Buzzberg Cup Live

[July 14, 26 AM Broadcast Full View] New York Stock Market Closes Down Amid Iran Strait Re-blockade and Semiconductor Plunge

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 14, 2026 at 03:16  |  6:12:22  |  3PRO TV (삼프로TV)
Speakers
Park Myung-seok — Curator
Han Sang-hee — Senior Research Commissioner, Hanwha Investment & Securities
Kwon Soon-woo — Reporting Team Lead, 3PRO TV
Park Byeong-chang — Director, MP Partners
Yoo Chang-hee — CEO
Baek In-jae — Deputy Center Director, Hana Securities
Park Joon-woo — Researcher
Jang Woo-jin — Writer
Yoon Su-mok — CEO, Whisperd Research

Summary

The broadcast covers a sharp downturn in the New York and Korean stock markets, primarily driven by a plunge in semiconductor stocks and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Analysts including Tai Wang, Park Myung-suk, and Han Sang-hee discuss the causes of the semiconductor sell-off, attributing it more to technical factors like leverage in ETFs and arbitrage than a fundamental breakdown in the AI thesis. The speakers also analyze the impact of rising oil prices due to the Iran-US conflict and hawkish commentary from Fed officials, debating the outlook for inflation, interest rates, and various asset classes.

  • The New York and Korean stock markets experienced significant declines, with the semiconductor sector being hit the hardest.
  • SK Hynix plunged 15% in Seoul, a move analysts like Tai Wang and Park Myung-suk attribute to technical factors like leverage in single-stock ETFs and ADR arbitrage, rather than a change in fundamentals.
  • Geopolitical tensions escalated as the US and Iran exchanged attacks, with former President Trump threatening to charge a 20% toll for passage through the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil prices to spike.
  • Multiple analysts, including Han Sang-hee, view the semiconductor correction as a technical buying opportunity, citing historical drawdown patterns and the strong long-term AI demand story.
  • Fed Governor Waller's hawkish comments increased market expectations for a July rate hike, adding pressure to risk assets.
  • Jang Woo-jin presented a contrarian view, arguing that the semiconductor cycle may have peaked and that smart money is already looking ahead 18-20 months to a potential price decline.
  • Analysts discussed alternative investment themes, including the Korean electricity/power sector, financial holding companies, and the next wave of AI infrastructure in telecommunications.
  • The role of single-stock leverage ETFs in amplifying market volatility in Korea was a major topic of discussion, with several speakers identifying it as the primary cause of the extreme price swings.
Ideas
Buy TSMC on any major dips.
TSMC's stock fell slightly, but the possibility of a sharp drop in chip demand is low. Therefore, any significant correction should be viewed as a buying opportunity. A slowdown in demand is not anticipated until the end of next year at the earliest.
SK Hynix is a buy now.
Memory semiconductors are a cyclical industry, and the classic investment strategy is to buy at a high PER and sell at a low PER. Based on a valuation method that uses forward earnings estimates from a year prior, the sector is currently in a 'high PER' phase. With earnings estimates now soaring, the PER is set to collapse, marking the classic entry point for the cycle. The July-September period is a good time to start building positions.
Buy US market on Iran-driven dips.
US corporate capital expenditure plans remain robust and are not showing signs of weakening, unlike during past shocks. This is driven by two factors: the structural belief in AI, which compels investment regardless of short-term volatility, and geopolitical risks, which are paradoxically boosting investment in defense, energy, and security-related industries. This underlying economic strength is bullish for risk assets.
AI semiconductor weakness is a buying opportunity.
Historically, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) has only experienced drawdowns greater than 20% during major systemic crises like COVID or aggressive Fed tightening. In normal corrections, it tends to bottom around the -20% level. Given the broader US market is not in a crisis, the current drawdown presents a technical buying opportunity for a rebound.
Hyperscaler capex growth supports AI hardware.
Hyperscaler capital expenditures are projected to grow massively, with Morgan Stanley forecasting $1.2 trillion by 2027. Furthermore, companies like Meta are significantly increasing their data center investments (from a planned $10B to over $50B), which confirms the robust and long-term demand for AI infrastructure and the semiconductors that power it.
Shopify will benefit from Agent AI.
Based on a positive analyst report from Jefferies, Shopify is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth of 'Agent AI' in e-commerce. The company can provide the essential infrastructure layer for this new paradigm, creating a significant growth opportunity.
