Ideas
Choppy rotation cycle, not bull or bear.
Base case is a choppy rotation cycle, not a full bull or bear market; idiosyncratic pockets and rotation between sectors will dominate rather than broad high-beta/low-beta moves.
Fartcoin is coin of the cycle.
Fartcoin is the coin of the cycle; he has not sold and is willing to round-trip the position because the asymmetric risk is worth it, with 69 cents as a key level below which the thesis would break.
ETH staking ETF rumor aids Lido.
A rumored ETH staking ETF could make Lido the staking backend, explaining Lido's move; value accrual to the token is uncertain, but it is a positive setup to monitor.
Staking ETF supports ETH holding.
AI agents likely need non-censorable money; in the short to medium term ETH could serve that role and is therefore bullish for ETH, while a purpose-built AI currency may emerge over the long term.
Crypto AI still worth researching.
Crypto AI remains a meta worth researching even in down markets; quality teams in the sector may do well, though many tokens are struggling.
No blue-chip memes, only rotation.
The memecoin meta is super rotational and has no blue-chip names; even whiff falling below a dollar shows the concept is not sticky, so the sustainable approach is catching the next rotation rather than holding.
MicroStrategy-style ETH buying helps ETH.
ETH's problem is lack of clear leadership; his Ether Strategy DAO aims to replicate MicroStrategy onchain by raising capital to buy and lock ETH, giving the community more voice and providing consistent ETH buying, which should be good for ETH price, though demand has been weak.
Coinbase may catch up on Virtuals.
Virtuals, the Base AI flagship, has not received a Coinbase listing while smaller or random coins have; after founder pressure and Jesse's response, Coinbase will likely prioritize catching up on Base listings, a positive catalyst for Virtuals.
Berachain launch should start strongly.
Berachain's launch should start well because the farming meta and high-APY vaults create a casino-like speculative environment around points and tokens; expect strong price discovery and a good casino for a while, then the ecosystem must prove itself.
Berachain could be next Hyperliquid.
Berachain has Hyperliquid-like upside potential, possibly launching around $4B and reaching $20B, because it only takes one killer DeFi, social, or pump.fun-style app to drive massive inflows; he sees a lot of opportunity but will reassess after launch.
Bitcoin reserve adoption is bullish.
Czech central bank and US states exploring Bitcoin reserves could create a contagion effect like marijuana legalization; if one state or country does it, others may follow, and this is bullish for Bitcoin even if federal adoption is harder.
Bitcoin will see large drawdown.
He expects Bitcoin to have a large drawdown of roughly 60-80% at some point because that always happens, despite Wall Street and sovereign adoption.
Bitcoin problems distant, still bullish.
Bitcoin faces long-term free-rider, security-budget, and wealth-inequality problems at extreme adoption levels, but we are far from those extremes; he remains bullish and thinks BTC can perform well in the $100k-$500k range without a 75% drawdown from current levels.
Rotate from ETH to BTC after bounce.
After this cycle most people will become Bitcoin maxis; it is not the right time to rotate while ETH/BTC is at .03, but he plans to exit ETH on a bounce and move to BTC.
This Steady Lads Podcast video, published January 31, 2025,
features Jordi Alexander, Taiki Maeda, Justin Bram
discussing Crypto Market, FARTCOIN, LIDO, ETH, AI-SECTOR, MEMECOINS, VIRTUAL, BERA, BTC, ETH/BTC.
14 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Jordi Alexander,
Taiki Maeda,
Justin Bram
· Tickers:
Crypto Market,
FARTCOIN,
LIDO,
ETH,
AI-SECTOR,
MEMECOINS,
VIRTUAL,
BERA,
BTC,
ETH/BTC
