Calls
50
#853
Alpha Score 15.7
Quinn Thompson
Co-Host, Forward Guidance / Founder, Lekker Capital
Win Rate
40.0%
return
-3.9%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Feb 02
$431.28
-14.6%
Buy gold (GLD) based on the speaker's structural dollar bear thesis; current selloff is an overleveraged positioning flush from a dollar short squeeze, similar to post-Liberation Day pattern which resolved higher.
Buy gold (GLD) based on the speaker's structural dollar bear thesis; current selloff is an overleveraged positioning flush from a dollar short squeeze, similar to post-Liberation Day pattern which resolved higher.
Commodities
Long
Jan 09
$91622.00
-29.4%
Buy BTC on dip expecting Fed cuts to debase currency, driving capital into alternative stores of value.
Buy BTC on dip expecting Fed cuts to debase currency, driving capital into alternative stores of value.
Crypto Assets
Short
Feb 09
$191.48
-5.7%
Short NVDA as author explicitly re-establishes short position after closing last Thursday, reiterating a bearish fundamental view that the market has not yet priced in peak NVDA dynamics.
Short NVDA as author explicitly re-establishes short position after closing last Thursday, reiterating a bearish fundamental view that the market has not yet priced in peak NVDA dynamics.
AI Compute
Short
Feb 06
$87.42
+3.4%
Short long-duration Treasuries via puts; thesis is Treasury supply pressure + hot nominal economy + Fed cut reaction function on fragile risk assets triggering another steepening episode in the long end.
Short long-duration Treasuries via puts; thesis is Treasury supply pressure + hot nominal economy + Fed cut reaction function on fragile risk assets triggering another steepening episode in the long end.
Bonds & Rates
Short
Jun 01
$71866.80
+9.9%
Avoid/underweight BTC as MSTR's capital structure prioritization decisions and compressed mNAV premium create a structural headwind with no near-term catalyst to reverse the bleed.
Avoid/underweight BTC as MSTR's capital structure prioritization decisions and compressed mNAV premium create a structural headwind with no near-term catalyst to reverse the bleed.
Crypto Assets
Long
Mar 07
$108.77
+15.4%
A geopolitical feedback loop where the Iran conflict and Russian oil sales reinforce each other will keep oil prices elevated for a prolonged period.
A geopolitical feedback loop where the Iran conflict and Russian oil sales reinforce each other will keep oil prices elevated for a prolonged period.
Commodities
Long
Feb 08
$53.25
+8.7%
Author discloses active long position in XLE (energy sector ETF), confirming directional exposure to the energy sector alongside OIH and PSCE.
Author discloses active long position in XLE (energy sector ETF), confirming directional exposure to the energy sector alongside OIH and PSCE.
Thematic ETFs
Long
Jan 28
$100.44
-0.1%
Buy March/April SOFR futures — Powell's dovish tone, falling near-term inflation expectations, and disinflationary tariff pass-through make another Fed normalization cut squarely on the table, leaving front-end SOFR underpriced.
Buy March/April SOFR futures — Powell's dovish tone, falling near-term inflation expectations, and disinflationary tariff pass-through make another Fed normalization cut squarely on the table, leaving front-end SOFR underpriced.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Feb 20
$264.35
-11.1%
Short small caps via IWM as the "run it hot" thesis breaks down — Fed cuts are being priced further out, midterm stimulus is unlikely, and bond yield declines signal slowing growth rather than accommodation; recessionary signals (gold, defensive outperformance) are rising.
Short small caps via IWM as the "run it hot" thesis breaks down — Fed cuts are being priced further out, midterm stimulus is unlikely, and bond yield declines signal slowing growth rather than accommodation; recessionary signals (gold, defensive outperformance) are rising.
Equity Indexes
Short
Feb 09
$407.42
-36.4%
Short semiconductor ETF SMH as author re-sizes short exposure, reiterating a bearish thesis on the semis complex alongside NVDA, with explicit position language confirming active short.
Short semiconductor ETF SMH as author re-sizes short exposure, reiterating a bearish thesis on the semis complex alongside NVDA, with explicit position language confirming active short.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Jun 04
$95.17
+10.3%
STRC preferred equity is structurally distressed — trading well below par, historically requiring outsized dividend hikes to recover, and representing ~1/6th of Strategy's capital structure with mounting credibility risk if Saylor fails to act.
STRC preferred equity is structurally distressed — trading well below par, historically requiring outsized dividend hikes to recover, and representing ~1/6th of Strategy's capital structure with mounting credibility risk if Saylor fails to act.
Crypto Treasuries
Long
Jun 03
$94.68
-9.8%
Buy STRC near historic lows as speaker expects Strategy to raise the dividend rate by 50bps (vs. usual 25bps) to restore par value, citing reputational risk to Saylor if a $10B preferred tranche is allowed to deteriorate further.
Buy STRC near historic lows as speaker expects Strategy to raise the dividend rate by 50bps (vs. usual 25bps) to restore par value, citing reputational risk to Saylor if a $10B preferred tranche is allowed to deteriorate further.
Crypto Treasuries
Long
Apr 16
$452.02
+22.9%
Concentrate on sectors that have underlying demand regardless of the macro bipolarity, such as AI infrastructure, gold, energy stocks (which are buying back stock), and Dow transports, because they are less affected by the extreme market structure and macro volatility.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Mar 18
$84.15
-12.3%
Short $EWJ (Japan equities) — speaker's quoted plan: 'The trade to play this happening is to short Europe $IEV and Japan $EWJ equities'; technical setups for shorts here look good with strong risk:reward.
Short $EWJ (Japan equities) — speaker's quoted plan: 'The trade to play this happening is to short Europe $IEV and Japan $EWJ equities'; technical setups for shorts here look good with strong risk:reward.
Equity Indexes
Long
Feb 23
$682.39
+8.8%
The Trump administration is expected to implement more market-supportive policies in 2026 after learning from the negative market reaction to anti-market rhetoric in 2025, creating a bullish tailwind for US equities.
The Trump administration is expected to implement more market-supportive policies in 2026 after learning from the negative market reaction to anti-market rhetoric in 2025, creating a bullish tailwind for US equities.
Equity Indexes
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Quinn Thompson has 50 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 45 tickers since January 2026. Win rate 40% across 50 evaluated calls, average return -3.9%. Ranked #853 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: BTC, GOLD, NVDA.
