Memani Says the Soft Landing Is Arriving

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 17, 2026 at 15:06  |  2:34  |  Bloomberg Markets

Summary

  • The long-awaited "soft landing" has arrived, characterized by stabilizing inflation, decent growth, and a rollback of tariff pressures.
  • A significant sector rotation is underway: capital is moving away from high-multiple sectors where terminal value is questioned (Software) toward fundamentally driven, low-multiple sectors (Banking, Cyclicals).
  • Assets are not priced for a massive economic reacceleration, but rather for stabilization, which favors undervalued cyclical assets over growth tech.
Trade Ideas
Krishna Memani Former CIO, OppenheimerFunds
"It is really going to be more about the sectors of the economy, like banking, for example, where you have substantial tailwinds, you know, deregulation, capital relief." While tech faces valuation compression, banks are trading at low multiples. The combination of a stable economy ("soft landing") and specific policy catalysts (deregulation) creates a setup for multiple expansion in the financial sector. LONG US BANKS as a beneficiary of the rotation into value/fundamentals. Re-acceleration of inflation forcing higher rates, or a recession (hard landing) increasing credit defaults.
Krishna Memani Former CIO, OppenheimerFunds
"The valuations and the multiples were too high... This is no longer a high multiples sector." The business models aren't broken ("revenue is [not] going to be zero"), but the investment thesis has changed. Investors are no longer willing to pay premium multiples for future growth, leading to a structural de-rating of the sector. NEUTRAL / WATCH. The sector is undergoing a valuation reset; upside is capped until multiples normalize. If growth slows further, multiples could compress even more aggressively.
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This Bloomberg Markets video, published February 17, 2026, features Krishna Memani discussing XLF, KBE, IGV. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Krishna Memani  · Tickers: XLF, KBE, IGV