Trump, Carney Optimistic on Trade Deal | Radio Balance of Power: Early Edition 8/19/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 19, 2026 at 19:43  |  47:54  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Ira — U.S. Rates Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence
Daniel Fried — Former U.S. Ambassador to Poland; Atlantic Council Distinguished Fellow
Amy Morris — Bloomberg Reporter
Chris Christie — Former New Jersey Governor

Summary

The episode covers U.S.-Canada trade negotiations after the 50% Canadian tariff pause, the Treasury's expanded long-end buyback program and bond market implications, and geopolitical energy risk from the U.S.-Iran standoff over the Strait of Hormuz. It also examines primary results in Florida, Alaska, and South Carolina before turning to Chris Christie's criticism of prediction markets and his views on data center energy costs.

  • President Trump pauses threatened 50% tariffs on Canada as U.S.-Canada trade talks continue.
  • Treasury doubles liquidity-support buybacks for 10-30 year securities to rein in long-term borrowing costs.
  • Bloomberg Intelligence rates strategist Ira argues the buyback move is technical, not a fundamental fix.
  • Daniel Fried expects no near-term Iran deal, keeping Strait of Hormuz energy supply risk alive.
  • Florida, Alaska, and South Carolina primary politics are analyzed for November implications.
  • Chris Christie argues prediction markets are illegal sportsbooks that should not get CFTC cover.
  • Data center expansion is framed by Christie as principally an energy cost issue for states.
Ideas
Ira U.S. Rates Strategist, Bloomberg Intelligence 8:12
Buybacks won't fix long-end yield fundamentals.
The Treasury's doubled buyback program for 10-30 year securities is a technical acknowledgment that long-term yields are too high, not a fix for fundamentals; with only limited short-term tools available, it is unlikely to sustainably cap long-end borrowing costs, though the 20-year auction saw decent demand.
Daniel Fried Former U.S. Ambassador to Poland; Atlantic Council Distinguished Fellow 12:28
Strait risk persists; Iran won't reopen soon.
Iran has little near-term incentive to settle or allow the Strait of Hormuz to reopen, so the standoff and related energy supply risk are likely to persist even though U.S. leverage may grow only over the medium to longer term.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 19, 2026, features Ira, Daniel Fried discussing U.S. 10-30 year Treasury bonds, WTI. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Ira, Daniel Fried  · Tickers: U.S. 10-30 year Treasury bonds, WTI