Ideas
Most bullish gold; buy confirmed breakout
He is most bullish on gold and wants to buy once it confirms a breakout on regular-trading-hours charts. He cites Fibonacci extension targets of $3,725-$4,100, about 17-18% upside or potentially a 20-40% rally, favorable August seasonality, miners leading physical gold, and gold as a safe-haven barometer warning of systemic stress.
Cash, avoid equities until trend resolves
He moved to 100% cash this week and closed equity positions because market internals and technicals are breaking down while only the Magnificent Seven are holding the S&P 500 and Nasdaq near highs. He sees a critical turning point: either a reset into a new uptrend or a 15-25% correction and possibly a stage-four bear market or financial reset, so he is avoiding equities until the market proves direction.
Yields higher, steer clear of bonds
He dislikes bonds because they remain in a bear-market phase or stage-one basing pattern and could stay down or go lower. The 10-year yield has put in a massive bottom and has a launch pad for a new bull market, with a possible 8% rally that would wreak havoc on the economy, stocks, and real estate.
Miners lead but prefer physical gold
Gold miners have already broken out and historically lead physical gold by 3-7 days, so if gold breaks out miners should continue higher. But he is less enthusiastic because miners are more volatile and can still sell off if the broad stock market falls, making physical gold the preferred vehicle.
Like ERY if energy rolls over
He likes ERY, a 2x leveraged inverse energy ETF, as a discretionary trade if the energy sector rolls over and the stock market gives a sell signal. He expects falling energy stocks to produce a very good opportunity, with oil weakness reinforcing the trade, but has not entered yet and is waiting for market direction.
Like ERY if energy rolls over
He likes ERY, a 2x leveraged inverse energy ETF, as a discretionary trade if the energy sector rolls over and the stock market gives a sell signal. He expects falling energy stocks to produce a very good opportunity, with oil weakness reinforcing the trade, but has not entered yet and is waiting for market direction.
Bitcoin target 136k if stocks turn up
Bitcoin is a potential trade setup with a $136,000 upside target based on a clean bull-flag and Fibonacci extension, but he will not get involved until the Nasdaq or stock market gives a new buy signal because Bitcoin is highly correlated to stocks and too volatile for a large position.
Turning bullish on dollar after reversal
He is turning bullish on the U.S. dollar index because it has made an impulse move through two resistance levels, suggesting a trend reversal and eventual stair-step move higher after a reactionary low.
Oil heading down to $56-$57
Oil has bearish price action after failing below $66-$67 resistance, and its prior rally was news-driven and unreliable. He expects oil to fall back to $56-$57, which should drag energy stocks lower too.
This The David Lin Report video, published August 09, 2025,
features Chris Vermeulen
discussing GLD, QQQ, SPY, 10-Year Treasury Yield, GDX, ERY, XLE, BTC, DXY, WTI.
9 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.
Speakers:
Chris Vermeulen
· Tickers:
GLD,
QQQ,
SPY,
10-Year Treasury Yield,
GDX,
ERY,
XLE,
BTC,
DXY,
WTI