‘Strongest Buyer’s Market’ In A Decade: Redfin CEO On Falling Home Prices | Glenn Kelman

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 30, 2025 at 22:00  |  30:44  |  The David Lin Report
Speakers
Glenn Kelman — CEO, Redfin
David Lin — Founder & Host, The David Lin Report / ex-Anchor, Kitco News

Summary

Glenn Kelman, CEO of Redfin, tells David Lin that the 2025 housing market is the strongest buyer's market in over a decade, with elevated inventory, more sellers than buyers, frequent cancellations, and downward pressure on prices. He sees sharp regional divergence: Midwest markets like Milwaukee, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Detroit are affordable beneficiaries, while pandemic boom markets in Texas and Florida face gluts and falling prices. Kelman also discusses builder caution, tariffs and supply costs, Fannie/Freddie policy, the K-shaped economy, and why single-family homes are preferred over condos. He calls the 2026 outlook uncertain and tied to mortgage rates, tariffs, jobs, and inflation.

  • Redfin CEO Glenn Kelman says summer 2025 was the strongest buyer's market in a decade, driven by high inventory and more sellers than buyers.
  • Home prices are up about 2% year-over-year but falling in real terms; Texas and Florida markets are seeing actual price declines.
  • Midwest markets such as Milwaukee, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Detroit are attracting migration due to affordability.
  • Single-family homes are preferred over condos and townhouses, which are more volatile and weaken first.
  • Builders are cutting prices, facing tariff-related costs, and reporting unreliable new-home sales data.
  • Glenn opposes privatizing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and favors easing tariffs on housing-related supplies.
  • The K-shaped economy favors luxury segments while lower-income and service workers struggle, and apartment rents are starting to rise as construction slows.
  • The 2026 outlook is uncertain, dependent on whether tariffs cause inflation, how far the Fed cuts, and whether jobs hold up.
Ideas
Glenn Kelman CEO, Redfin 2:25
U.S. home prices face downward pressure
The U.S. housing market is a buyer's market with high inventory, more sellers than buyers, about 15% cancelled sales, and mortgage rates that have not fallen enough; Glenn expects continued downward pressure on home prices into year-end, with sellers needing to accept realistic offers.
Glenn Kelman CEO, Redfin 2:35
Sun Belt housing glut pressures prices
Pandemic boom markets in the South that were easy to build in now have a supply glut: Austin and much of Florida are seeing falling prices, deals are falling apart after inspections, and buyers can choose new construction down the street, adding to downward pressure.
Glenn Kelman CEO, Redfin 3:16
Homebuilders face pricing and cost pressure
Homebuilders face an uncertain setup: their reported new-home sales data is unreliable, about 15% of sales are cancelled, builders are cutting prices at the highest rate since COVID, tariffs are raising materials and labor costs, and easy-to-build Southern markets have a glut, even though builders are focusing on higher-margin large homes.
Glenn Kelman CEO, Redfin 10:52
Midwest housing markets offer affordability upside
Midwest markets such as Milwaukee, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Detroit are relative winners because they did not have the pandemic price boom, remain affordable enough to attract migration and businesses seeking lower housing and labor costs, and still offer modestly priced homes.
Glenn Kelman CEO, Redfin 18:03
Single-family homes beat condos/townhouses
Next year's demand should favor single-family detached homes over condos and townhouses: single-family homes hold value better and benefit from suburban migration, while condos/townhouses are the most volatile segment and sell off first when the market weakens.
Glenn Kelman CEO, Redfin 18:03
Single-family homes beat condos/townhouses
Next year's demand should favor single-family detached homes over condos and townhouses: single-family homes hold value better and benefit from suburban migration, while condos/townhouses are the most volatile segment and sell off first when the market weakens.
Glenn Kelman CEO, Redfin 23:01
K-shaped economy favors luxury demand
The economy is K-shaped: wealthy households are driving prosperity, with luxury home sales, the stock market, and luxury retail goods strongest, while service-industry and lower-income consumers are under pressure; this favors luxury/wealthy-consumer exposure over mass-market consumer exposure.
Glenn Kelman CEO, Redfin 24:45
Slowing apartment supply lifts rents
Apartment construction slowed after the 2023-2024 building wave that brought rents down, and rents are starting to rise again; if housing remains unaffordable, rising rents will further squeeze consumers and support apartment-building fundamentals.
Up Next

This The David Lin Report video, published September 30, 2025, features Glenn Kelman discussing U.S. home prices, XLRE, Austin housing market, Florida housing market, Texas housing market, American South housing market, XHB, Milwaukee housing market, Cleveland housing market, Pittsburgh housing market, Detroit housing market, Midwest housing market, Single-family homes, Condos and townhouses, Luxury retail goods, Luxury home sales, REZ. 8 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Glenn Kelman  · Tickers: U.S. home prices, XLRE, Austin housing market, Florida housing market, Texas housing market, American South housing market, XHB, Milwaukee housing market, Cleveland housing market, Pittsburgh housing market, Detroit housing market, Midwest housing market, Single-family homes, Condos and townhouses, Luxury retail goods, Luxury home sales, REZ