in 5 years, demonstrating that heavy capex is paying off; its capex-to-sales ratio is lowest among hyperscalers (vs Alphabet 50%, Meta 60%, Oracle 95%), and the balance sheet supports continued investment, providing comfort for investors.
Neil Campling Tech/TMT Analyst 2:16
Apple supply shortages hurt, AI unclear.
Apple is struggling with memory and component shortages despite its massive purchasing power, impacting pricing and volumes; it is waiting on AI model winners before committing to further capacity, creating uncertainty and potential downside.
Jari Stehn Goldman Sachs, Chief European Economist 12:34
UK gilts undervalued, risk premium excessive.
UK gilts carry an excessive risk premium relative to countries like France, driven by inflation and fiscal worries, but UK potential growth is higher, supported by services and AI, and the risk premium is too high; gilts should look more attractive over the next year.
Conrad Keijzer Clariant CEO 28:32
Legal overhang removed, shares can re-rate.
Clariant's share price overhang from legacy ethylene claims was removed by a Dutch court dismissal of a >€1bn claim by Shell, with the judge ruling no impact on ethylene prices; the 16% share price jump may not fully capture the re-rating, and the company's specialty chemicals positioning allows it to pass on raw material inflation.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published July 31, 2026, features Neil Campling, Jari Stehn, Conrad Keijzer discussing AMZN, AAPL, UKGILT, Clariant. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Neil Campling, Jari Stehn, Conrad Keijzer  · Tickers: AMZN, AAPL, UKGILT, Clariant