#710
Alpha Score 5.7
Quinn Thompson
Co-Host, Forward Guidance / Founder, Lekker Capital
Ticker
Side
Mentions
Opened
Entry
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Mar 09
$472.53
-13.8%
Long gold as USD alternative — speaker explicitly states 'I remain long gold' as a hedge against tech/semiconductor shorts and a structural USD bear thesis (no fiat pair preferred over USD long-term).
Long gold as USD alternative — speaker explicitly states 'I remain long gold' as a hedge against tech/semiconductor shorts and a structural USD bear thesis (no fiat pair preferred over USD long-term).
Macro
Long
Mar 07
$108.77
+29.7%
A geopolitical feedback loop where the Iran conflict and Russian oil sales reinforce each other will keep oil prices elevated for a prolonged period.
A geopolitical feedback loop where the Iran conflict and Russian oil sales reinforce each other will keep oil prices elevated for a prolonged period.
Energy
Short
Mar 06
$177.82
-20.8%
The author is actively shorting the stock, viewing it as technically challenged, and plans to increase their position on any price rallies.
The author is actively shorting the stock, viewing it as technically challenged, and plans to increase their position on any price rallies.
AI/Semi
Short
Mar 31
$87.02
+2.0%
Short long-dated bonds expecting the yield curve to steepen as the market prices in future Fed rate cuts.
Short long-dated bonds expecting the yield curve to steepen as the market prices in future Fed rate cuts.
Macro
Long
Mar 06
$56.57
+3.8%
The author is bullish on oil and gas equities as a vehicle to gain exposure to a persistently high back-end of the futures curve, which is seen as a more durable trend than volatile front-month prices.
The author is bullish on oil and gas equities as a vehicle to gain exposure to a persistently high back-end of the futures curve, which is seen as a more durable trend than volatile front-month prices.
Energy
Long
Mar 26
$100.38
-0.3%
Long SOFR futures offer an asymmetric upside payout because further rate hikes are highly unlikely due to recession risks, while rate cuts have already been completely priced out.
Long SOFR futures offer an asymmetric upside payout because further rate hikes are highly unlikely due to recession risks, while rate cuts have already been completely priced out.
Macro
Short
Mar 18
$84.15
-11.6%
Short $EWJ (Japan equities) — speaker's quoted plan: 'The trade to play this happening is to short Europe $IEV and Japan $EWJ equities'; technical setups for shorts here look good with strong risk:reward.
Short $EWJ (Japan equities) — speaker's quoted plan: 'The trade to play this happening is to short Europe $IEV and Japan $EWJ equities'; technical setups for shorts here look good with strong risk:reward.
Macro
Short
Mar 13
$246.59
-16.4%
Short $IWM — speaker likes the risk/reward of small-cap shorts; Fed cuts pushed to December, no midterm stimulus, recessionary signals (gold action, defensive sector outperformance) make small caps vulnerable.
Short $IWM — speaker likes the risk/reward of small-cap shorts; Fed cuts pushed to December, no midterm stimulus, recessionary signals (gold action, defensive sector outperformance) make small caps vulnerable.
Macro
Long
Mar 11
$70500.50
-7.7%
The author is expressing a bullish bias by holding the spot asset and explicitly avoiding puts, reasoning that the current market conditions are unfavorable for trading options.
The author is expressing a bullish bias by holding the spot asset and explicitly avoiding puts, reasoning that the current market conditions are unfavorable for trading options.
Crypto
Long
Feb 23
$682.39
+10.7%
The Trump administration is expected to implement more market-supportive policies in 2026 after learning from the negative market reaction to anti-market rhetoric in 2025, creating a bullish tailwind for US equities.
The Trump administration is expected to implement more market-supportive policies in 2026 after learning from the negative market reaction to anti-market rhetoric in 2025, creating a bullish tailwind for US equities.
Macro
Short
Jun 01
$71866.80
+9.5%
Avoid/underweight BTC as MSTR's capital structure prioritization decisions and compressed mNAV premium create a structural headwind with no near-term catalyst to reverse the bleed.
Avoid/underweight BTC as MSTR's capital structure prioritization decisions and compressed mNAV premium create a structural headwind with no near-term catalyst to reverse the bleed.
Crypto
Short
May 11
$58.42
+1.9%
Short Japanese Yen based on explicit directional call; no catalyst provided but clear bearish stance on the currency.
Short Japanese Yen based on explicit directional call; no catalyst provided but clear bearish stance on the currency.
Macro
Long
May 08
$134.97
+4.5%
Oil inventories are being drawn down rapidly due to exports and the Strait of Hormuz disruption, and restocking will drive prices higher. Longer-dated futures offer attractive carry and a structural floor, while selling long-dated puts monetizes elevated volatility.
Energy
Short
May 07
$500.44
-22.3%
Short SOXX at $500 with $530 stop and $400 target, with plan to add on further upside, indicating strong bearish conviction on the semiconductor index.
Short SOXX at $500 with $530 stop and $400 target, with plan to add on further upside, indicating strong bearish conviction on the semiconductor index.
AI/Semi
Long
Apr 24
$54.19
+27.8%
AI capex boom is a multi-year secular growth driver that is reshaping the economy. The demand for data centers and compute infrastructure is creating a sustained investment cycle that will last years. While short-term positioning is overbought and due for a washout, long-term holders in shares can benefit from the structural trend.
AI/Semi
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