Nvidia's CEO Boosts Outlook, Trump Mulls Greenland Options | The Opening Trade 1/7/2026

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  January 07, 2026 at 11:33  |  1:35:33  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Jensen Huang — CEO, NVIDIA
Ben Barringer — Global Head of Technology Research and Investment Strategist, Quilter Cheviot
Wonjin Lee — President and Chief Marketing Officer, Samsung Electronics
Anthony DiPaola — Reporter, Bloomberg (Energy)
Mitchell Fermen — Bloomberg Reporter
Sharon Bell — Goldman Sachs
Saima Hussain — Equity Research Analyst, Alpha Value
Valerie Tytel — Reporter, Bloomberg
Kit
Skyler Montgomery Koning — Macro Strategist
Sam — Director of Research, Bloomberg Intelligence
Chloe Meley — Reporter, Bloomberg
Donald Trump — President of the United States
Tom Mackenzie — Anchor, Bloomberg
Lisa Su — CEO, AMD
Guy Johnson — Anchor, Bloomberg

Summary

The Opening Trade examines Nvidia's upgraded demand outlook at CES, the resulting memory-chip rally, and mixed AI hardware winners and losers. Oil falls as Venezuela prepares to send crude to the U.S., while geopolitics around Greenland and Ukraine keep European defense in focus. Guests discuss Fed pause risks, Treasury-market implications of a tariff ruling, FX positioning, European equity diversification, and specific stock catalysts.

