Buzzberg Cup Live

Housing Is Now Crashing: No Rebound For 18 Months Warns Expert | Ron Butler

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 13, 2026 at 15:24  |  37:26  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Ron Butler — Principal, Butler Mortgage

Summary

Ron Butler, Principal Mortgage Broker, warns that US and Canadian housing markets will continue declining with no rebound for at least 18 months due to elevated mortgage rates, inflationary pressures, and weak demand. He expects the 30-year mortgage rate to exceed 6.7% by year-end, supporting a long position on the corresponding Kalshi prediction contract. He also criticizes Canada's condo bailout, notes population decline, and advises home sellers to act now while buyers wait.

  • US 30-year mortgage rate likely to surpass 6.7% by end of 2026
  • Canadian housing markets in Ontario and British Columbia will face continued price declines
  • Homebuilder activity expected to slow due to higher financing costs
  • Canadian condo market suffering from oversupply, with government bailout of developers
  • Population decline in Canada undermines housing demand
  • Sellers should sell now; buyers should wait for better prices
  • Bank of Canada unlikely to raise rates this year despite weak economy
Ideas
Ron Butler Principal, Butler Mortgage 4:34
30Y mortgage rate above 6.7% year-end
Multiple factors including high oil prices, ongoing Middle East conflict, and supply-demand dynamics do not support any softening of mortgage rates. Inflation is percolating globally, and the US doesn't exist in a vacuum. The trend is upwards, and the 30-year fixed mortgage rate will likely end the year above 6.7%, consistent with the Kalshi prediction market.
Up Next

This The David Lin Report video, published July 13, 2026, features Ron Butler discussing Kalshi: 30-Year Mortgage Rate Above 6.7%. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Ron Butler  · Tickers: Kalshi: 30-Year Mortgage Rate Above 6.7%