Summary
Thread Guy hosts Bubble Boy, who explains his successful long Intel trade based on advanced packaging and turnaround thesis. The episode also covers market weakness, oil uncertainty from UAE leaving OPEC, OpenAI revenue concerns, and upcoming earnings. Thread Guy expresses frustration being sidelined in a strange market.
- Market closed mixed with S&P down slightly and semiconductors down 4%.
- UAE leaving OPEC creates short-term oil bearishness and long-term uncertainty.
- OpenAI revenue and user growth miss raises concerns about AI spending sustainability.
- Thread Guy comments on being mostly in cash and struggling to find clear trades.
- Bubble Boy details Intel's turnaround: free cash flow investment, high-NA EUV adoption, and packaging advantage over TSMC.
- Nvidia's investment in Intel and potential use of Intel packaging for Rubin GPUs supports the thesis.
- Earnings from Robinhood, Bloom Energy, Seagate, and others are discussed.
- Upcoming FOMC and mega-cap earnings (Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Apple) add to event risk.