  • Nvidia says data-center revenue outlook has improved and expects a very good year.
  • Memory and chip names rally on AI memory demand and tight supply; Samsung warns memory prices are rising.
  • Oil drops after Trump says Venezuela will send up to 50 million barrels to the U.S.
  • European defense stocks remain supported by Ukraine security talks and Greenland tensions.
  • A large Fed funds futures block trade suggests the market is considering a longer Fed pause.
  • The Supreme Court tariff case could pressure Treasuries if tariff revenue must be repaid.
  • FX guests debate dollar, euro, and sterling outlooks.
  • European strategists favor diversification, small caps, banks, miners, and gold, while avoiding autos and chemicals.
Ideas
Wonjin Lee President and Chief Marketing Officer, Samsung Electronics 12:12
Memory prices rising; Samsung repricing products
Memory prices are rising even as we speak and Samsung may have to consider repricing its products, signaling memory pricing power/shortages and potential inflationary pressure.
Valerie Tytel Reporter, Bloomberg 15:01
Tariff reversal pressures Treasuries
If the Supreme Court strikes down reciprocal tariffs and tariff revenue must be repaid, it creates a hole in the U.S. deficit, more Treasury issuance, and deficit worries, which would pressure Treasuries and push yields higher.
Valerie Tytel Reporter, Bloomberg 15:47
Fed pause likely; fade cuts
The largest-ever Fed funds futures block trade looked like an unwind of a long, and the market is starting to entertain a long Fed pause with no immediate need for a cut, perhaps until a new Fed chair is seated in May and a decision after June.
Robust US economy supports dollar
A weaker dollar this year requires the Fed to ease as much as the market expects and the economy to soften; with the market already short dollars and the U.S. still offering the best investment opportunities, a robust U.S. economy would keep the dollar from weakening much.
Euro vulnerable on geopolitics, positioning
Geopolitics is a problem for the euro because Europe is not at the table with major powers and market positioning is not in euros, leaving the euro vulnerable.
Pound upside continues
Sterling has had a good run and should continue to have a good run, with the U.K. economy potentially doing better than investors think.
Jensen Huang CEO, NVIDIA 24:33
Nvidia demand strong; very good year
Nvidia's revenue forecast has brightened on stronger demand and large customer deals; current and future data-center chip revenue should eclipse $500 billion by end-2026, cloud spot pricing is rising, H200 will contribute, and management expects a very good year.
Ben Barringer Global Head of Technology Research and Investment Strategist, Quilter Cheviot 25:40
Nvidia Rubin, auto support valuation
He is incrementally more positive on Nvidia: Rubin production is on track, the supply chain is better than Blackwell though HBM remains tight, physical AI and automotive with Mercedes are starting to produce revenue, and 24x valuation is comfortable with 2026/2027 growth.
Ben Barringer Global Head of Technology Research and Investment Strategist, Quilter Cheviot 30:27
Memory demand, limited supply lift SanDisk
Memory is particularly interesting because AI inference needs longer-term storage; SanDisk has performed extremely well on strong demand and limited supply, which supports pricing, and memory sentiment remains good although the industry is cyclical.
Ben Barringer Global Head of Technology Research and Investment Strategist, Quilter Cheviot 33:15
Alphabet fundamentals more stable
Alphabet is on more stable footing: core advertising has stabilized at mid-teens growth, Google Cloud is a more credible third player, Gemini 3 is strong, and Waymo's valuation is rising, so parts of the business can shine.
Anthony DiPaola Reporter, Bloomberg (Energy) 37:48
Venezuela supply long-term bearish crude
The Venezuela supply story is not an immediate barrel shock but is longer-term bearish for crude because U.S. companies could eventually ramp Venezuelan production and the oil may arrive when demand is rising and supply elsewhere is falling; the market looks through geopolitical noise to actual barrels.
Skyler Montgomery Koning Macro Strategist 42:09
Dollar safe-haven bid on geopolitics
Rate differentials remain the key FX driver; the dollar has returned as a safe haven and gets bid during geopolitical stress, while U.S. data are more market-moving as investors reassess Fed cuts.
Sharon Bell Goldman Sachs 50:14
European defense is structural story
A Ukraine deal might initially sell off defense names, but Europe will increasingly have to stand on its own for defense, making the sector a structural story with clear beneficiaries.
Sharon Bell Goldman Sachs 51:12
Buy Europe for diversification
U.S. investors should diversify away from concentrated U.S. and dollar exposure; Europe offers that diversification, the dollar is expected to weaken, and European returns could be better in dollar terms as earnings growth combines with re-rating.
Sharon Bell Goldman Sachs 52:43
European banks gain from AI, markets
European banks and financial services can gain from better technology including AI, greater efficiency, capital-markets activity, and new companies coming to market.
Sharon Bell Goldman Sachs 54:48
Gold hedges geopolitical risk
Gold is the clearest asset reflecting geopolitical risk and is a diversification story as geopolitical tensions persist.
Sharon Bell Goldman Sachs 55:39
Miners benefit from supply deficits
Miners and basic resources have suffered from underinvestment and lack of supply, while global demand from defense, data centers, and government spending is rising; that supply-demand imbalance should push prices higher and makes it difficult to bet against miners.
Sharon Bell Goldman Sachs 56:52
European small caps set to outperform
Conviction is reasonably high on European small caps because cyclical, domestic, non-dollar-earning small caps need and are getting aligned factors, and M&A is picking up and should continue.
Sharon Bell Goldman Sachs 58:22
European autos, chemicals keep struggling
China's export and manufacturing push will continue to pressure Germany, and autos and chemicals in Europe will continue to struggle.
Chloe Meley Reporter, Bloomberg 61:50
Cooling stocks hit by Nvidia comment
Nvidia CEO comments suggested cooling technologies may not be as much needed going forward, weighing on Asian, U.S., and European cooling stocks.
Sam Director of Research, Bloomberg Intelligence 63:42
GSK hepatitis B drug promising
GSK's experimental hepatitis B drug helped bring the disease under control; management sees about £2 billion peak sales, roughly 1.5% of total expected sales, and while data details are unknown, it could be clinically meaningful and the stock has returned to 19 pounds.
Jensen Huang CEO, NVIDIA 66:56
Siemens benefits from NVIDIA partnership
NVIDIA and Siemens have a broad partnership to accelerate Siemens' industrial and simulation software, integrate physical and agentic AI into Teamcenter and factory automation, and use digital twins to design more complex AI systems; Siemens is a clear beneficiary.
Saima Hussain Equity Research Analyst, Alpha Value 79:46
Europe shifts defense spend locally
Geopolitical tensions and a more transactional, unilateral U.S. security posture mean Europe must be able to act with or without U.S. support; the market may move from roughly 65% U.S./35% European defense spending toward 50-50, benefiting European defense suppliers even without higher headline spending.
Saima Hussain Equity Research Analyst, Alpha Value 85:19
Drones, electronic warfare lead defense
Electronic warfare and drones are the most constructive parts of European defense because Ukraine showed drones can neutralize multimillion-dollar assets and there is likely a rotation within the sector toward air defense and drones.
Mitchell Fermen Bloomberg Reporter 89:59
Chevron leads Venezuela, benefits from reopening
Chevron has a leading operational position in Venezuela, is trusted by the country, is continuing uninterrupted operations, and could benefit from resumed Venezuelan heavy crude flows and a reported tie-up with Quantum Energy Partners for Lukoil's international assets.
Up Next

This Bloomberg Markets video, published January 07, 2026, features Wonjin Lee, Valerie Tytel, Kit, Jensen Huang, Ben Barringer, Anthony DiPaola, Skyler Montgomery Koning, Sharon Bell, Chloe Meley, Sam, Saima Hussain, Mitchell Fermen discussing 005930.KS, DRAM, TLT, Fed funds futures, USD, FXE, GBP, NVDA, SNDK, GOOG, WTI, ITA, STOXX Europe 600, EUFN, GLD, European basic resources/miners, IEUS, European autos and chemicals, Cooling stocks, GSK, SIEMENS, European Defense, Defense electronics and drones, CVX. 25 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Wonjin Lee, Valerie Tytel, Kit, Jensen Huang, Ben Barringer, Anthony DiPaola, Skyler Montgomery Koning, Sharon Bell, Chloe Meley, Sam, Saima Hussain, Mitchell Fermen  · Tickers: 005930.KS, DRAM, TLT, Fed funds futures, USD, FXE, GBP, NVDA, SNDK, GOOG, WTI, ITA, STOXX Europe 600, EUFN, GLD, European basic resources/miners, IEUS, European autos and chemicals, Cooling stocks, GSK, SIEMENS, European Defense, Defense electronics and drones, CVX