Deckers Outdoor has a strong outlook.
Citing a positive analyst view, Deckers Outdoor's mid-term outlook, as presented in its Q4 earnings, indicates significant progress for the company. This positive development led to an increased price target and suggests upside for the stock.
Han Sang-hee Senior Research Commissioner, Hanwha Investment & Securities 80:08
Buy memory stocks on cyclical timing.
Memory semiconductors are a cyclical industry, and the classic investment strategy is to buy at a high PER and sell at a low PER. Based on a valuation method that uses forward earnings estimates from a year prior, the sector is currently in a 'high PER' phase. With earnings estimates now soaring, the PER is set to collapse, marking the classic entry point for the cycle. The July-September period is a good time to start building positions.
Kwon Soon-woo Reporting Team Lead, 3PRO TV 113:00
Korean nuclear and SMRs have tailwinds.
Korea's future electricity demand is set to explode, driven by the massive power needs of new semiconductor clusters (like in Yongin and Honam) and AI data centers. To meet this demand, the government is officially considering the introduction of new large-scale nuclear power plants and Small Modular Reactors (SMRs). This creates a significant, long-term policy tailwind for companies in the Korean nuclear and SMR supply chain.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 159:57
Korean electricity infrastructure is a key theme.
The 'Mega Cluster' plan for semiconductors and data centers in Korea faces a critical bottleneck: electricity. The global demand for power is a massive, undeniable trend. While Korean power-related stocks have high valuations, this reflects the structural importance and growth trajectory of the sector. This is a key investment theme for the second half of the year.
Park Byeong-chang Director, MP Partners 161:14
Korean financial holding companies are attractive.
In a rising interest rate environment, investors should favor companies with strong current earnings over those with distant future growth stories. Sectors like financial holding companies, which benefit from higher rates and have solid current profits, are a good place to be. This is in contrast to sectors like robotics or biotech that have pulled forward future value.
Baek In-jae Deputy Center Director, Hana Securities 216:53
KOSPI is at historically cheap valuations.
The KOSPI is trading at a PER of 5.8x, a historically low valuation that is even below the 2008 financial crisis bottom of 6.3x. The market's fundamental driver, strong semiconductor earnings, remains intact. This is a period of maximum pessimism, which is a classic contrarian buying opportunity. Investors should hold on, not sell in a panic.
Telecom infrastructure is the next AI play.
The next major infrastructure cycle after the current data center buildout will be in telecommunications. For Physical AI and robotics to function, they require ultra-low latency communication. This will necessitate installing AI chips directly into base stations (AI RAN), creating a new investment cycle and business model for telecom companies and their equipment suppliers.
Oil prices may crash next year.
A supply-side chicken game in the oil market is likely next year, with the UAE leaving OPEC+ and the US as the top producer. This could lead to a surge in production and cause oil prices to fall to the $40s range. This would be a major disinflationary force, allowing central banks to ease policy and boost market liquidity.
Hyundai Motor is a long-term AI play.
In the long term, Hyundai Motor will be the domestic leader in the Physical AI theme. However, in the current rising interest rate environment, its future growth potential is being heavily discounted. Therefore, while it's a strong long-term holding, it is not the right time to invest aggressively.
Yoon Su-mok CEO, Whisperd Research 368:17
The tokenization theme is a long-term buy.
The on-chain transition of finance and the tokenization of real-world assets is an undeniable long-term trend, even if the timing is uncertain. While the market is currently focused on volatile AI themes, long-term investors can find a better risk-reward by investing in the tokenization theme (related companies or protocols), which is currently receiving little attention.
Up Next

This 3PRO TV (삼프로TV) video, published July 14, 2026, features Tai Wang, Park Myung-seok, Han Sang-hee, Kwon Soon-woo, Park Byeong-chang, Baek In-jae, Jang Woo-jin, Yoon Su-mok discussing TSM, 000660.KS, SPY, SOXX, META, SHOP, DECK, 005930.KS, MU, 034020.KS, HD Hyundai, SK Group, 015760.KS, KB, 055550.KS, EWY, 017670.KS, 030200.KS, USO, 005380.KS, ONDO, BLK. 16 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Tai Wang, Park Myung-seok, Han Sang-hee, Kwon Soon-woo, Park Byeong-chang, Baek In-jae, Jang Woo-jin, Yoon Su-mok  · Tickers: TSM, 000660.KS, SPY, SOXX, META, SHOP, DECK, 005930.KS, MU, 034020.KS, HD Hyundai, SK Group, 015760.KS, KB, 055550.KS, EWY, 017670.KS, 030200.KS, USO, 005380.KS, ONDO, BLK