Washington Is Suppressing Volatility To Keep The AI Boom Alive | Weekly Roundup

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 07, 2026 at 07:00  |  59:55  |  Forward Guidance
Speakers
Felix Jauvin — Co-Host, Forward Guidance
Quinn Thompson — Co-Host, Forward Guidance / Founder, Lekker Capital

Summary

The hosts discuss a market regime shift from pure Fed liquidity toward state-directed capitalism where the Treasury actively suppresses volatility to sustain the AI capex boom. They explore the mechanics of recent yen interventions, the implications for gold and bonds, the emergence of a nuclear power supercycle, and Bitcoin's cleansing period. The conversation highlights investment opportunities in gold, hyperscaler corporate bonds, nuclear energy, industrials, and Bitcoin miners pivoting to AI.

  • Policy is moving from Fed dominance to fiscal dominance, with Treasury directly intervening to cap bond volatility and weaken the dollar.
  • The yen intervention was executed without selling US bonds, showing a coordinated effort to keep the long end stable while stimulating markets.
  • Gold is rallying as it sniffs out the dovish, stimulative pivot hidden behind hawkish Fed rhetoric.
  • Hyperscaler corporate bonds (Oracle, Google) offer 8–9% yields on investment-grade credits, presenting a steal for yield-seeking boomers.
  • A nuclear power supercycle is forming as the government directs capital toward energy abundance, with a wave of private nuclear companies nearing public markets.
  • Industrials, machinery, and railroads stand to benefit from state-directed growth and deglobalization.
  • Bitcoin is in a healthy cleansing phase as leverage and toxic narratives wash out, setting the stage for the next rally.
  • Bitcoin miners that are transitioning to AI data center operations gain a regulatory moat and massive upside.
Ideas
Industrials benefit from state-directed capex.
The shift toward state-directed growth and deglobalization makes industrials, machinery, and railroads strategically vital. These real-economy companies are the new backbone of the economy, benefiting from fiscal spending and reshoring trends in a way that will drive long-term outperformance.
Nuclear power supercycle is coming.
State-directed capital is pushing nuclear power as the next big theme to achieve energy abundance and decouple from Middle East oil risk. A wave of late-stage fission, fusion, and SMR companies is about to come public, creating a nuclear supercycle that will benefit the sector enormously.
Felix Jauvin Co-Host, Forward Guidance 28:48
Gold rallies on fiscal dominance pivot.
Gold is sniffing out the policy shift from hawkish Fed expectations toward fiscal dominance and stimulative interventions that weaken the dollar. The market had priced in rate hikes and Fed credibility, but behind-the-scenes Treasury actions (yen intervention without selling bonds, possible coupon issuance decreases) reveal a more dovish, liquidity-additive stance that should send gold higher.
Hyperscaler corporate bonds offer huge yields.
The AI capex boom is now statecraft, and the government will keep volatility suppressed to sustain it. Hyperscaler corporate bonds (Oracle, Google) offer extremely attractive yields (8-9%) for investment-grade companies that are unlikely to go out of business. As the Treasury keeps the long end quiet and boomers seek real yield, these bonds are a steal.
Bitcoin miners pivoting to AI win big.
Regulation will create a moat for incumbents with existing power grid access. Bitcoin miners that are transitioning to AI data center and high-performance computing will be huge winners because they control large energy contracts and can monetize them in an era of rising AI electricity demand and regulatory hurdles.
Felix Jauvin Co-Host, Forward Guidance 46:01
Bitcoin cleansing sets up next rally.
Bitcoin is going through a cleansing phase: the toxic maximalist culture is washing out, Saylor's dominance is fading, miner supply overhangs are abating, and new narratives will eventually emerge. The asset is setting up for a future rally, though the exact entry timing is unclear; it's a watch for now, but not a short.
Up Next

This Forward Guidance video, published August 07, 2026, features Tyler, Felix Jauvin discussing XLI, URA, GLD, Hyperscaler corporate bonds, AI, BTC. 6 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Tyler, Felix Jauvin  · Tickers: XLI, URA, GLD, Hyperscaler corporate bonds, AI, BTC