"It is really going to be more about the sectors of the economy, like banking, for example, where you have substantial tailwinds, you know, deregulation, capital relief." While tech faces valuation compression, banks are trading at low multiples. The combination of a stable economy ("soft landing") and specific policy catalysts (deregulation) creates a setup for multiple expansion in the financial sector. LONG US BANKS as a beneficiary of the rotation into value/fundamentals. Re-acceleration of inflation forcing higher rates, or a recession (hard landing) increasing credit defaults.
"The valuations and the multiples were too high... This is no longer a high multiples sector." The business models aren't broken ("revenue is [not] going to be zero"), but the investment thesis has changed. Investors are no longer willing to pay premium multiples for future growth, leading to a structural de-rating of the sector. NEUTRAL / WATCH. The sector is undergoing a valuation reset; upside is capped until multiples normalize. If growth slows further, multiples could compress even more aggressively.